Chances of National (CA:NA) to decline in September

Investors considering National Bank (CA:NA) should take note of its robust financial health, as evidenced by its significant other cashflows from financing activities, which stands at a substantial 1.2 billion. The bank's total revenue is also noteworthy, reaching 9.6 billion, far surpassing its selling general administrative expense of 3.3 billion. This financial strength is further underscored by the bank's net income applicable to common shares, which is reported at 3.3 billion. However, potential investors should also be aware of the bank's short and long term debt, which is quite high at 17.1 billion. Despite this, the bank's net tangible assets amount to 17.2 billion, providing a buffer against its liabilities. The bank's forward dividend yield of 0.0416, coupled with a dividend per share of 3.78, suggests a potential for steady income for investors. Given the recent market volatility, National Bank's low price of 99.18 and current quote of 100.47 indicates a potential for investment gains. However, investors should also consider the bank's value at risk, which is reported as a loss of 1.83, and its expected shortfall of 0.75. Despite these risks, the bank's strong financial position and potential for steady dividends make it a compelling consideration for investors seeking robust returns.

Continued study

National Bank has amassed a total debt of $45.98 billion, with a debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.09. This could suggest that National Bank is not leveraging borrowing to its full advantage. While debt can be beneficial for National Bank, problems may arise if the bank struggles to repay it, either through new capital or free cash flow. In such a scenario, National Bank's shareholders could potentially lose their entire investment if the bank fails to meet its legal debt repayment obligations. However, it's more common for companies like National Bank to issue additional shares at discount prices, which results in the dilution of existing shareholders' stakes. In this context, debt can be a superior tool for National Bank to invest in growth at high rates of return. When evaluating National Bank's use of debt, it's crucial to consider it in conjunction with cash and equity.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Vlad Skutelnik

As we navigate through the September market volatility, National Bank (CA:NA), a key player in the Financial Services sector, shows potential for robust returns. Despite a loss in free cash flow of 2.6B, the bank's strong financial footing, with cash reserves of 31.9B and long-term investments worth 109.9B, underscores its resilience. Furthermore, the bank's operating income stands at 8.6B, with net income applicable to common shares at 3.3B, demonstrating its ability to generate profit despite market fluctuations. With an estimated analyst target price of 9.192 and a real valuation of 54.49, there is a possible upside price of 100.23, indicating substantial growth potential. The bank's solid asset base, including net tangible assets of 17.2B and total non-current assets of 114.1B, further strengthens its position. Despite the challenges, National Bank's leverage and strong financials may deliver robust returns for investors. National Bank is set to announce its earnings tomorrow. Currently, the bank's Earnings per Diluted Share (EPS) are quite stable compared to the previous year. Last year, National Bank reported an EPS of 8.65. As of August 29, 2023, the Return on Average Equity (ROAE) is projected to increase to 18.95, while the Net Income Per Employee is expected to decrease to approximately $85.9K. With many investors showing interest in the banking sector, it's worth considering National Bank as a unique investment alternative. In September, we will focus on the potential of National Bank to maintain its current debt level.
National Bank financial leverage ratio helps determine the effect of debt on the overall profitability of the company. It measures the total debt position of National Bank, including all of National Bank's outstanding debt obligations, and compares it with the equity. In simple terms, the high financial leverage means the cost of production, together with running the business day-to-day, is high, whereas, lower financial leverage implies lower fixed cost investment in the business and generally considered by investors to be a good sign. So if creditors own a majority of National Bank assets, the company is considered highly leveraged. Understanding the composition and structure of overall National Bank debt and outstanding corporate bonds gives a good idea of how risky the capital structure of a business is and if it is worth investing in it. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Understanding National Total Debt

National Bank liabilities are broken down into two parts on the balance sheet. These are short-term (or current) obligations and long-term debt. National Bank has to fulfill its short-term liabilities in this reporting year and should be no more than 12 months old. Long-term debt, on the other hand, is anything beyond the 12-month payment timeframe. Common short-term liabilities found on National Bank balance sheet include debt obligations and money owed to different National Bank vendors, workers, and loan providers. Below is the chart of National main long-term debt accounts currently reported on its balance sheet.
You can use National Bank of financial leverage analysis tool to get a better grip on understanding its financial position

How important is National Bank's Liquidity

National Bank financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance National Bank of ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. National Bank financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to National Bank's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of National Bank's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between National Bank's total debt and its cash.

Detailed Perspective On National Bank

The entity reported the revenue of 9.62 B. Net Income was 3.38 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.51 B. Despite the ongoing market volatility this September, National Bank (CA:NA) shows promising potential for robust returns. The bank's net assets stand at a substantial 403.74 billion, indicating a strong financial position. The bank's operating margin of 0.43% and return on assets of 0.0084 further illustrate its financial health. Additionally, National Bank's risk-adjusted performance is 0.0203, demonstrating its ability to deliver returns despite market risks.
National Bank's total debt is at 45.98 billion, which includes a long-term debt of 27.8 billion. However, the bank's net borrowings are only 640 million, indicating that it is leveraging its debt effectively. The bank's net tangible assets amount to 17.2 billion, further strengthening its financial position. National Bank has also paid dividends worth 1.3 billion, with a dividend yield of 0.0416, indicating its commitment to returning value to shareholders. The bank's market capitalization is 33.17 billion, which, coupled with its potential upside of 1.48, suggests that it is well-positioned to deliver robust returns in the future. Despite the market volatility, National Bank's financial indicators suggest that it has the potential to leverage its assets effectively and deliver strong returns. .

Some National technical indicators suggest correction

National Bank's stock has recently demonstrated a Market Risk Adjusted Performance (MRAP) of 0.08, signifying a fairly stable performance after factoring in market risk. However, certain technical indicators suggest an impending potential for a price drop. These indicators frequently offer insights into upcoming price trends, and in this instance, they are signaling a possible correction in the stock's price path. Investors are advised to be vigilant and closely track the stock's performance in the upcoming period. National Bank exhibits relatively low volatility, with a skewness of 0.02 and kurtosis of 1.82. Nevertheless, we recommend that all investors independently research National Bank to ensure that all available information aligns with their expectations about its upside potential and future expected returns. Understanding various market volatility trends often assists investors in timing the market. The correct use of volatility indicators allows traders to gauge National Bank's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The increased level of volatility that accompanies bear markets can directly affect National Bank's stock price, causing stress for investors as they see the value of their shares decrease.
This typically compels investors to rebalance their portfolios by purchasing different stocks as prices decline. In conclusion, investing in National Bank stock presents a mixed bag of opportunities and risks. The analyst overall consensus suggests a 'Hold' stance, with one analyst recommending a 'Buy' and another recommending a 'Hold'. The valuation market value stands at 100.47, slightly above the naive expected forecast value of 99.25, indicating a potential upside. However, the valuation real value is significantly lower at 54.49, suggesting a possible downside price of 98.27. Furthermore, the analyst highest estimated target price is a staggering 20.2M, which, if reached, would offer immense returns. But, it's important to note that the analyst lowest estimated target price is 0.0, indicating a high level of uncertainty. Therefore, investors should exercise caution and conduct thorough research before making a decision. The fiscal year end in October could also bring significant changes to the stock's performance. .

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Gabriel Shpitalnik do not own shares of National Bank of. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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