CHINA CONCH's market value is the price at which a share of CHINA CONCH trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of CHINA CH VENT investors about its performance. CHINA CONCH is trading at 0.74 as of the 9th of January 2025. This is a 1.33% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.74. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of CHINA CH VENT and determine expected loss or profit from investing in CHINA CONCH over a given investment horizon. Check out CHINA CONCH Correlation, CHINA CONCH Volatility and CHINA CONCH Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on CHINA CONCH.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CHINA CONCH's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CHINA CONCH is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CHINA CONCH's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
CHINA CONCH 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to CHINA CONCH's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of CHINA CONCH.
0.00
11/10/2024
No Change 0.00
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In 2 months and 2 days
01/09/2025
0.00
If you would invest 0.00 in CHINA CONCH on November 10, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding CHINA CH VENT or generate 0.0% return on investment in CHINA CONCH over 60 days. CHINA CONCH is related to or competes with Japan Asia, Corporate Office, 24SEVENOFFICE GROUP, ALLFUNDS GROUP, and SEI INVESTMENTS. China Conch Venture Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides energy preservation and environmental prot... More
CHINA CONCH Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure CHINA CONCH's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess CHINA CH VENT upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for CHINA CONCH's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as CHINA CONCH's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use CHINA CONCH historical prices to predict the future CHINA CONCH's volatility.
At this point, CHINA CONCH is abnormally volatile. CHINA CH VENT secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0243, which signifies that the company had a 0.0243% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for CHINA CH VENT, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm CHINA CONCH's Mean Deviation of 2.93, coefficient of variation of (11,994), and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0014 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0906%. CHINA CONCH has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.3, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, CHINA CONCH's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding CHINA CONCH is expected to be smaller as well. CHINA CH VENT at this time shows a risk of 3.73%. Please confirm CHINA CH VENT mean deviation, standard deviation, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and variance , to decide if CHINA CH VENT will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation
0.24
Weak predictability
CHINA CH VENT has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between CHINA CONCH time series from 10th of November 2024 to 10th of December 2024 and 10th of December 2024 to 9th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of CHINA CH VENT price movement. The serial correlation of 0.24 indicates that over 24.0% of current CHINA CONCH price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient
0.24
Spearman Rank Test
0.05
Residual Average
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Price Variance
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CHINA CH VENT lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is CHINA CONCH stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting CHINA CONCH's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of CHINA CONCH returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that CHINA CONCH has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values
Timeline
CHINA CONCH regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If CHINA CONCH stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if CHINA CONCH stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in CHINA CONCH stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices
Timeline
CHINA CONCH Lagged Returns
When evaluating CHINA CONCH's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of CHINA CONCH stock have on its future price. CHINA CONCH autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, CHINA CONCH autocorrelation shows the relationship between CHINA CONCH stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in CHINA CH VENT.
CHINA CONCH financial ratios help investors to determine whether CHINA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CHINA with respect to the benefits of owning CHINA CONCH security.