ADF Foods (India) Market Value

ADFFOODS   301.40  3.25  1.09%   
ADF Foods' market value is the price at which a share of ADF Foods trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ADF Foods Limited investors about its performance. ADF Foods is trading at 301.40 as of the 28th of December 2024, a 1.09 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 291.15.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ADF Foods Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in ADF Foods over a given investment horizon. Check out ADF Foods Correlation, ADF Foods Volatility and ADF Foods Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on ADF Foods.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between ADF Foods' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ADF Foods is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ADF Foods' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

ADF Foods 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to ADF Foods' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of ADF Foods.
0.00
07/01/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 29 days
12/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in ADF Foods on July 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ADF Foods Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in ADF Foods over 180 days. ADF Foods is related to or competes with Zodiac Clothing, Reliance Communications, Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio, TVS Electronics, Pritish Nandy, VIP Clothing, and Styrenix Performance. ADF Foods is entity of India. It is traded as Stock on NSE exchange. More

ADF Foods Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure ADF Foods' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ADF Foods Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

ADF Foods Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for ADF Foods' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as ADF Foods' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use ADF Foods historical prices to predict the future ADF Foods' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
268.33303.86307.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
251.42254.84327.97
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Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
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ADF Foods Limited Backtested Returns

ADF Foods appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. ADF Foods Limited secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0795, which signifies that the company had a 0.0795% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for ADF Foods Limited, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of ADF Foods' Mean Deviation of 2.52, risk adjusted performance of 0.061, and Downside Deviation of 3.02 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, ADF Foods holds a performance score of 6. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.14, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning ADF Foods are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, ADF Foods is likely to outperform the market. Please check ADF Foods' potential upside, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether ADF Foods' price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.74  

Good predictability

ADF Foods Limited has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between ADF Foods time series from 1st of July 2024 to 29th of September 2024 and 29th of September 2024 to 28th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ADF Foods Limited price movement. The serial correlation of 0.74 indicates that around 74.0% of current ADF Foods price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.74
Spearman Rank Test0.55
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance512.57

ADF Foods Limited lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is ADF Foods stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting ADF Foods' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of ADF Foods returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that ADF Foods has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

ADF Foods regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If ADF Foods stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if ADF Foods stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in ADF Foods stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

ADF Foods Lagged Returns

When evaluating ADF Foods' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of ADF Foods stock have on its future price. ADF Foods autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, ADF Foods autocorrelation shows the relationship between ADF Foods stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ADF Foods Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in ADF Stock

ADF Foods financial ratios help investors to determine whether ADF Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ADF with respect to the benefits of owning ADF Foods security.