Guangdong Failong (China) Market Value

300460 Stock   12.34  0.57  4.42%   
Guangdong Failong's market value is the price at which a share of Guangdong Failong trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Guangdong Failong Crystal investors about its performance. Guangdong Failong is trading at 12.34 as of the 13th of March 2025, a 4.42 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 12.91.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Guangdong Failong Crystal and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Guangdong Failong over a given investment horizon. Check out Guangdong Failong Correlation, Guangdong Failong Volatility and Guangdong Failong Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Guangdong Failong.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Guangdong Failong's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Guangdong Failong is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guangdong Failong's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Guangdong Failong 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Guangdong Failong's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Guangdong Failong.
0.00
12/13/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
03/13/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Guangdong Failong on December 13, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Guangdong Failong Crystal or generate 0.0% return on investment in Guangdong Failong over 90 days. Guangdong Failong is related to or competes with Hunan Tyen, Henan Shuanghui, Allied Machinery, Ningbo Construction, Sunny Loan, Huawen Media, and Harson Trading. Guangdong Failong is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHE exchange. More

Guangdong Failong Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Guangdong Failong's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Guangdong Failong Crystal upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Guangdong Failong Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guangdong Failong's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Guangdong Failong's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Guangdong Failong historical prices to predict the future Guangdong Failong's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.7512.9116.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.7810.9414.10
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Guangdong Failong. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Guangdong Failong's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Guangdong Failong's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Guangdong Failong Crystal.

Guangdong Failong Crystal Backtested Returns

Guangdong Failong Crystal holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.053, which attests that the entity had a -0.053 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Guangdong Failong Crystal exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Guangdong Failong's market risk adjusted performance of (0.75), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.21, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Guangdong Failong's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Guangdong Failong is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Guangdong Failong Crystal has a negative expected return of -0.17%. Please make sure to check out Guangdong Failong's market risk adjusted performance, coefficient of variation, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to decide if Guangdong Failong Crystal performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.73  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

Guangdong Failong Crystal has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Guangdong Failong time series from 13th of December 2024 to 27th of January 2025 and 27th of January 2025 to 13th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Guangdong Failong Crystal price movement. The serial correlation of -0.73 indicates that around 73.0% of current Guangdong Failong price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.73
Spearman Rank Test-0.14
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.32

Guangdong Failong Crystal lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Guangdong Failong stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Guangdong Failong's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Guangdong Failong returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Guangdong Failong has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Guangdong Failong regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Guangdong Failong stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Guangdong Failong stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Guangdong Failong stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Guangdong Failong Lagged Returns

When evaluating Guangdong Failong's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Guangdong Failong stock have on its future price. Guangdong Failong autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Guangdong Failong autocorrelation shows the relationship between Guangdong Failong stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Guangdong Failong Crystal.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Guangdong Stock

Guangdong Failong financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guangdong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guangdong with respect to the benefits of owning Guangdong Failong security.