Northrop Grumman Stock Beneish M Score

NOC Stock  USD 490.72  1.49  0.30%   
This module uses fundamental data of Northrop Grumman to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Northrop Grumman M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Northrop Grumman Piotroski F Score and Northrop Grumman Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade Northrop Stock refer to our How to Trade Northrop Stock guide.
  
At present, Northrop Grumman's Short and Long Term Debt is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Interest Debt Per Share is expected to grow to 24.38, whereas Short and Long Term Debt Total is forecasted to decline to about 1.7 B. At present, Northrop Grumman's Dividend Yield is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's PTB Ratio is expected to grow to 4.74, whereas Days Sales Outstanding is forecasted to decline to 44.42.
At this time, Northrop Grumman's M Score is unavailable. The earnings manipulation may begin if Northrop Grumman's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Northrop Grumman executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Northrop Grumman's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.73
Beneish M Score - Unavailable
Elasticity of Receivables

1.94

Focus
Asset Quality

0.64

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.43

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.79

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.43

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.54

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

2.13

Focus

Northrop Grumman Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Northrop Grumman's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables7.5 B7.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue22.2 B41 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets24.8 B49.4 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets7.4 B14.3 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total36.8 B35.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment10.6 B10.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization1.6 B1.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative3.1 BB
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities14.8 B14.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total10.2 B19.9 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt678.5 M425.5 M
Way Up
Very volatile
Long Term Debt8.5 B14.7 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income4.6 B4.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities4.6 B4.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments392.3 M439.3 M
Moderately Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.160.2038
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile

Northrop Grumman Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Northrop Grumman's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Northrop Grumman in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Northrop Grumman's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Northrop Grumman Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

20.21 Billion

At present, Northrop Grumman's Other Operating Expenses is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

Northrop Grumman Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Northrop Grumman. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Net Receivables6.6B7.0B7.5B7.1B7.2B7.5B
Total Revenue36.8B35.7B36.6B39.3B41.0B22.2B
Total Assets44.5B42.6B43.8B46.5B49.4B24.8B
Total Current Assets15.3B12.4B12.5B13.7B14.3B7.4B
Net Debt11.4B10.8B12.1B12.6B(2.6B)(2.4B)
Short Term Debt1.0B290M1.4B370M425.5M678.5M
Long Term Debt14.3B12.8B11.8B13.8B14.7B8.5B
Operating Income4.1B5.7B6.3B2.5B4.4B4.6B
Investments(1.2B)2.1B(1.2B)(1.4B)(1.7B)(1.8B)

Northrop Grumman ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Northrop Grumman's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Northrop Grumman's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Northrop Grumman Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Northrop Grumman's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Northrop Grumman using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Northrop Grumman based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Northrop Grumman offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Northrop Grumman's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Northrop Grumman Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Northrop Grumman Stock:
Check out Northrop Grumman Piotroski F Score and Northrop Grumman Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade Northrop Stock refer to our How to Trade Northrop Stock guide.
You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Aerospace & Defense space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Northrop Grumman. If investors know Northrop will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Northrop Grumman listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.133
Dividend Share
8.05
Earnings Share
28.33
Revenue Per Share
279.136
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.005
The market value of Northrop Grumman is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Northrop that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Northrop Grumman's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Northrop Grumman's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Northrop Grumman's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Northrop Grumman's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Northrop Grumman's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Northrop Grumman is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Northrop Grumman's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.