Universal (Taiwan) Market Value
| 1325 Stock | TWD 28.70 0.20 0.70% |
| Symbol | Universal |
Universal 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Universal's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Universal.
| 12/15/2024 |
| 03/15/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Universal on December 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Universal or generate 0.0% return on investment in Universal over 90 days. Universal is related to or competes with Taita Chemical, Tah Hsin, China General, San Fang, and UPC Technology. Universal Incorporation manufactures and sells non-woven fabrics and medical face masks in Taiwan More
Universal Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Universal's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Universal upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.99 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0754 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 19.8 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.66) | |||
| Potential Upside | 9.9 |
Universal Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Universal's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Universal's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Universal historical prices to predict the future Universal's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0421 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1911 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.7852 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0959 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4402 |
Universal Backtested Returns
Universal appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Universal owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0762, which indicates the firm had a 0.0762 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Universal, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Universal's Coefficient Of Variation of 2462.29, semi deviation of 2.8, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0421 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Universal holds a performance score of 6. The entity has a beta of 0.33, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Universal's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Universal is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Universal's downside deviation, information ratio, and the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to make a quick decision on whether Universal's existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.64 |
Very good reverse predictability
Universal has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Universal time series from 15th of December 2024 to 29th of January 2025 and 29th of January 2025 to 15th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Universal price movement. The serial correlation of -0.64 indicates that roughly 64.0% of current Universal price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.64 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.71 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 4.01 |
Universal lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Universal stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Universal's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Universal returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Universal has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Universal regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Universal stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Universal stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Universal stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Universal Lagged Returns
When evaluating Universal's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Universal stock have on its future price. Universal autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Universal autocorrelation shows the relationship between Universal stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Universal.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Universal Stock Analysis
When running Universal's price analysis, check to measure Universal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Universal is operating at the current time. Most of Universal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Universal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Universal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Universal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.