MSCI (Germany) Market Value

3HM Stock  EUR 548.60  1.00  0.18%   
MSCI's market value is the price at which a share of MSCI trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of MSCI Inc investors about its performance. MSCI is trading at 548.60 as of the 26th of February 2025. This is a 0.18 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 546.8.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of MSCI Inc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in MSCI over a given investment horizon. Check out MSCI Correlation, MSCI Volatility and MSCI Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on MSCI.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between MSCI's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MSCI is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MSCI's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

MSCI 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to MSCI's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of MSCI.
0.00
01/27/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
02/26/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in MSCI on January 27, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding MSCI Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in MSCI over 30 days. MSCI is related to or competes with COSTCO WHOLESALE, Burlington Stores, Allegheny Technologies, Fast Retailing, and Sunny Optical. MSCI Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides investment decision support tools for the clients to manage their in... More

MSCI Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure MSCI's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess MSCI Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

MSCI Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for MSCI's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as MSCI's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use MSCI historical prices to predict the future MSCI's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
547.16548.60550.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
481.33482.77603.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
558.83560.26561.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
537.40555.47573.54
Details

MSCI Inc Backtested Returns

MSCI Inc retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0313, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0313 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. MSCI exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify MSCI's Mean Deviation of 0.9738, coefficient of variation of (7,343), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.21) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.13, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, MSCI's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding MSCI is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, MSCI Inc has a negative expected return of -0.0451%. Please make sure to verify MSCI's standard deviation, total risk alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if MSCI Inc performance from the past will be repeated at future time.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.52  

Modest predictability

MSCI Inc has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between MSCI time series from 27th of January 2025 to 11th of February 2025 and 11th of February 2025 to 26th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of MSCI Inc price movement. The serial correlation of 0.52 indicates that about 52.0% of current MSCI price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.52
Spearman Rank Test0.18
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance10.18

MSCI Inc lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is MSCI stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting MSCI's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of MSCI returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that MSCI has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

MSCI regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If MSCI stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if MSCI stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in MSCI stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

MSCI Lagged Returns

When evaluating MSCI's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of MSCI stock have on its future price. MSCI autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, MSCI autocorrelation shows the relationship between MSCI stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in MSCI Inc.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in MSCI Stock

When determining whether MSCI Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of MSCI's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Msci Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Msci Inc Stock:
Check out MSCI Correlation, MSCI Volatility and MSCI Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on MSCI.
You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
MSCI technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of MSCI technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of MSCI trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...