Kuo Yang (Taiwan) Market Value

2505 Stock  TWD 21.30  0.85  3.84%   
Kuo Yang's market value is the price at which a share of Kuo Yang trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Kuo Yang Construction investors about its performance. Kuo Yang is selling for under 21.30 as of the 17th of December 2024; that is 3.84 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 20.95.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Kuo Yang Construction and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Kuo Yang over a given investment horizon. Check out Kuo Yang Correlation, Kuo Yang Volatility and Kuo Yang Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Kuo Yang.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Kuo Yang's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kuo Yang is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kuo Yang's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Kuo Yang 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Kuo Yang's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Kuo Yang.
0.00
12/28/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
12/17/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Kuo Yang on December 28, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Kuo Yang Construction or generate 0.0% return on investment in Kuo Yang over 720 days. Kuo Yang is related to or competes with Chong Hong, Ruentex Development, Symtek Automation, WiseChip Semiconductor, Novatek Microelectronics, Leader Electronics, and Advanced Ceramic. Kuo Yang Construction Co., Ltd engages in the real estate development business in Taiwan More

Kuo Yang Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Kuo Yang's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Kuo Yang Construction upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Kuo Yang Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Kuo Yang's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Kuo Yang's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Kuo Yang historical prices to predict the future Kuo Yang's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.6121.3022.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.2121.9023.59
Details

Kuo Yang Construction Backtested Returns

Kuo Yang Construction has Sharpe Ratio of -0.13, which conveys that the firm had a -0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Kuo Yang exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Kuo Yang's Mean Deviation of 1.22, standard deviation of 1.66, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.52, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Kuo Yang's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Kuo Yang is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Kuo Yang Construction has a negative expected return of -0.22%. Please make sure to verify Kuo Yang's standard deviation, total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Kuo Yang Construction performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.09  

Very weak reverse predictability

Kuo Yang Construction has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Kuo Yang time series from 28th of December 2022 to 23rd of December 2023 and 23rd of December 2023 to 17th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Kuo Yang Construction price movement. The serial correlation of -0.09 indicates that less than 9.0% of current Kuo Yang price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.09
Spearman Rank Test0.0
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance8.13

Kuo Yang Construction lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Kuo Yang stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Kuo Yang's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Kuo Yang returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Kuo Yang has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Kuo Yang regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Kuo Yang stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Kuo Yang stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Kuo Yang stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Kuo Yang Lagged Returns

When evaluating Kuo Yang's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Kuo Yang stock have on its future price. Kuo Yang autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Kuo Yang autocorrelation shows the relationship between Kuo Yang stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Kuo Yang Construction.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Kuo Stock Analysis

When running Kuo Yang's price analysis, check to measure Kuo Yang's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kuo Yang is operating at the current time. Most of Kuo Yang's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kuo Yang's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kuo Yang's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kuo Yang to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.