TOTAL ENERGY (Germany) Market Value
| 5O7 Stock | EUR 6.15 0.38 6.59% |
| Symbol | TOTAL |
TOTAL ENERGY 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to TOTAL ENERGY's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of TOTAL ENERGY.
| 12/15/2024 |
| 03/15/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in TOTAL ENERGY on December 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding TOTAL ENERGY SERVS or generate 0.0% return on investment in TOTAL ENERGY over 90 days. TOTAL ENERGY is related to or competes with Sligro Food, EBRO FOODS, SLIGRO FOOD, AUSNUTRIA DAIRY, and Tyson Foods. Total Energy Services Inc. provides various products and services to the oil and natural gas industry primarily in Canad... More
TOTAL ENERGY Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure TOTAL ENERGY's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess TOTAL ENERGY SERVS upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.06) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.8 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.64) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.02 |
TOTAL ENERGY Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for TOTAL ENERGY's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as TOTAL ENERGY's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use TOTAL ENERGY historical prices to predict the future TOTAL ENERGY's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.09) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.28) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1228 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (2.08) |
TOTAL ENERGY SERVS Backtested Returns
TOTAL ENERGY SERVS owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.13, which indicates the firm had a -0.13 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. TOTAL ENERGY SERVS exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate TOTAL ENERGY's variance of 6.43, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.15, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, TOTAL ENERGY's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding TOTAL ENERGY is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, TOTAL ENERGY SERVS has a negative expected return of -0.33%. Please make sure to validate TOTAL ENERGY's total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and value at risk , to decide if TOTAL ENERGY SERVS performance from the past will be repeated at some future point.
Auto-correlation | 0.28 |
Poor predictability
TOTAL ENERGY SERVS has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between TOTAL ENERGY time series from 15th of December 2024 to 29th of January 2025 and 29th of January 2025 to 15th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of TOTAL ENERGY SERVS price movement. The serial correlation of 0.28 indicates that nearly 28.0% of current TOTAL ENERGY price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.28 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.04 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.3 |
TOTAL ENERGY SERVS lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is TOTAL ENERGY stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting TOTAL ENERGY's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of TOTAL ENERGY returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that TOTAL ENERGY has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
TOTAL ENERGY regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If TOTAL ENERGY stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if TOTAL ENERGY stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in TOTAL ENERGY stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
TOTAL ENERGY Lagged Returns
When evaluating TOTAL ENERGY's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of TOTAL ENERGY stock have on its future price. TOTAL ENERGY autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, TOTAL ENERGY autocorrelation shows the relationship between TOTAL ENERGY stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in TOTAL ENERGY SERVS.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in TOTAL Stock
TOTAL ENERGY financial ratios help investors to determine whether TOTAL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TOTAL with respect to the benefits of owning TOTAL ENERGY security.