PagerDuty (Germany) Market Value

2TY Stock   17.24  0.42  2.50%   
PagerDuty's market value is the price at which a share of PagerDuty trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of PagerDuty investors about its performance. PagerDuty is selling for under 17.24 as of the 21st of March 2025; that is 2.50 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 17.24.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of PagerDuty and determine expected loss or profit from investing in PagerDuty over a given investment horizon. Check out PagerDuty Correlation, PagerDuty Volatility and PagerDuty Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on PagerDuty.
For more information on how to buy PagerDuty Stock please use our How to Invest in PagerDuty guide.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between PagerDuty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PagerDuty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PagerDuty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

PagerDuty 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to PagerDuty's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of PagerDuty.
0.00
12/21/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
03/21/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in PagerDuty on December 21, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding PagerDuty or generate 0.0% return on investment in PagerDuty over 90 days. PagerDuty is related to or competes with COMBA TELECOM, WILLIS LEASE, Chunghwa Telecom, Lendlease, ITALIAN WINE, China Communications, and WT OFFSHORE. More

PagerDuty Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure PagerDuty's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess PagerDuty upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

PagerDuty Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for PagerDuty's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as PagerDuty's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use PagerDuty historical prices to predict the future PagerDuty's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PagerDuty's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.9217.2419.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.6716.9919.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.9318.2520.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.5916.2617.94
Details

PagerDuty Backtested Returns

PagerDuty maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of close to zero, which implies the firm had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. PagerDuty exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check PagerDuty's Variance of 4.86, risk adjusted performance of (0.08), and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,038) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of -0.0501, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning PagerDuty are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, PagerDuty is likely to outperform the market. At this point, PagerDuty has a negative expected return of -0.0103%. Please make sure to check PagerDuty's treynor ratio, and the relationship between the standard deviation and kurtosis , to decide if PagerDuty performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.76  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

PagerDuty has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between PagerDuty time series from 21st of December 2024 to 4th of February 2025 and 4th of February 2025 to 21st of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of PagerDuty price movement. The serial correlation of -0.76 indicates that around 76.0% of current PagerDuty price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.76
Spearman Rank Test-0.71
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.18
PagerDuty ReturnsPagerDuty Lagged ReturnsDiversified AwayPagerDuty ReturnsPagerDuty Lagged ReturnsDiversified Away100%

PagerDuty lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is PagerDuty stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting PagerDuty's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of PagerDuty returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that PagerDuty has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15FebFeb 09Feb 14Feb 19Feb 24MarMar 06Mar 11Mar 16-20%-15%-10%-5%0%5% 1
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Volume Lagged Volume Prices Lagged Prices
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PagerDuty regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If PagerDuty stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if PagerDuty stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in PagerDuty stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15FebFeb 09Feb 14Feb 19Feb 24MarMar 06Mar 11Mar 1615.516.016.517.017.518.018.5
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Regression Prices Lagged Regression Prices
       Timeline  

PagerDuty Lagged Returns

When evaluating PagerDuty's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of PagerDuty stock have on its future price. PagerDuty autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, PagerDuty autocorrelation shows the relationship between PagerDuty stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in PagerDuty.
   Regressed Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152025FebMar14.515.015.516.016.517.017.518.018.519.0
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Lagged Returns Returns
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for PagerDuty Stock Analysis

When running PagerDuty's price analysis, check to measure PagerDuty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PagerDuty is operating at the current time. Most of PagerDuty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PagerDuty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PagerDuty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PagerDuty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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