Is Ecopetrol Stock a Good Investment?

Ecopetrol Investment Advice

To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Ecopetrol SA ADR stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Ecopetrol SA ADR. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Ecopetrol in one of your diversified portfolios:

Examine Ecopetrol's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
Research Ecopetrol's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Ecopetrol navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
Consider the overall health of the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels space and any emerging trends that could impact Ecopetrol's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
Compare Ecopetrol's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Ecopetrol is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
Check if Ecopetrol pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
Review what financial analysts are saying about Ecopetrol's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.

It's important to note that investing in Ecopetrol SA ADR stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Ecopetrol SA ADR is a good investment.

Sell

Buy

Strong Buy

Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Ecopetrol SA ADR and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Ecopetrol is not overpriced, please confirm all Ecopetrol SA ADR fundamentals, including its number of shares shorted, revenue, cash and equivalents, as well as the relationship between the price to book and ebitda . Given that Ecopetrol SA ADR has a price to book of 1.25 X, we urge you to verify Ecopetrol SA ADR market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance	Good	Details
Volatility	Not too volatile	Details
Hype Condition	Under hyped	Details
Current Valuation	Fairly Valued	Details
Odds Of Distress	Very Low	Details
Economic Sensitivity	Barely shadows the market	Details
Investor Sentiment	Impartial	Details
Analyst Consensus	Hold	Details
Financial Strenth (F Score)	Poor	Details
Financial Leverage	Not Rated	Details
Reporting Quality (M-Score)	Possible Manipulator	Details

Examine Ecopetrol Stock

Researching Ecopetrol's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.25. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ecopetrol SA ADR has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.3. The entity last dividend was issued on the 25th of June 2024.

To determine if Ecopetrol is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Ecopetrol's research are outlined below:

	Ecopetrol SA ADR has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
	Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Ecopetrol SA Shares Up 4.05 percent on Feb 13

Ecopetrol Quarterly Liabilities And Stockholders Equity

292.71 Trillion

Ecopetrol uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Ecopetrol SA ADR. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Ecopetrol's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.

	3rd of April 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report	View
	8th of May 2024 Next Financial Report	View
	31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End	View
	3rd of April 2024 Next Fiscal Year End	View
	30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report	View
	31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement	View

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Ecopetrol's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Ecopetrol's investors have experienced.

Reported	Fiscal Date	Estimated EPS	Reported EPS	Surprise
2020-08-04	2020-06-30	0.02	0.003	-0.017	85
2017-08-08	2017-06-30	0.19	0.22	0.03	15
2015-05-12	2015-03-31	0.08	0.03	-0.05	62
2023-08-08	2023-06-30	0.51	0.45	-0.06	11
2020-10-27	2020-09-30	0.17	0.11	-0.06	35
2019-11-12	2019-09-30	0.5	0.44	-0.06	12
2017-11-07	2017-09-30	0.23	0.16	-0.07	30
2019-05-07	2019-03-31	0.35	0.43	0.08	22

Ecopetrol Target Price Consensus

Ecopetrol target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Ecopetrol's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.

Hold

Most Ecopetrol analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Ecopetrol stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Ecopetrol SA ADR, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.

Macroaxis Advice Exposure Valuation

Ecopetrol Target Price Projection

Ecopetrol's current and average target prices are 10.25 and 8.68, respectively. The current price of Ecopetrol is the price at which Ecopetrol SA ADR is currently trading. On the other hand, Ecopetrol's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Ecopetrol Market Quote on 17th of February 2025

Low Price	10.22	Odds
High Price	10.36	Odds

10.25 Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Ecopetrol Target Price

Low Estimate	7.9	Odds
High Estimate	9.64	Odds

8.6818

Historical

Lowest Forecast 7.9

Target Price 8.68

Highest Forecast 9.64

Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Ecopetrol SA ADR and the information provided on this page.

Ecopetrol Analyst Ratings

Ecopetrol's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Ecopetrol stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Ecopetrol's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Ecopetrol's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Know Ecopetrol's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Ecopetrol is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ecopetrol SA ADR backward and forwards among themselves. Ecopetrol's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Ecopetrol's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.

		Shares
Bank Of America Corp	2024-09-30	309.9 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts	2024-09-30	305 K
Balyasny Asset Management Llc	2024-09-30	294.5 K
State Street Corp	2024-09-30	271.2 K
Citadel Advisors Llc	2024-09-30	222.3 K
Bnp Paribas Arbitrage, Sa	2024-12-31	182.2 K
Susquehanna International Group, Llp	2024-09-30	159.6 K
Manning & Napier Advisors, Llc	2024-12-31	156.2 K
Legal & General Group Plc	2024-12-31	149.5 K
Vanguard Group Inc	2024-12-31	3.1 M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co	2024-09-30	1.4 M

Note, although Ecopetrol's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Ecopetrol's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a market capitalization of 21.07 B.

Market Cap

2,268.58 Trillion

Ecopetrol's profitablity analysis

	Last Reported	Projected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets	0.08	0.10
Return On Capital Employed	0.18	0.20
Return On Assets	0.08	0.10
Return On Equity	0.23	0.14

The company has Net Profit Margin (PM) of 0.11 %, which suggests that even a small decline in it sales will erase profits and may result in a net loss, or a negative profit margin. This is way below average. Likewise, it shows Net Operating Margin (NOM) of 0.27 %, which signifies that for every $100 of sales, it has a net operating income of $0.27.

Determining Ecopetrol's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Ecopetrol is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Ecopetrol's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Ecopetrol's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Please note, the presentation of Ecopetrol's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Ecopetrol's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Ecopetrol's management manipulating its earnings.

Evaluate Ecopetrol's management efficiency

Ecopetrol SA ADR has Return on Asset (ROA) of 0.0744 % which means that for every $100 of assets, it generated a profit of $0.0744. This is way below average. Likewise, it shows a return on total equity (ROE) of 0.1882 %, which means that it produced $0.1882 on every 100 dollars invested by current stockholders. Ecopetrol's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Ecopetrol manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At present, Ecopetrol's Return On Capital Employed is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Return On Assets is expected to grow to 0.1, whereas Return On Equity is forecasted to decline to 0.14. At present, Ecopetrol's Non Current Assets Total are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Non Currrent Assets Other is expected to grow to about 74.3 T, whereas Other Current Assets are forecasted to decline to about 2.8 T.

	Last Reported	Projected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share	2.2 K	1.2 K
Tangible Book Value Per Share	1.8 K	1.1 K
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA	38.28	36.36
Price Book Value Ratio	28.83	47.42
Enterprise Value Multiple	38.28	36.36
Price Fair Value	28.83	47.42
Enterprise Value	2515.3 T	2302.7 T

Ecopetrol showcases strong leadership that adapts to market changes and drives innovation. Our analysis explores how this adaptability affects the stock's investment appeal.

Dividend Yield

0.3116

Forward Dividend Yield

0.3116

Forward Dividend Rate

3.19

Beta

0.702

Basic technical analysis of Ecopetrol Stock

As of the 17th of February 2025, Ecopetrol shows the Mean Deviation of 1.67, downside deviation of 1.95, and Coefficient Of Variation of 423.47. Ecopetrol SA ADR technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices.

Ecopetrol's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Ecopetrol insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Ecopetrol's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Ecopetrol insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

		Perry Barry W over three months ago Disposition of 185808 shares by Perry Barry W of Ecopetrol at 28.95 subject to Rule 16b-3
		Wolynic Edward T over three months ago Disposition of 18091 shares by Wolynic Edward T of Ecopetrol at .0 subject to Rule 16b-3
		Napier James V over three months ago Disposition of 3000 shares by Napier James V of Ecopetrol at 17.81 subject to Rule 16b-3
		Wolynic Edward T over six months ago Disposition of 15208 shares by Wolynic Edward T of Ecopetrol at 28.64 subject to Rule 16b-3
		Napier James V over six months ago Acquisition by Napier James V of tradable shares of Ecopetrol at 40.02 subject to Rule 16b-3

Ecopetrol's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Ecopetrol issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Ecopetrol SA ADR uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Ecopetrol bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Ecopetrol SA ADR has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

	ECOPETROL S A Corp Bond US279158AE95	View
	Ecopetrol SA 4125 Corp Bond US279158AK55	View
	ECOPETROL S A Corp Bond US279158AJ82	View
	Ecopetrol SA 4625 Corp Bond US279158AP43	View
	ECOPET 5875 02 NOV 51 Corp Bond US279158AQ26	View
	ECOPET 8875 13 JAN 33 Corp Bond US279158AS81	View

View All Ecopetrol Corporate Bonds

Understand Ecopetrol's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Ecopetrol's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

	Risk Adjusted Performance	0.1741
	Market Risk Adjusted Performance	5.0
	Mean Deviation	1.67
	Semi Deviation	1.29
	Downside Deviation	1.95
	Coefficient Of Variation	423.47
	Standard Deviation	2.23
	Variance	4.99
	Information Ratio	0.2312
	Jensen Alpha	0.5172
	Total Risk Alpha	0.5139
	Sortino Ratio	0.2654
	Treynor Ratio	4.99
	Maximum Drawdown	11.0
	Value At Risk	(3.17)
	Potential Upside	4.99
	Downside Variance	3.78
	Semi Variance	1.67
	Expected Short fall	(1.99)
	Skewness	0.5758
	Kurtosis	0.6753

	Risk Adjusted Performance	0.1741
	Market Risk Adjusted Performance	5.0
	Mean Deviation	1.67
	Semi Deviation	1.29
	Downside Deviation	1.95
	Coefficient Of Variation	423.47
	Standard Deviation	2.23
	Variance	4.99
	Information Ratio	0.2312
	Jensen Alpha	0.5172
	Total Risk Alpha	0.5139
	Sortino Ratio	0.2654
	Treynor Ratio	4.99
	Maximum Drawdown	11.0
	Value At Risk	(3.17)
	Potential Upside	4.99
	Downside Variance	3.78
	Semi Variance	1.67
	Expected Short fall	(1.99)
	Skewness	0.5758
	Kurtosis	0.6753

Consider Ecopetrol's intraday indicators

Ecopetrol intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Ecopetrol stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

	Accumulation Distribution	0.0135
	Daily Balance Of Power	0.2143
	Rate Of Daily Change	1.0
	Day Median Price	10.29
	Day Typical Price	10.28
	Market Facilitation Index	0.14
	Price Action Indicator	(0.03)
	Period Momentum Indicator	0.03
	Relative Strength Index	69.18

Ecopetrol Corporate Filings

6K	6th of February 2025 A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.	View Verify
	21st of November 2024 Other Reports	View Verify
	24th of October 2024 Certification of the accuracy of the financial statements and disclosures	View Verify
	18th of October 2024 Prospectus used primarily for registering securities for public sale.	View Verify

Ecopetrol time-series forecasting models is one of many Ecopetrol's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Ecopetrol's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Ecopetrol Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Ecopetrol that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Ecopetrol media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Ecopetrol internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Ecopetrol data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.

A primary focus of Ecopetrol news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Ecopetrol relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Ecopetrol's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Ecopetrol alpha.

Ecopetrol Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Ecopetrol can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.

Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Ecopetrol SA ADR Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Ecopetrol's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ecopetrol. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ecopetrol can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ecopetrol SA ADR. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.

Ecopetrol's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Ecopetrol and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Ecopetrol news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Ecopetrol.

Ecopetrol Maximum Pain Price Across May 16th 2025 Option Contracts

Ecopetrol's options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of Ecopetrol close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of Ecopetrol's options.