Universal (Taiwan) Market Value

1325 Stock  TWD 31.10  0.30  0.96%   
Universal's market value is the price at which a share of Universal trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Universal investors about its performance. Universal is selling for under 31.10 as of the 5th of March 2025; that is 0.96 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 30.8.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Universal and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Universal over a given investment horizon. Check out Universal Correlation, Universal Volatility and Universal Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Universal.
For more information on how to buy Universal Stock please use our How to Invest in Universal guide.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Universal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Universal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Universal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Universal 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Universal's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Universal.
0.00
02/03/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
03/05/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Universal on February 3, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Universal or generate 0.0% return on investment in Universal over 30 days. Universal is related to or competes with Taita Chemical, Tah Hsin, China General, San Fang, and UPC Technology. Universal Incorporation manufactures and sells non-woven fabrics and medical face masks in Taiwan More

Universal Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Universal's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Universal upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Universal Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Universal's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Universal's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Universal historical prices to predict the future Universal's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.9931.1035.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.5031.6135.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.3834.4938.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.3630.8138.27
Details

Universal Backtested Returns

Universal appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Universal owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0791, which indicates the firm had a 0.0791 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Universal, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Universal's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0665, coefficient of variation of 1316.28, and Semi Deviation of 2.87 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Universal holds a performance score of 6. The entity has a beta of 0.3, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Universal's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Universal is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Universal's downside deviation, information ratio, and the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to make a quick decision on whether Universal's existing price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.11  

Insignificant predictability

Universal has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Universal time series from 3rd of February 2025 to 18th of February 2025 and 18th of February 2025 to 5th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Universal price movement. The serial correlation of 0.11 indicates that less than 11.0% of current Universal price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.11
Spearman Rank Test0.2
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.59

Universal lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Universal stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Universal's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Universal returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Universal has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Universal regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Universal stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Universal stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Universal stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Universal Lagged Returns

When evaluating Universal's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Universal stock have on its future price. Universal autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Universal autocorrelation shows the relationship between Universal stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Universal.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Universal Stock Analysis

When running Universal's price analysis, check to measure Universal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Universal is operating at the current time. Most of Universal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Universal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Universal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Universal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.