Graphic Packaging Holding Stock Beneish M Score

GPK Stock  USD 25.29  0.70  2.69%   
This module uses fundamental data of Graphic Packaging to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Graphic Packaging M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Graphic Packaging Piotroski F Score and Graphic Packaging Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, Graphic Packaging's Cash Flow To Debt Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. At this time, Graphic Packaging's Free Cash Flow Per Share is quite stable compared to the past year. ROIC is expected to rise to 0.09 this year, although Book Value Per Share will most likely fall to 7.44.
At this time, Graphic Packaging's M Score is unavailable. The earnings manipulation may begin if Graphic Packaging's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Graphic Packaging executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Graphic Packaging's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.28
Beneish M Score - Unavailable
Elasticity of Receivables

1.0

Focus
Asset Quality

1.0

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.5

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.9

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.5

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.0

Focus

Graphic Packaging Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Graphic Packaging's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables797 M759 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue9.2 B8.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets11.7 B11.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets2.9 B2.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total8.8 B8.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment5.5 B5.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization671.4 M639.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative405.1 M774 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current LiabilitiesB1.9 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total6.5 B6.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Net Debt5.3 BB
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt37 M39 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt2.9 B5.1 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income1.2 B1.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments80 K90 K
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.20.2228
Moderately Down
Pretty Stable

Graphic Packaging Holding Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Graphic Packaging's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Graphic Packaging in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Graphic Packaging's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Graphic Packaging Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

8.07 Billion

At this time, Graphic Packaging's Other Operating Expenses is quite stable compared to the past year.

Graphic Packaging Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Graphic Packaging. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Net Receivables654.4M859M879M835M759M797.0M
Total Revenue6.6B7.2B9.4B9.4B8.8B9.2B
Total Assets7.8B10.5B10.3B11.2B11.1B11.7B
Total Current Assets2.0B2.5B2.7B2.8B2.8B2.9B
Net Debt3.5B5.6B5.1B5.5B5.0B5.3B
Short Term Debt497.2M279M53M826M39M37.1M
Long Term Debt3.1B5.5B5.2B4.6B5.1B2.9B
Operating Income524.3M550M906M1.3B1.1B1.2B
Investments(668.7M)(2.4B)119M(943M)(342M)(359.1M)

Graphic Packaging ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Graphic Packaging's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Graphic Packaging's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Graphic Packaging Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Graphic Packaging Holding's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Graphic Packaging using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Graphic Packaging Holding based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect
When determining whether Graphic Packaging Holding is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Graphic Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Graphic Packaging Holding Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Graphic Packaging Holding Stock:
Check out Graphic Packaging Piotroski F Score and Graphic Packaging Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Graphic Packaging. If investors know Graphic will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Graphic Packaging listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.28)
Dividend Share
0.4
Earnings Share
2.16
Revenue Per Share
28.97
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
The market value of Graphic Packaging Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Graphic that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Graphic Packaging's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Graphic Packaging's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Graphic Packaging's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Graphic Packaging's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Graphic Packaging's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Graphic Packaging is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Graphic Packaging's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.