Norwegian Cruise Line Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

NCLH Stock  USD 26.89  0.03  0.11%   
Norwegian Cruise's odds of distress is under 25% at the present time. It has slight probability of undergoing some form of financial crunch in the near future. Probability of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Norwegian balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Norwegian Cruise Piotroski F Score and Norwegian Cruise Altman Z Score analysis.
  
The Norwegian Cruise's current Enterprise Value is estimated to increase to about 24 B, while Market Cap is projected to decrease to under 5.9 B.

Norwegian Cruise Line Company probability of distress Analysis

Norwegian Cruise's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Norwegian Cruise Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 25%  
Most of Norwegian Cruise's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Norwegian Cruise Line is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Norwegian Cruise probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Norwegian Cruise odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Norwegian Cruise Line financial health.
Is Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Norwegian Cruise. If investors know Norwegian will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Norwegian Cruise listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.34
Earnings Share
1.14
Revenue Per Share
21.674
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.107
Return On Assets
0.044
The market value of Norwegian Cruise Line is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Norwegian that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Norwegian Cruise's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Norwegian Cruise's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Norwegian Cruise's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Norwegian Cruise's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Norwegian Cruise's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Norwegian Cruise is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Norwegian Cruise's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Norwegian Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Norwegian Cruise is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Norwegian Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Norwegian Cruise's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Norwegian Cruise's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Norwegian Cruise's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Norwegian Cruise Line has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 25.0%. This is 39.6% lower than that of the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector and significantly higher than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 37.23% higher than that of the company.

Norwegian Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Norwegian Cruise's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Norwegian Cruise could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Norwegian Cruise by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Norwegian Cruise is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Norwegian Cruise Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets0.0558(0.22)(0.24)(0.12)0.0085250.008951
Net Debt6.5B8.5B10.9B12.7B14.3B15.0B
Total Current Liabilities3.6B1.9B3.7B5.1B6.0B6.3B
Non Current Liabilities Total6.6B12.1B12.6B13.4B13.2B13.8B
Total Assets16.7B18.4B18.7B18.6B19.5B11.5B
Total Current Assets730.1M3.6B3.3B1.9B1.3B805.6M
Total Cash From Operating Activities1.8B(2.6B)(2.5B)210.0M2.0B2.1B

Norwegian Cruise ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Norwegian Cruise's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Norwegian Cruise's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

Norwegian Fundamentals

About Norwegian Cruise Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Norwegian Cruise Line's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Norwegian Cruise using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Norwegian Cruise Line based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Norwegian Cruise Line offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Norwegian Cruise's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Norwegian Cruise Line Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Norwegian Cruise Line Stock:
Check out Norwegian Cruise Piotroski F Score and Norwegian Cruise Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Is Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Norwegian Cruise. If investors know Norwegian will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Norwegian Cruise listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.34
Earnings Share
1.14
Revenue Per Share
21.674
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.107
Return On Assets
0.044
The market value of Norwegian Cruise Line is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Norwegian that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Norwegian Cruise's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Norwegian Cruise's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Norwegian Cruise's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Norwegian Cruise's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Norwegian Cruise's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Norwegian Cruise is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Norwegian Cruise's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.