ELECOM CO (Germany) Market Value

9EL Stock  EUR 8.95  0.05  0.56%   
ELECOM CO's market value is the price at which a share of ELECOM CO trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ELECOM LTD investors about its performance. ELECOM CO is trading at 8.95 as of the 4th of January 2025. This is a 0.56 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 8.95.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ELECOM LTD and determine expected loss or profit from investing in ELECOM CO over a given investment horizon. Check out ELECOM CO Correlation, ELECOM CO Volatility and ELECOM CO Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on ELECOM CO.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between ELECOM CO's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ELECOM CO is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ELECOM CO's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

ELECOM CO 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to ELECOM CO's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of ELECOM CO.
0.00
12/05/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
01/04/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in ELECOM CO on December 5, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ELECOM LTD or generate 0.0% return on investment in ELECOM CO over 30 days. ELECOM CO is related to or competes with Check Point, SCOTT TECHNOLOGY, DXC Technology, PRECISION DRILLING, and Vishay Intertechnology. Elecom Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells personal computer and digital device related products worldwide More

ELECOM CO Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure ELECOM CO's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ELECOM LTD upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

ELECOM CO Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for ELECOM CO's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as ELECOM CO's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use ELECOM CO historical prices to predict the future ELECOM CO's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.898.9510.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.768.829.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.019.0710.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.608.899.18
Details

ELECOM LTD Backtested Returns

At this point, ELECOM CO is not too volatile. ELECOM LTD secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0314, which denotes the company had a 0.0314% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for ELECOM LTD, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm ELECOM CO's mean deviation of 0.8119, and Downside Deviation of 1.1 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0332%. ELECOM CO has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.14, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, ELECOM CO's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding ELECOM CO is expected to be smaller as well. ELECOM LTD at this time shows a risk of 1.06%. Please confirm ELECOM LTD market risk adjusted performance, semi deviation, coefficient of variation, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to decide if ELECOM LTD will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.10  

Insignificant predictability

ELECOM LTD has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between ELECOM CO time series from 5th of December 2024 to 20th of December 2024 and 20th of December 2024 to 4th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ELECOM LTD price movement. The serial correlation of 0.1 indicates that less than 10.0% of current ELECOM CO price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.1
Spearman Rank Test0.04
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

ELECOM LTD lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is ELECOM CO stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting ELECOM CO's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of ELECOM CO returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that ELECOM CO has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

ELECOM CO regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If ELECOM CO stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if ELECOM CO stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in ELECOM CO stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

ELECOM CO Lagged Returns

When evaluating ELECOM CO's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of ELECOM CO stock have on its future price. ELECOM CO autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, ELECOM CO autocorrelation shows the relationship between ELECOM CO stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ELECOM LTD.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in ELECOM Stock

ELECOM CO financial ratios help investors to determine whether ELECOM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ELECOM with respect to the benefits of owning ELECOM CO security.