Norwegian Cruise Line Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| NCLH Stock | USD 19.19 0.66 3.56% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Norwegian Cruise Line is 'Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Norwegian Cruise's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Norwegian Cruise Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Norwegian and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Norwegian Cruise Line. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
Norwegian |
Execute Norwegian Cruise Buy or Sell Advice
The Norwegian recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Norwegian Cruise Line. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Norwegian Cruise Line or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Norwegian Cruise's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Norwegian Cruise Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Norwegian Cruise generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Norwegian Cruise Line currently holds 13.1 B in liabilities. Norwegian Cruise Line has a current ratio of 0.45, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Norwegian Cruise's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Norwegian Cruise has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Rakuten Securities Inc. Buys 7 Shares of Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. |
Norwegian Cruise Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Norwegian Cruise's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Norwegian Cruise's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Norwegian Cruise daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Norwegian Cruise Line price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Norwegian Cruise returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Norwegian Cruise.
| Mean Return | -0.51 | Value At Risk | -6.1 | Potential Upside | 3.56 | Standard Deviation | 2.85 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Norwegian Cruise historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Norwegian Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2024-12-31 | 5.6 M | T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 5 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 5 M | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 4.6 M | D. E. Shaw & Co Lp | 2024-12-31 | 4.5 M | Norges Bank | 2024-12-31 | 4.4 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-12-31 | 4.2 M | Ariel Investments, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 4 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 3.5 M | Capital Research & Mgmt Co - Division 3 | 2024-12-31 | 55.2 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 53.3 M |
Norwegian Cruise Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 10.6M | (37.5M) | (33.6M) | (11.0M) | 7.0M | 7.3M | |
| Change In Cash | 3.0B | (1.8B) | (559.7M) | (544.6M) | (211.7M) | (201.1M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (3.5B) | (3.2B) | (1.6B) | (744.6M) | 838.9M | 880.8M | |
| Depreciation | 739.6M | 758.6M | 810.1M | 883.2M | 973.5M | 1.0B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 1.7B | 1.4B | 197.9M | 28.0M | 74.3M | 70.6M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 946.5M | 752.8M | 1.8B | 2.8B | 1.2B | 1.1B | |
| Net Income | (4.0B) | (4.5B) | (2.3B) | 166.2M | 910.3M | 955.8M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 3.3B | 1.5B | 947.0M | 402.4M | 190.8M | 181.2M | |
| Change Receivables | (15.9M) | (14.1M) | 30.8M | (1.2B) | (1.0B) | (991.8M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 285.5M | 5.0B | 488.3M | 1.2B | 1.4B | 964.5M | |
| Dividends Paid | 6.1B | 2.6B | 15.7M | 346.9M | 398.9M | 378.9M | |
| Change To Netincome | 80.4M | 1.8B | 1.5B | 310.3M | 356.8M | 448.4M | |
| Investments | (31.5M) | (240M) | (1.8B) | (2.4B) | (1.2B) | (1.2B) |
Norwegian Cruise Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Norwegian Cruise or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Norwegian Cruise's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Norwegian stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.38 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Norwegian Cruise Volatility Alert
Norwegian Cruise Line exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.01 and kurtosis of 0.47. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Norwegian Cruise's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Norwegian Cruise's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Norwegian Cruise Implied Volatility
Norwegian Cruise's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Norwegian Cruise Line stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Norwegian Cruise's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Norwegian Cruise stock will not fluctuate a lot when Norwegian Cruise's options are near their expiration.
Norwegian Cruise Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Norwegian Cruise's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Norwegian Cruise's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Norwegian Cruise and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Norwegian Cruise or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Norwegian Cruise's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Norwegian Cruise by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Norwegian Cruise to competition |
| Fundamentals | Norwegian Cruise | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 1.05 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0464 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.1 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.10 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 21.35 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 439.94 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.79 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 80.56 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 24.76 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 12.65 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 5.72 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.89 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 9.48 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 3.79 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 2.49 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 910.26 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.19 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.82 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 13.1 B | 5.32 B |
| Current Ratio | 0.46 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 3.24 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 2.05 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.21 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.89 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.45 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 30.67 | |
| Number Of Employees | 41.7 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.63 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 8.44 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 19.97 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (5.99 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (4.77 B) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 340.41 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 2082 shares by Andrea DeMarco of Norwegian Cruise at 19.29 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Norwegian Cruise Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Norwegian . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Norwegian Cruise Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Norwegian Cruise Line? Buying financial instruments such as Norwegian Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Norwegian Cruise Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Is Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Norwegian Cruise. If investors know Norwegian will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Norwegian Cruise listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.34 | Earnings Share 1.89 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.062 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Norwegian Cruise Line is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Norwegian that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Norwegian Cruise's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Norwegian Cruise's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Norwegian Cruise's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Norwegian Cruise's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Norwegian Cruise's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Norwegian Cruise is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Norwegian Cruise's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.