Ko Ja (Taiwan) Market Value

5215 Stock  TWD 46.75  0.40  0.85%   
Ko Ja's market value is the price at which a share of Ko Ja trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Ko Ja Cayman investors about its performance. Ko Ja is selling for under 46.75 as of the 5th of December 2024; that is 0.85 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 46.65.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Ko Ja Cayman and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Ko Ja over a given investment horizon. Check out Ko Ja Correlation, Ko Ja Volatility and Ko Ja Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Ko Ja.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Ko Ja's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ko Ja is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ko Ja's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Ko Ja 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ko Ja's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ko Ja.
0.00
11/05/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/05/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Ko Ja on November 5, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ko Ja Cayman or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ko Ja over 30 days. Ko Ja is related to or competes with Chenbro Micom, ASRock, Emerging Display, HannStar Board, and Getac Technology. Ko Ja Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells membrane touch switches for notebook keyboards in Mainland China, Taiwan, and int... More

Ko Ja Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ko Ja's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ko Ja Cayman upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Ko Ja Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ko Ja's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ko Ja's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ko Ja historical prices to predict the future Ko Ja's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
45.3746.7548.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
40.0241.4051.43
Details

Ko Ja Cayman Backtested Returns

Ko Ja Cayman retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0667, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0667% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. Ko Ja exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Ko Ja's Information Ratio of (0.20), market risk adjusted performance of 0.8973, and Mean Deviation of 1.03 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.19, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Ko Ja are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Ko Ja is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Ko Ja Cayman has a negative expected return of -0.0923%. Please make sure to verify Ko Ja's market risk adjusted performance, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to decide if Ko Ja Cayman performance from the past will be repeated in the future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.54  

Modest predictability

Ko Ja Cayman has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ko Ja time series from 5th of November 2024 to 20th of November 2024 and 20th of November 2024 to 5th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ko Ja Cayman price movement. The serial correlation of 0.54 indicates that about 54.0% of current Ko Ja price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.54
Spearman Rank Test0.38
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.22

Ko Ja Cayman lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Ko Ja stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ko Ja's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ko Ja returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ko Ja has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Ko Ja regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ko Ja stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ko Ja stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ko Ja stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Ko Ja Lagged Returns

When evaluating Ko Ja's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ko Ja stock have on its future price. Ko Ja autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ko Ja autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ko Ja stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ko Ja Cayman.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for 5215 Stock Analysis

When running Ko Ja's price analysis, check to measure Ko Ja's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ko Ja is operating at the current time. Most of Ko Ja's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ko Ja's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ko Ja's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ko Ja to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.