Is Erie Indemnity Stock a Good Investment?

Erie Indemnity Investment Advice

  ERIE
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Erie Indemnity stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Erie Indemnity. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Erie Indemnity in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Erie Indemnity's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Erie Indemnity's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Erie Indemnity navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Property & Casualty Insurance space and any emerging trends that could impact Erie Indemnity's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Erie Indemnity's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Erie Indemnity is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Erie Indemnity pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Erie Indemnity's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Erie Indemnity stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Erie Indemnity is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Strong Sell
Macroaxis provides advice on Erie Indemnity to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Erie Indemnity. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Erie Indemnity is not overpriced, please confirm all Erie Indemnity fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, revenue, total debt, as well as the relationship between the price to earning and net income . Given that Erie Indemnity has a price to earning of 46.37 X, we urge you to verify Erie Indemnity market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails

Examine Erie Indemnity Stock

Researching Erie Indemnity's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 46.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 11.48. Erie Indemnity last dividend was issued on the 7th of April 2025. The entity had 3:1 split on the 13th of May 1996.
To determine if Erie Indemnity is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Erie Indemnity's research are outlined below:
Erie Indemnity generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 46.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Acquisition by Datesh Luann of tradable shares of Erie Indemnity subject to Rule 16b-3
Erie Indemnity uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Erie Indemnity. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Erie Indemnity's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
6th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
25th of April 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
6th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Erie Indemnity's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Erie Indemnity's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2001-02-21
2000-12-310.50.45-0.0510 
2000-04-19
2000-03-310.450.50.0511 
1999-07-20
1999-06-300.480.530.0510 
2000-07-19
2000-06-300.520.590.0713 
2016-02-25
2015-12-310.650.57-0.0812 
2001-07-19
2001-06-300.560.640.0814 
2014-05-01
2014-03-310.780.870.0911 
2010-02-25
2009-12-310.480.39-0.0918 

Erie Indemnity Target Price Consensus

Erie target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Erie Indemnity's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   One  Strong Buy
Most Erie analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Erie stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Erie Indemnity, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Erie Indemnity Target Price Projection

Erie Indemnity's current and average target prices are 409.94 and 115.00, respectively. The current price of Erie Indemnity is the price at which Erie Indemnity is currently trading. On the other hand, Erie Indemnity's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Erie Indemnity Market Quote on 22nd of March 2025

Low Price405.52Odds
High Price416.77Odds

409.94

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Erie Indemnity Target Price

Low Estimate104.65Odds
High Estimate127.65Odds

115.0

Historical Lowest Forecast  104.65 Target Price  115.0 Highest Forecast  127.65
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Erie Indemnity and the information provided on this page.

Erie Indemnity Analyst Ratings

Erie Indemnity's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Erie Indemnity stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Erie Indemnity's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Erie Indemnity's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Know Erie Indemnity's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Erie Indemnity is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Erie Indemnity backward and forwards among themselves. Erie Indemnity's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Erie Indemnity's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
157.2 K
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2024-12-31
151.7 K
Caisse De Depot Et Placement Du Quebec2024-12-31
148 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-12-31
141.1 K
Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp2024-12-31
111.4 K
Deutsche Bank Ag2024-12-31
107.2 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-12-31
101.6 K
Legal & General Group Plc2024-12-31
89.5 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-12-31
83.1 K
Pnc Financial Services Group Inc2024-12-31
4.9 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
M
Note, although Erie Indemnity's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Erie Indemnity's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 21.43 B.

Market Cap

19.99 Billion

Erie Indemnity's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.21  0.22 
Return On Capital Employed 0.32  0.34 
Return On Assets 0.21  0.22 
Return On Equity 0.30  0.18 
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.16 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.2 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.2.
Determining Erie Indemnity's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Erie Indemnity is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Erie Indemnity's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Erie Indemnity's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Please note, the presentation of Erie Indemnity's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Erie Indemnity's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Erie Indemnity's management manipulating its earnings.

Evaluate Erie Indemnity's management efficiency

Erie Indemnity has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.1655 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.1655 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.3289 %, meaning that it created $0.3289 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Erie Indemnity's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Erie Indemnity manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At present, Erie Indemnity's Return On Capital Employed is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Return On Assets is expected to grow to 0.22, whereas Return On Equity is forecasted to decline to 0.18. At present, Erie Indemnity's Non Currrent Assets Other are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Net Tangible Assets is expected to grow to about 1.5 B, whereas Other Assets are forecasted to decline to about 42.2 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 43.02  27.87 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 43.02  25.03 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 27.71  29.09 
Price Book Value Ratio 9.58  10.06 
Enterprise Value Multiple 27.71  29.09 
Price Fair Value 9.58  10.06 
Enterprise Value18.7 B19.7 B
The operational strategies employed by Erie Indemnity management play a crucial role in its market positioning. Assessing these strategies alongside financial data helps us evaluate the stock's investment potential.
Dividend Yield
0.0133
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0133
Forward Dividend Rate
5.46
Beta
0.384

Basic technical analysis of Erie Stock

As of the 22nd of March, Erie Indemnity shows the Variance of 4.53, mean deviation of 1.49, and Standard Deviation of 2.13. Erie Indemnity technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Erie Indemnity information ratio, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis to decide if Erie Indemnity is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 409.94 per share. Given that Erie Indemnity has information ratio of 0.0213, we urge you to verify Erie Indemnity's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Erie Indemnity's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Erie Indemnity insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Erie Indemnity's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Erie Indemnity insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Erie Indemnity's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Erie Indemnity issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Erie Indemnity uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Erie bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Erie Indemnity has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Erie Indemnity's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Erie Indemnity's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Erie Indemnity's intraday indicators

Erie Indemnity intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Erie Indemnity stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Erie Indemnity Corporate Filings

21st of March 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
17th of March 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
28th of February 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
27th of February 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
Erie Indemnity time-series forecasting models is one of many Erie Indemnity's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Erie Indemnity's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Erie Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Erie Indemnity that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Erie media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Erie internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Erie data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Erie Indemnity news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Erie Indemnity relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Erie Indemnity's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Erie Indemnity alpha.

Erie Indemnity Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Erie Indemnity can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Erie Indemnity Maximum Pain Price Across June 20th 2025 Option Contracts

Erie Indemnity's options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of Erie Indemnity close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of Erie Indemnity's options.

Erie Indemnity Corporate Management

CPCU CPAEx CFOProfile
Marc CICSenior UnderwritingProfile
Charles CICSenior MarketingProfile
Jeffrey CPCUSenior ServicesProfile
CPCU FCASEx ProductsProfile
Ronald HaburskySenior OfficerProfile
Bill MatrogranVice OperationsProfile
When determining whether Erie Indemnity is a strong investment it is important to analyze Erie Indemnity's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Erie Indemnity's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Erie Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Erie Indemnity. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
For information on how to trade Erie Stock refer to our How to Trade Erie Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Erie Indemnity. If investors know Erie will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Erie Indemnity listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.373
Dividend Share
5.19
Earnings Share
11.48
Revenue Per Share
72.578
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.13
The market value of Erie Indemnity is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Erie that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Erie Indemnity's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Erie Indemnity's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Erie Indemnity's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Erie Indemnity's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Erie Indemnity's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Erie Indemnity is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Erie Indemnity's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.