Ningxia Younglight (China) Market Value

000635 Stock   8.01  0.12  1.52%   
Ningxia Younglight's market value is the price at which a share of Ningxia Younglight trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Ningxia Younglight Chemicals investors about its performance. Ningxia Younglight is trading at 8.01 as of the 17th of March 2025, a 1.52 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 7.89.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Ningxia Younglight Chemicals and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Ningxia Younglight over a given investment horizon. Check out Ningxia Younglight Correlation, Ningxia Younglight Volatility and Ningxia Younglight Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Ningxia Younglight.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Ningxia Younglight's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ningxia Younglight is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ningxia Younglight's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Ningxia Younglight 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ningxia Younglight's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ningxia Younglight.
0.00
12/17/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
03/17/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Ningxia Younglight on December 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ningxia Younglight Chemicals or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ningxia Younglight over 90 days. Ningxia Younglight is related to or competes with JCHX Mining, Jinhui Mining, Lianhe Chemical, Nantong JiangTian, Liuzhou Chemical, Shenzhen Silver, and Xiangtan Electrochemical. Ningxia Younglight is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHE exchange. More

Ningxia Younglight Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ningxia Younglight's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ningxia Younglight Chemicals upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Ningxia Younglight Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ningxia Younglight's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ningxia Younglight's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ningxia Younglight historical prices to predict the future Ningxia Younglight's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.168.0110.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.006.859.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.728.5711.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.487.888.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ningxia Younglight. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ningxia Younglight's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ningxia Younglight's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ningxia Younglight.

Ningxia Younglight Backtested Returns

At this point, Ningxia Younglight is somewhat reliable. Ningxia Younglight has Sharpe Ratio of close to zero, which conveys that the firm had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-four technical indicators for Ningxia Younglight, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify Ningxia Younglight's Mean Deviation of 1.95, insignificant risk adjusted performance, and Standard Deviation of 2.76 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0045%. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0986, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Ningxia Younglight's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ningxia Younglight is expected to be smaller as well. Ningxia Younglight right now secures a risk of 2.8%. Please verify Ningxia Younglight Chemicals coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the standard deviation and total risk alpha , to decide if Ningxia Younglight Chemicals will be following its current price movements.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.30  

Below average predictability

Ningxia Younglight Chemicals has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ningxia Younglight time series from 17th of December 2024 to 31st of January 2025 and 31st of January 2025 to 17th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ningxia Younglight price movement. The serial correlation of 0.3 indicates that nearly 30.0% of current Ningxia Younglight price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.3
Spearman Rank Test-0.32
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Ningxia Younglight lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Ningxia Younglight stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ningxia Younglight's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ningxia Younglight returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ningxia Younglight has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Ningxia Younglight regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ningxia Younglight stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ningxia Younglight stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ningxia Younglight stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Ningxia Younglight Lagged Returns

When evaluating Ningxia Younglight's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ningxia Younglight stock have on its future price. Ningxia Younglight autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ningxia Younglight autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ningxia Younglight stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ningxia Younglight Chemicals.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Ningxia Stock

Ningxia Younglight financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ningxia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ningxia with respect to the benefits of owning Ningxia Younglight security.