Taiwan Semiconductor (UK) Market Value
| 0LCV Stock | USD 171.50 0.80 0.47% |
| Symbol | Taiwan |
Taiwan Semiconductor 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Taiwan Semiconductor's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Taiwan Semiconductor.
| 12/16/2024 |
| 03/16/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Taiwan Semiconductor on December 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing or generate 0.0% return on investment in Taiwan Semiconductor over 90 days. Taiwan Semiconductor is related to or competes with Samsung Electronics, Aurora Investment, Aptitude Software, Take Two, Cardinal Health, Cars, and Check Point. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited manufactures and sells integrated circuits and semiconductors More
Taiwan Semiconductor Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Taiwan Semiconductor's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 21.8 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.57) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.64 |
Taiwan Semiconductor Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Taiwan Semiconductor's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Taiwan Semiconductor's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Taiwan Semiconductor historical prices to predict the future Taiwan Semiconductor's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.08) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2408 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.26) |
Taiwan Semiconductor Backtested Returns
Taiwan Semiconductor owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0673, which indicates the firm had a -0.0673 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Taiwan Semiconductor's Variance of 9.53, coefficient of variation of (2,272), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.56, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Taiwan Semiconductor's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Taiwan Semiconductor is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Taiwan Semiconductor has a negative expected return of -0.21%. Please make sure to validate Taiwan Semiconductor's market risk adjusted performance, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to decide if Taiwan Semiconductor performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.37 |
Poor reverse predictability
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Taiwan Semiconductor time series from 16th of December 2024 to 30th of January 2025 and 30th of January 2025 to 16th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Taiwan Semiconductor price movement. The serial correlation of -0.37 indicates that just about 37.0% of current Taiwan Semiconductor price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.37 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.38 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 195.12 |
Taiwan Semiconductor lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Taiwan Semiconductor stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Taiwan Semiconductor's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Taiwan Semiconductor returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Taiwan Semiconductor has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Taiwan Semiconductor regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Taiwan Semiconductor stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Taiwan Semiconductor stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Taiwan Semiconductor stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Taiwan Semiconductor Lagged Returns
When evaluating Taiwan Semiconductor's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Taiwan Semiconductor stock have on its future price. Taiwan Semiconductor autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Taiwan Semiconductor autocorrelation shows the relationship between Taiwan Semiconductor stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Taiwan Semiconductor technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.