GAMING FAC (Germany) Market Value

9JU Stock  EUR 1.58  0.06  3.66%   
GAMING FAC's market value is the price at which a share of GAMING FAC trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of GAMING FAC SA investors about its performance. GAMING FAC is trading at 1.58 as of the 20th of December 2024. This is a 3.66% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 1.58.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of GAMING FAC SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in GAMING FAC over a given investment horizon. Check out GAMING FAC Correlation, GAMING FAC Volatility and GAMING FAC Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on GAMING FAC.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between GAMING FAC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GAMING FAC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GAMING FAC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

GAMING FAC 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to GAMING FAC's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of GAMING FAC.
0.00
12/31/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
12/20/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in GAMING FAC on December 31, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding GAMING FAC SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in GAMING FAC over 720 days. GAMING FAC is related to or competes with NEXON, Take-Two Interactive, Superior Plus, SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS, Norsk Hydro, Reliance Steel, and RYOHIN UNSPADR1. Gaming Factory S.A. produces and publishes personal computer and console games More

GAMING FAC Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure GAMING FAC's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess GAMING FAC SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

GAMING FAC Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for GAMING FAC's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as GAMING FAC's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use GAMING FAC historical prices to predict the future GAMING FAC's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.585.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.415.03
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GAMING FAC SA Backtested Returns

GAMING FAC SA holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.077, which attests that the company had a -0.077% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. GAMING FAC SA exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out GAMING FAC's coefficient of variation of (1,160), and Standard Deviation of 3.58 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The firm retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.21, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, GAMING FAC's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding GAMING FAC is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, GAMING FAC SA has a negative expected return of -0.28%. Please make sure to check out GAMING FAC's variance, treynor ratio, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and skewness , to decide if GAMING FAC SA performance from the past will be repeated in the future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.89  

Excellent reverse predictability

GAMING FAC SA has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between GAMING FAC time series from 31st of December 2022 to 26th of December 2023 and 26th of December 2023 to 20th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of GAMING FAC SA price movement. The serial correlation of -0.89 indicates that approximately 89.0% of current GAMING FAC price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.89
Spearman Rank Test-0.81
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.29

GAMING FAC SA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is GAMING FAC stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting GAMING FAC's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of GAMING FAC returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that GAMING FAC has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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GAMING FAC regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If GAMING FAC stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if GAMING FAC stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in GAMING FAC stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

GAMING FAC Lagged Returns

When evaluating GAMING FAC's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of GAMING FAC stock have on its future price. GAMING FAC autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, GAMING FAC autocorrelation shows the relationship between GAMING FAC stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in GAMING FAC SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in GAMING Stock

GAMING FAC financial ratios help investors to determine whether GAMING Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GAMING with respect to the benefits of owning GAMING FAC security.