Is Greenlane Holdings (USA Stocks:GNLN) moving to revert?

Every cloud has a silver lining, and for those looking at Greenlane Holdings, the recent 4% dip in stock prices may just be that silver lining. The NASDAQ-listed company, operating in the Tobacco industry under the Consumer Defensive category, has seen its share value fluctuate between a 52-week high of $5.84 and a low of $0.48. The recent dip in stock price brings the company's valuation market value to a modest $0.58, slightly higher than its valuation real value of $0.53. Despite the company's struggles, reflected in a net income loss of $125.9M and an operating income loss of $56.4M for the fiscal year ending in December, the Wall Street target price remains optimistic at $7.9. However, potential investors should also take note of the company's Beta of 1.889, indicating a higher volatility compared to the market, and a short percent of 0.0102, suggesting some investors are betting on the stock's decline. Yet, with the 50-day moving average at $0.5663, slightly above the current market value, and the analyst overall consensus advising a 'Hold', the dip could present an enticing buying opportunity for those willing to weather potential short-term volatility in anticipation of long-term gains. As many millennials are increasingly avoiding the distribution sector, it's prudent to delve deeper into Greenlane Holdings and attempt to comprehend its current market trends. As we have previously suggested, Greenlane Holdings appears to be on a downward trajectory as insiders become more bearish due to heightened sector volatility. The company's stock price movements have largely mirrored overall market trends. Stable key indicators of the firm may also suggest potential long-term losses for Greenlane insiders. Greenlane Holdings is set to announce its earnings today, with the next financial report anticipated on April 1, 2024.
Published over six months ago
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Reviewed by Rifka Kats

Greenlane Holdings (GNLN) stock has recently experienced a dip of over 4%, currently trading at $0.58, which could present a potential buying opportunity for investors. Despite the company's negative operating income of $56.4M and net income from continuing operations showing a loss of $125.9M, the stock's mean deviation of 3.72 and a beta of 1.889 suggest a higher potential for returns, albeit with increased risk. Furthermore, the stock's 50-day moving average stands at $0.5663, indicating that the current price level could be a good entry point. However, investors should be aware of the stock's high kurtosis of 0.955, which implies a higher probability of extreme price changes.

Main Takeaways

The average rating for Greenlane Holdings is 'Hold', as determined by one analyst. Is this consensus based on technical analysis? It's important to understand that conventional technical analysis involves the study of price momentum, patterns, and trends by examining historical prices. The goal is to identify signals based on market sentiment towards Greenlane Holdings, which reflects investors' perception of the company's future value. Let's delve into a few elements of Greenlane's technical analysis.
Using predictive technical analysis, we can analyze different prices and returns patterns and diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Greenlane Holdings. In general, sophisticated investors focus on analyzing Greenlane Holdings stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. They apply predictive analytics to build Greenlane Holdings's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers such as momentum indicators and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Greenlane Holdings's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for Greenlane Holdings, many experienced traders also check how macroeconomic factors affect Greenlane Holdings price patterns. Please read more on our technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.

How does Greenlane Stands against Peers?

Analyzing Greenlane Holdings competition or peers my help you to expand the diversification possibilities of your existing portfolios and to get a better perspective on locking in new positions. Try to analyze the advantages of investing in traded instruments related to Greenlane Holdings across multiple sectors and thematic ideas. A good competitive analysis can cover a lot of different areas. But what areas to choose depends on who you are. The more exhaustive you are in your analysis, the more effective your competitive analysis will be. Check out Greenlane Holdings Competition Details

Greenlane Holdings Gross Profit

Greenlane Holdings Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Greenlane Holdings previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Greenlane Holdings Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Greenlane Holdings' gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

An Additional Perspective On Greenlane Holdings

The entity has a beta of 1.3186. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Greenlane Holdings will likely underperform. The beta indicator helps investors understand whether Greenlane Holdings moves in the same direction as the rest of the market, and how volatile (i.e., risky) it is compared to the market (i.e., selected benchmark). In other words, if Greenlane deviates very little from the market, it does not add much risk to the portfolio, but it also doesn't increase the expected returns. The big decline in price over the last few months for Greenlane Holdingsmay raise some interest from insiders. The stock closed today at a share price of 0.58 on 30,708 in trading volume. The company management teams failed to add value to investors and position the firm supply of money to exploit market volatility in November. However, diversifying your holdings with Greenlane Holdings or similar stocks can still protect your portfolios during high-volatility market scenarios.
The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 4.91. This high volatility is attributed to the latest market swings and not-so-good earnings reports for some of the Greenlane Holdings partners. "Buy when there's blood in the streets," goes the old investment adage. Greenlane Holdings, a distributor in the consumer defensive sector, might just be the opportunity to put this saying into practice. The stock recently dipped over 4%, presenting a potential buying opportunity. Despite reporting losses of $125.9M and a high probability of bankruptcy at 76.85%, the company's fundamentals show some promise. With a book value per share of 46.99X and cash per share at 1.24X, the company has some financial cushion. Furthermore, the company's shares are currently trading at a low price to sales ratio of 0.02X, indicating that the stock may be undervalued. However, potential investors should note the company's high beta of 1.89, suggesting higher volatility and risk. .

Greenlane Holdings bad newscasts are not so bad

Despite the recent downturn, the situation for Greenlane Holdings' stock, which has experienced a maximum drawdown of 23.61 as of today, may not be as bleak as it appears. This significant drawdown is a common event in the unpredictable world of stock trading and does not necessarily indicate a long-term decline. In fact, it could represent a potential buying opportunity for investors who have faith in the company's fundamentals and growth prospects. Therefore, the negative news surrounding Greenlane Holdings may not be as damaging as it seems. Greenlane Holdings displays very low volatility, with a skewness of -0.16 and a kurtosis of 0.95. However, we recommend investors to further examine Greenlane Holdings' technical indicators to ensure all market information is available and reliable. Greenlane Holdings is potentially a penny stock. While Greenlane Holdings may indeed be a good investment, many penny stocks are speculative and subject to artificial price inflation. We urge investors to fully understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Greenlane Holdings. Investors should be on the lookout for signals such as email spam, message board hype, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, unreported promotions, or demotions released before SEC filings. We also advise checking the biographies and work histories of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with a microcap classification.
Investors can indeed profit from Greenlane Holdings if they perfectly time their entry and exit. However, it's important to remember that penny stocks that have been subject to artificial hype usually cannot maintain their increased share price for more than a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed by solid fundamentals. Despite Greenlane Holdings' recent decline of more than -4 percent, it's important to consider the broader picture. The company's valuation metrics indicate a potential for growth, with a Real Value of 0.53 and a Market Value of 0.58. The Hype Value, slightly higher at 0.57, suggests that the market may be overestimating the company's potential. With the fiscal year end in December, investors should monitor the company's performance closely. The analyst overall consensus is a 'Hold', with only one analyst recommending to hold the stock. Therefore, while the recent decline may raise concerns, it's crucial to consider these factors before making any investment decisions. .

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Editorial Staff

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