Disciplined Growth Fund Market Value
| ADCCX Fund | USD 15.09 0.40 2.72% |
| Symbol | DISCIPLINED |
Disciplined Growth 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Disciplined Growth's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Disciplined Growth.
| 12/16/2024 |
| 03/16/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Disciplined Growth on December 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Disciplined Growth Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Disciplined Growth over 90 days. Disciplined Growth is related to or competes with Select Fund, Select Fund, Invesco Disciplined, and American Beacon. In selecting stocks for the fund, the portfolio managers initially identify an eligible universe of growth stocks then u... More
Disciplined Growth Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Disciplined Growth's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Disciplined Growth Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.13) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 38.18 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.89) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.7 |
Disciplined Growth Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Disciplined Growth's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Disciplined Growth's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Disciplined Growth historical prices to predict the future Disciplined Growth's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.12) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.42) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.14) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.26) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Disciplined Growth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Disciplined Growth Backtested Returns
Disciplined Growth secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.16, which denotes the fund had a -0.16 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Disciplined Growth Fund exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Disciplined Growth's Variance of 22.12, standard deviation of 4.7, and Mean Deviation of 1.77 to check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.8, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Disciplined Growth will likely underperform.
Auto-correlation | 0.11 |
Insignificant predictability
Disciplined Growth Fund has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Disciplined Growth time series from 16th of December 2024 to 30th of January 2025 and 30th of January 2025 to 16th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Disciplined Growth price movement. The serial correlation of 0.11 indicates that less than 11.0% of current Disciplined Growth price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.11 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.02 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.55 |
Disciplined Growth lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Disciplined Growth mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Disciplined Growth's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Disciplined Growth returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Disciplined Growth has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Disciplined Growth regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Disciplined Growth mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Disciplined Growth mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Disciplined Growth mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Disciplined Growth Lagged Returns
When evaluating Disciplined Growth's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Disciplined Growth mutual fund have on its future price. Disciplined Growth autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Disciplined Growth autocorrelation shows the relationship between Disciplined Growth mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Disciplined Growth Fund.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in DISCIPLINED Mutual Fund
Disciplined Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether DISCIPLINED Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DISCIPLINED with respect to the benefits of owning Disciplined Growth security.
| Performance Analysis Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation | |
| Price Exposure Probability Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets |