Kearny Financial Corp Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

KRNY Stock

USD 7.07 0.21 2.88%

Kearny Financial's odds of distress is over 60% at this time. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial straits in the next 2 years. Probability of bankruptcy shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Kearny balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Kearny Financial Piotroski F Score and Kearny Financial Altman Z Score analysis.

Enterprise Value is likely to rise to about 1.3 B in 2024, whereas Market Cap is likely to drop slightly above 542.6 M in 2024.

Kearny Financial Corp Company probability of bankruptcy Analysis

Kearny Financial's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Kearny Financial Probability Of Bankruptcy

Over 60%

Most of Kearny Financial's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Kearny Financial Corp is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Kearny Financial probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Kearny Financial odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Kearny Financial Corp financial health.

Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kearny Financial. If investors know Kearny will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kearny Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.38)

Dividend Share

0.44

Earnings Share

(1.45)

Revenue Per Share

2.062

Quarterly Revenue Growth

(0.14)

The market value of Kearny Financial Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kearny that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kearny Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kearny Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kearny Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kearny Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Kearny Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kearny Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kearny Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Kearny Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Kearny Financial is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Kearny Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Kearny Financial's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Kearny Financial's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Kearny Financial's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Long Term Debt	Net Receivables	Good Will	Short Term Investments	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Treasury Stock	Intangible Assets	Common Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Net Tangible Assets	Capital Surpluse	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Short Term Debt	Long Term Debt Total	Earning Assets	Net Invested Capital	Capital Stock	Current Deferred Revenue
Total Assets		0.6	0.75	0.82	0.23	0.72	0.75	0.83	0.88	0.37	0.07	0.34	-0.71	-0.53	0.89	0.47	0.78	-0.08	-0.2	0.23	-0.77	-0.56	0.43	-0.57	-0.06
Total Stockholder Equity	0.6		0.39	0.48	0.16	0.31	0.25	0.62	0.43	0.26	0.4	0.3	-0.33	-0.57	0.47	0.94	0.89	-0.41	0.3	-0.09	-0.87	-0.42	0.33	0.04	0.14
Net Debt	0.75	0.39		0.58	0.57	0.96	0.94	0.58	0.53	0.63	-0.3	0.34	-0.74	-0.49	0.77	0.43	0.63	-0.23	-0.13	-0.04	-0.69	-0.78	0.52	-0.72	-0.58
Retained Earnings	0.82	0.48	0.58		0.02	0.54	0.62	0.83	0.78	0.18	0.22	0.14	-0.53	-0.36	0.63	0.32	0.58	-0.01	-0.21	0.53	-0.65	-0.49	0.06	-0.59	-0.01
Accounts Payable	0.23	0.16	0.57	0.02		0.59	0.53	0.12	0.17	0.02	-0.7	0.14	-0.3	-0.19	0.44	0.26	0.26	-0.1	-0.13	-0.25	-0.29	-0.42	0.51	-0.3	-0.5
Long Term Debt	0.72	0.31	0.96	0.54	0.59		0.88	0.61	0.54	0.55	-0.35	0.3	-0.79	-0.41	0.78	0.31	0.51	-0.11	-0.16	-0.11	-0.57	-0.69	0.59	-0.64	-0.49
Net Receivables	0.75	0.25	0.94	0.62	0.53	0.88		0.52	0.61	0.53	-0.35	0.42	-0.74	-0.53	0.72	0.31	0.58	-0.17	-0.25	0.14	-0.64	-0.74	0.33	-0.89	-0.66
Good Will	0.83	0.62	0.58	0.83	0.12	0.61	0.52		0.75	0.26	0.18	0.1	-0.56	-0.29	0.75	0.4	0.59	0.11	-0.15	0.15	-0.61	-0.33	0.36	-0.3	0.11
Short Term Investments	0.88	0.43	0.53	0.78	0.17	0.54	0.61	0.75		0.17	0.02	0.39	-0.71	-0.52	0.77	0.31	0.6	0.1	-0.39	0.23	-0.62	-0.47	0.16	-0.53	0.0
Total Liab	0.37	0.26	0.63	0.18	0.02	0.55	0.53	0.26	0.17		0.04	0.19	-0.42	-0.29	0.46	0.35	0.42	-0.24	0.04	-0.37	-0.45	-0.55	0.18	-0.44	-0.57
Total Current Assets	0.07	0.4	-0.3	0.22	-0.7	-0.35	-0.35	0.18	0.02	0.04		-0.12	0.15	0.0	-0.18	0.27	0.22	-0.07	0.63	0.19	-0.16	0.14	-0.27	0.31	0.5
Treasury Stock	0.34	0.3	0.34	0.14	0.14	0.3	0.42	0.1	0.39	0.19	-0.12		-0.68	-0.94	0.15	0.44	0.51	-0.51	-0.09	-0.07	-0.53	-0.43	0.18	-0.3	-0.18
Intangible Assets	-0.71	-0.33	-0.74	-0.53	-0.3	-0.79	-0.74	-0.56	-0.71	-0.42	0.15	-0.68		0.71	-0.59	-0.34	-0.54	0.26	0.22	0.15	0.61	0.71	-0.33	0.55	0.29
Common Stock	-0.53	-0.57	-0.49	-0.36	-0.19	-0.41	-0.53	-0.29	-0.52	-0.29	0.0	-0.94	0.71		-0.32	-0.68	-0.76	0.56	0.03	0.0	0.78	0.59	-0.2	0.37	0.2
Property Plant Equipment	0.89	0.47	0.77	0.63	0.44	0.78	0.72	0.75	0.77	0.46	-0.18	0.15	-0.59	-0.32		0.36	0.65	0.03	-0.29	0.01	-0.62	-0.49	0.59	-0.52	-0.17
Net Tangible Assets	0.47	0.94	0.43	0.32	0.26	0.31	0.31	0.4	0.31	0.35	0.27	0.44	-0.34	-0.68	0.36		0.9	-0.56	0.34	-0.2	-0.89	-0.53	0.26	-0.03	-0.1
Capital Surpluse	0.78	0.89	0.63	0.58	0.26	0.51	0.58	0.59	0.6	0.42	0.22	0.51	-0.54	-0.76	0.65	0.9		-0.46	0.15	0.04	-0.97	-0.61	0.37	-0.35	-0.13
Long Term Investments	-0.08	-0.41	-0.23	-0.01	-0.1	-0.11	-0.17	0.11	0.1	-0.24	-0.07	-0.51	0.26	0.56	0.03	-0.56	-0.46		-0.21	0.24	0.5	0.59	-0.08	0.06	0.19
Short Long Term Debt	-0.2	0.3	-0.13	-0.21	-0.13	-0.16	-0.25	-0.15	-0.39	0.04	0.63	-0.09	0.22	0.03	-0.29	0.34	0.15	-0.21		-0.08	-0.07	0.11	0.09	0.34	0.12
Short Term Debt	0.23	-0.09	-0.04	0.53	-0.25	-0.11	0.14	0.15	0.23	-0.37	0.19	-0.07	0.15	0.0	0.01	-0.2	0.04	0.24	-0.08		-0.03	0.18	-0.2	-0.36	0.2
Long Term Debt Total	-0.77	-0.87	-0.69	-0.65	-0.29	-0.57	-0.64	-0.61	-0.62	-0.45	-0.16	-0.53	0.61	0.78	-0.62	-0.89	-0.97	0.5	-0.07	-0.03		0.74	-0.27	0.42	0.23
Earning Assets	-0.56	-0.42	-0.78	-0.49	-0.42	-0.69	-0.74	-0.33	-0.47	-0.55	0.14	-0.43	0.71	0.59	-0.49	-0.53	-0.61	0.59	0.11	0.18	0.74		-0.1	0.61	0.58
Net Invested Capital	0.43	0.33	0.52	0.06	0.51	0.59	0.33	0.36	0.16	0.18	-0.27	0.18	-0.33	-0.2	0.59	0.26	0.37	-0.08	0.09	-0.2	-0.27	-0.1		0.02	0.09
Capital Stock	-0.57	0.04	-0.72	-0.59	-0.3	-0.64	-0.89	-0.3	-0.53	-0.44	0.31	-0.3	0.55	0.37	-0.52	-0.03	-0.35	0.06	0.34	-0.36	0.42	0.61	0.02		0.7
Current Deferred Revenue	-0.06	0.14	-0.58	-0.01	-0.5	-0.49	-0.66	0.11	0.0	-0.57	0.5	-0.18	0.29	0.2	-0.17	-0.1	-0.13	0.19	0.12	0.2	0.23	0.58	0.09	0.7

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Kearny Financial

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Kearny Financial Corp has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 60%. This is 20.17% higher than that of the Banks sector and significantly higher than that of the Financials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 50.64% lower than that of the firm.

Kearny Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Kearny Financial's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Kearny Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kearny Financial by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Kearny Financial is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Kearny Financial Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.006653	0.008681	0.00875	0.00506	(0.0113)	(0.0107)
Asset Turnover	0.025	0.0283	0.0273	0.0221	0.0183	0.0271
Net Debt	992.2M	618.0M	799.7M	1.4B	1.5B	1.6B
Total Current Liabilities	5.7M	2.9B	49.4M	6.0B	4.6B	4.8B
Non Current Liabilities Total	1.2B	685.9M	901.3M	1.5B	6.9B	7.3B
Total Assets	6.8B	7.3B	7.7B	8.1B	7.7B	4.7B
Total Current Assets	1.6B	1.8B	6.0B	1.3B	63.9M	60.7M
Total Cash From Operating Activities	19.8M	75.4M	81.3M	69.5M	44.0M	35.2M

Kearny Financial ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Kearny Financial's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Kearny Financial's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Kearny Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	-0.11
	Return On Asset	-0.0115
	Profit Margin	(0.70) %
	Operating Margin	0.24 %
	Current Valuation	1.77 B
	Shares Outstanding	64.58 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	12.11 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	63.22 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	394.14 K
	Price To Earning	13.29 X
	Price To Book	0.63 X
	Price To Sales	3.63 X
	Revenue	140.6 M
	Gross Profit	176.13 M
	EBITDA	(102.72 M)
	Net Income	(86.67 M)
	Cash And Equivalents	142.84 M
	Cash Per Share	2.17 X
	Total Debt	1.61 B
	Debt To Equity	2.92 %
	Book Value Per Share	12.03 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	43.97 M
	Short Ratio	1.10 X
	Earnings Per Share	(1.45) X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	15.99 X
	Target Price	8.63
	Number Of Employees	552
	Beta	0.76
	Market Capitalization	466.27 M
	Total Asset	7.68 B
	Retained Earnings	343.33 M
	Annual Yield	0.06 %
	Five Year Return	2.29 %
	Net Asset	7.68 B
	Last Dividend Paid	0.44

About Kearny Financial Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Kearny Financial Corp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Kearny Financial using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kearny Financial Corp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Kearny Stock Analysis

When running Kearny Financial's price analysis, check to measure Kearny Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kearny Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Kearny Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kearny Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kearny Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kearny Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Kearny Financial Corp Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Kearny Financial Corp Company probability of bankruptcy Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Kearny Financial Probability Of Bankruptcy

Kearny Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Kearny Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Kearny Financial Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Kearny Financial ESG Sustainability

Kearny Fundamentals

About Kearny Financial Fundamental Analysis

Also Currently Popular

Additional Tools for Kearny Stock Analysis

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