Xiangyang Automobile (China) Market Value

000678 Stock   6.65  0.12  1.84%   
Xiangyang Automobile's market value is the price at which a share of Xiangyang Automobile trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Xiangyang Automobile Bearing investors about its performance. Xiangyang Automobile is trading at 6.65 as of the 22nd of December 2024, a 1.84 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 6.53.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Xiangyang Automobile Bearing and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Xiangyang Automobile over a given investment horizon. Check out Xiangyang Automobile Correlation, Xiangyang Automobile Volatility and Xiangyang Automobile Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Xiangyang Automobile.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Xiangyang Automobile's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Xiangyang Automobile is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Xiangyang Automobile's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Xiangyang Automobile 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Xiangyang Automobile's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Xiangyang Automobile.
0.00
11/22/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Xiangyang Automobile on November 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Xiangyang Automobile Bearing or generate 0.0% return on investment in Xiangyang Automobile over 30 days. Xiangyang Automobile is related to or competes with Industrial, China Construction, Bank of China, Agricultural Bank, PetroChina, China Mobile, and Ping An. Xiangyang Automobile is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHE exchange. More

Xiangyang Automobile Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Xiangyang Automobile's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Xiangyang Automobile Bearing upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Xiangyang Automobile Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Xiangyang Automobile's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Xiangyang Automobile's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Xiangyang Automobile historical prices to predict the future Xiangyang Automobile's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.806.7710.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.525.499.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.456.4210.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.436.627.81
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Xiangyang Automobile. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Xiangyang Automobile's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Xiangyang Automobile's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Xiangyang Automobile.

Xiangyang Automobile Backtested Returns

Xiangyang Automobile appears to be moderately volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Xiangyang Automobile shows Sharpe Ratio of 0.13, which attests that the company had a 0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By examining Xiangyang Automobile's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.53% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize Xiangyang Automobile's Downside Deviation of 3.68, mean deviation of 3.23, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.86) to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Xiangyang Automobile holds a performance score of 10. The firm maintains a market beta of -0.8, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Xiangyang Automobile are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Xiangyang Automobile is likely to outperform the market. Please check Xiangyang Automobile's market risk adjusted performance, semi deviation, coefficient of variation, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to make a quick decision on whether Xiangyang Automobile's historical returns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.8  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

Xiangyang Automobile Bearing has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Xiangyang Automobile time series from 22nd of November 2024 to 7th of December 2024 and 7th of December 2024 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Xiangyang Automobile price movement. The serial correlation of -0.8 indicates that around 80.0% of current Xiangyang Automobile price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.8
Spearman Rank Test-0.71
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.17

Xiangyang Automobile lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Xiangyang Automobile stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Xiangyang Automobile's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Xiangyang Automobile returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Xiangyang Automobile has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Xiangyang Automobile regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Xiangyang Automobile stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Xiangyang Automobile stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Xiangyang Automobile stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Xiangyang Automobile Lagged Returns

When evaluating Xiangyang Automobile's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Xiangyang Automobile stock have on its future price. Xiangyang Automobile autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Xiangyang Automobile autocorrelation shows the relationship between Xiangyang Automobile stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Xiangyang Automobile Bearing.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Xiangyang Stock

Xiangyang Automobile financial ratios help investors to determine whether Xiangyang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Xiangyang with respect to the benefits of owning Xiangyang Automobile security.