Northrop Grumman Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Name: Northrop Grumman Next Fiscal Year End
Start: 2025-01-23
End: 2025-01-23
Location: Northrop Grumman

NOC Stock

USD 467.82 0.19 0.04%

Northrop Grumman's threat of distress is under 6% at the present time. It has tiny chance of undergoing some form of financial distress in the near future. Probability of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Northrop balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Northrop Grumman Piotroski F Score and Northrop Grumman Altman Z Score analysis.

For information on how to trade Northrop Stock refer to our How to Trade Northrop Stock guide.

The current year's Market Cap is expected to grow to about 48.1 B. The current year's Enterprise Value is expected to grow to about 58.9 B

Northrop Grumman Company probability of distress Analysis

Northrop Grumman's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Northrop Grumman Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 6%

Most of Northrop Grumman's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Northrop Grumman is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Northrop Grumman probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Northrop Grumman odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Northrop Grumman financial health.

Is Aerospace & Defense space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Northrop Grumman. If investors know Northrop will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Northrop Grumman listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.133

Dividend Share

7.86

Earnings Share

16.23

Revenue Per Share

276.412

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.023

The market value of Northrop Grumman is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Northrop that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Northrop Grumman's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Northrop Grumman's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Northrop Grumman's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Northrop Grumman's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Accounts Payable	Intangible Assets	Common Stock	Long Term Debt	Good Will	Property Plant Equipment	Current Deferred Revenue	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Accumulated Depreciation	Short Long Term Debt	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Long Term Investments	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.88	0.88	0.8	0.96	0.97	0.91	0.04	0.77	0.32	-0.73	0.78	0.88	0.95	0.9	-0.04	0.76	-0.38	0.8	0.08	0.75	0.72	-0.78	-0.76
Total Stockholder Equity	0.88		0.7	0.87	0.83	0.75	0.77	-0.24	0.63	0.06	-0.6	0.5	0.71	0.86	0.95	0.28	0.45	-0.46	0.65	-0.1	0.82	0.73	-0.68	-0.84
Net Debt	0.88	0.7		0.53	0.97	0.89	0.69	0.02	0.76	0.57	-0.46	0.78	0.83	0.96	0.82	-0.17	0.79	-0.41	0.8	-0.13	0.75	0.69	-0.93	-0.74
Retained Earnings	0.8	0.87	0.53		0.67	0.7	0.76	-0.02	0.53	-0.23	-0.77	0.43	0.61	0.71	0.84	0.15	0.36	-0.36	0.52	0.05	0.68	0.6	-0.42	-0.73
Net Receivables	0.96	0.83	0.97	0.67		0.94	0.81	0.01	0.82	0.48	-0.59	0.8	0.88	0.99	0.88	-0.05	0.8	-0.39	0.81	-0.04	0.78	0.72	-0.91	-0.77
Total Liab	0.97	0.75	0.89	0.7	0.94		0.9	0.17	0.77	0.41	-0.74	0.85	0.89	0.91	0.81	-0.19	0.85	-0.31	0.8	0.16	0.65	0.65	-0.77	-0.66
Total Current Assets	0.91	0.77	0.69	0.76	0.81	0.9		0.04	0.63	0.15	-0.68	0.79	0.72	0.8	0.77	-0.02	0.78	-0.31	0.76	0.45	0.64	0.62	-0.55	-0.64
Short Term Debt	0.04	-0.24	0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.17	0.04		0.2	0.32	-0.37	0.2	0.22	-0.09	-0.25	-0.77	0.24	0.37	0.11	0.1	-0.38	-0.33	-0.03	0.38
Accounts Payable	0.77	0.63	0.76	0.53	0.82	0.77	0.63	0.2		0.5	-0.65	0.84	0.92	0.76	0.61	-0.05	0.78	0.08	0.61	-0.04	0.61	0.53	-0.81	-0.41
Intangible Assets	0.32	0.06	0.57	-0.23	0.48	0.41	0.15	0.32	0.5		-0.11	0.52	0.55	0.37	0.08	-0.34	0.59	0.12	0.3	-0.22	0.04	0.03	-0.65	0.03
Common Stock	-0.73	-0.6	-0.46	-0.77	-0.59	-0.74	-0.68	-0.37	-0.65	-0.11		-0.56	-0.78	-0.53	-0.52	0.09	-0.48	-0.11	-0.36	-0.1	-0.29	-0.27	0.36	0.28
Long Term Debt	0.78	0.5	0.78	0.43	0.8	0.85	0.79	0.2	0.84	0.52	-0.56		0.84	0.75	0.56	-0.24	0.97	-0.02	0.71	0.32	0.58	0.53	-0.72	-0.39
Good Will	0.88	0.71	0.83	0.61	0.88	0.89	0.72	0.22	0.92	0.55	-0.78	0.84		0.82	0.7	-0.13	0.78	-0.04	0.63	-0.11	0.61	0.57	-0.81	-0.47
Property Plant Equipment	0.95	0.86	0.96	0.71	0.99	0.91	0.8	-0.09	0.76	0.37	-0.53	0.75	0.82		0.94	0.0	0.74	-0.48	0.83	-0.05	0.85	0.78	-0.89	-0.85
Current Deferred Revenue	0.9	0.95	0.82	0.84	0.88	0.81	0.77	-0.25	0.61	0.08	-0.52	0.56	0.7	0.94		0.13	0.52	-0.59	0.76	-0.1	0.9	0.82	-0.75	-0.94
Net Tangible Assets	-0.04	0.28	-0.17	0.15	-0.05	-0.19	-0.02	-0.77	-0.05	-0.34	0.09	-0.24	-0.13	0.0	0.13		-0.27	-0.05	-0.33	-0.03	0.17	0.14	0.1	-0.19
Long Term Debt Total	0.76	0.45	0.79	0.36	0.8	0.85	0.78	0.24	0.78	0.59	-0.48	0.97	0.78	0.74	0.52	-0.27		-0.07	0.72	0.38	0.52	0.48	-0.73	-0.38
Accumulated Depreciation	-0.38	-0.46	-0.41	-0.36	-0.39	-0.31	-0.31	0.37	0.08	0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	-0.48	-0.59	-0.05	-0.07		-0.47	0.09	-0.54	-0.6	0.29	0.8
Short Long Term Debt	0.8	0.65	0.8	0.52	0.81	0.8	0.76	0.11	0.61	0.3	-0.36	0.71	0.63	0.83	0.76	-0.33	0.72	-0.47		0.2	0.68	0.68	-0.75	-0.7
Cash And Equivalents	0.08	-0.1	-0.13	0.05	-0.04	0.16	0.45	0.1	-0.04	-0.22	-0.1	0.32	-0.11	-0.05	-0.1	-0.03	0.38	0.09	0.2		-0.12	-0.07	0.25	0.11
Net Invested Capital	0.75	0.82	0.75	0.68	0.78	0.65	0.64	-0.38	0.61	0.04	-0.29	0.58	0.61	0.85	0.9	0.17	0.52	-0.54	0.68	-0.12		0.89	-0.71	-0.88
Long Term Investments	0.72	0.73	0.69	0.6	0.72	0.65	0.62	-0.33	0.53	0.03	-0.27	0.53	0.57	0.78	0.82	0.14	0.48	-0.6	0.68	-0.07	0.89		-0.62	-0.83
Net Working Capital	-0.78	-0.68	-0.93	-0.42	-0.91	-0.77	-0.55	-0.03	-0.81	-0.65	0.36	-0.72	-0.81	-0.89	-0.75	0.1	-0.73	0.29	-0.75	0.25	-0.71	-0.62		0.65
Capital Stock	-0.76	-0.84	-0.74	-0.73	-0.77	-0.66	-0.64	0.38	-0.41	0.03	0.28	-0.39	-0.47	-0.85	-0.94	-0.19	-0.38	0.8	-0.7	0.11	-0.88	-0.83	0.65

	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.0717	0.16	0.11	0.0442	0.0398	0.04
Asset Turnover	0.8	0.82	0.83	0.84	0.97	1.23
Net Debt	11.4B	10.8B	12.1B	12.6B	14.5B	15.2B
Total Current Liabilities	9.6B	9.5B	11.6B	11.9B	13.7B	14.4B
Non Current Liabilities Total	24.3B	20.1B	16.9B	19.8B	22.8B	23.9B
Total Assets	44.5B	42.6B	43.8B	46.5B	53.5B	56.2B
Total Current Assets	15.3B	12.4B	12.5B	13.7B	15.8B	16.5B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	4.3B	3.6B	2.9B	3.9B	4.5B	4.7B

	Return On Equity	0.15
	Return On Asset	0.0416
	Profit Margin	0.06 %
	Operating Margin	0.13 %
	Current Valuation	81.34 B
	Shares Outstanding	145.7 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	0.23 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	82.73 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	2.04 M
	Price To Earning	14.90 X
	Price To Book	4.62 X
	Price To Sales	1.66 X
	Revenue	39.29 B
	Gross Profit	7.47 B
	EBITDA	2.54 B
	Net Income	2.06 B
	Cash And Equivalents	2.58 B
	Cash Per Share	10.82 X
	Total Debt	15.68 B
	Debt To Equity	1.04 %
	Current Ratio	1.14 X
	Book Value Per Share	101.14 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	3.88 B
	Short Ratio	2.38 X
	Earnings Per Share	16.23 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	0.81 X
	Target Price	560.36
	Number Of Employees	101 K
	Beta	0.35
	Market Capitalization	68.16 B
	Total Asset	46.54 B
	Retained Earnings	14.77 B
	Working Capital	1.76 B
	Current Asset	6.86 B
	Current Liabilities	5.63 B
	Annual Yield	0.02 %
	Five Year Return	1.55 %
	Net Asset	46.54 B
	Last Dividend Paid	7.86

Northrop Grumman Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Northrop Grumman Company probability of distress Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Northrop Grumman Probability Of Bankruptcy

Northrop Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Northrop Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Northrop Grumman Main Bankruptcy Drivers

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