Is TrueCar Stock a Good Investment?

TrueCar Investment Advice

  TRUE
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on TrueCar stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating TrueCar. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include TrueCar in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine TrueCar's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research TrueCar's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help TrueCar navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Interactive Media & Services space and any emerging trends that could impact TrueCar's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare TrueCar's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how TrueCar is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if TrueCar pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about TrueCar's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in TrueCar stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if TrueCar is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Strong Hold
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on TrueCar. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure TrueCar is not overpriced, please validate all TrueCar fundamentals, including its ebitda, earnings per share, current liabilities, as well as the relationship between the debt to equity and market capitalization . Given that TrueCar has a price to earning of 3.49 X, we advise you to double-check TrueCar market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Moderately volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails

Examine TrueCar Stock

Researching TrueCar's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of TrueCar was at this time reported as 1.45. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.29. TrueCar last dividend was issued on the May 6, 2009.
To determine if TrueCar is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding TrueCar's research are outlined below:
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 158.71 M. Net Loss for the year was (49.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 145.32 M.
TrueCar currently holds about 199.68 M in cash with (22.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.2.
TrueCar has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: When Should You Buy TrueCar, Inc.
TrueCar uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in TrueCar. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to TrueCar's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
28th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
13th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
28th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact TrueCar's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises TrueCar's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2017-08-08
2017-06-300.00280.010.0072257 
2018-11-06
2018-09-300.050.04-0.0120 
2017-11-06
2017-09-300.010.020.01100 
2017-05-09
2017-03-31-0.02-0.010.0150 
2014-08-07
2014-06-30-0.03-0.020.0133 
2019-08-08
2019-06-30-0.0028-0.02-0.0172614 
2024-02-20
2023-12-31-0.03-0.010.0266 
2022-11-07
2022-09-30-0.11-0.13-0.0218 

Know TrueCar's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as TrueCar is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TrueCar backward and forwards among themselves. TrueCar's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase TrueCar's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Acuitas Investments, Llc2024-09-30
1.1 M
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2024-09-30
835.1 K
Springbok Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
785.9 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
696.9 K
Acadian Asset Management Llc2024-06-30
671.2 K
Bank Of Montreal2024-06-30
416.1 K
Bmo Capital Markets Corp.2024-06-30
416.1 K
Fmr Inc2024-09-30
380.6 K
State Of Wyoming2024-06-30
370.9 K
Caledonia (private) Investments Pty Ltd2024-09-30
17.8 M
United Services Automobile Association2024-06-30
M
Note, although TrueCar's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

TrueCar's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 366.96 M.

Market Cap

250.78 Million

TrueCar's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.25)(0.27)
Return On Capital Employed(0.32)(0.31)
Return On Assets(0.24)(0.26)
Return On Equity(0.31)(0.33)
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.16) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.16) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.16.
Determining TrueCar's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if TrueCar is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures TrueCar's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of TrueCar's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Please note, the presentation of TrueCar's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, TrueCar's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of TrueCar's management manipulating its earnings.

Evaluate TrueCar's management efficiency

TrueCar has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0622) % which means that it has lost $0.0622 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.1883) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. TrueCar's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well TrueCar manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of November 28, 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is expected to decline to -0.27. The current year's Return On Capital Employed is expected to grow to -0.31. At present, TrueCar's Non Currrent Assets Other are projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Other Assets is expected to grow to about 8 M, whereas Other Current Assets are forecasted to decline to about 5.6 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 1.78  2.21 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 1.69  1.57 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(5.25)(5.52)
Price Book Value Ratio 1.94  3.62 
Enterprise Value Multiple(5.25)(5.52)
Price Fair Value 1.94  3.62 
Enterprise Value88.6 M84.2 M
TrueCar benefits from a management team that prioritizes both innovation and efficiency. We analyze these priorities to gauge the stock's future performance.
Beta
1.829

Basic technical analysis of TrueCar Stock

As of the 28th of November, TrueCar has the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1538, semi deviation of 2.29, and Coefficient Of Variation of 522.1. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of TrueCar, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate TrueCar jensen alpha and downside variance to decide if TrueCar is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 4.35 per share. Given that TrueCar has jensen alpha of 0.322, we advise you to double-check TrueCar's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

TrueCar's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific TrueCar insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on TrueCar's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases TrueCar insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

TrueCar's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

TrueCar issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. TrueCar uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most TrueCar bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when TrueCar has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand TrueCar's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing TrueCar's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider TrueCar's intraday indicators

TrueCar intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of TrueCar stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

TrueCar Corporate Filings

F4
15th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
13A
14th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
10Q
7th of November 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
8K
6th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
TrueCar time-series forecasting models is one of many TrueCar's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary TrueCar's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

TrueCar Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about TrueCar that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through TrueCar media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via TrueCar internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of TrueCar data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of TrueCar news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of TrueCar relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to TrueCar's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive TrueCar alpha.

TrueCar Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards TrueCar can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

TrueCar Corporate Management

When determining whether TrueCar is a strong investment it is important to analyze TrueCar's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact TrueCar's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding TrueCar Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in TrueCar. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
For information on how to trade TrueCar Stock refer to our How to Trade TrueCar Stock guide.
You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Is Interactive Media & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TrueCar. If investors know TrueCar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TrueCar listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.29)
Revenue Per Share
1.874
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.131
Return On Assets
(0.06)
Return On Equity
(0.19)
The market value of TrueCar is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TrueCar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TrueCar's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TrueCar's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TrueCar's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TrueCar's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between TrueCar's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if TrueCar is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TrueCar's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.