Guess Inc Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

GES Stock

USD 11.69 0.06 0.51%

Guess' likelihood of distress is under 6% at this time. It has tiny risk of undergoing some form of financial hardship in the near future. Guess' Probability of financial unrest is determined by interpolating and adjusting Guess Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Guess balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Guess Piotroski F Score and Guess Altman Z Score analysis.

Guess Inc Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Guess' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Guess Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 6%

Most of Guess' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Guess Inc is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Guess probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Guess odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Guess Inc financial health.

Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Guess. If investors know Guess will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Guess listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.295

Dividend Share

1.2

Earnings Share

1.37

Revenue Per Share

56.508

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.134

The market value of Guess Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Guess that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Guess' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Guess' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Guess' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Guess' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Guess' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Guess is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guess' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Guess Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Guess is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Guess Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Guess' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Guess' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Guess' interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Common Stock	Long Term Debt	Good Will	Treasury Stock	Intangible Assets	Property Plant Equipment	Current Deferred Revenue	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.06	0.71	0.82	0.7	0.69	0.91	0.65	0.75	0.16	0.78	0.6	-0.87	-0.32	0.83	0.02	-0.73	0.8	0.82	0.53	0.75	0.77	-0.41	0.12	-0.84	-0.84
Total Stockholder Equity	0.06		-0.64	0.51	0.14	0.41	-0.35	0.6	-0.49	0.94	-0.56	0.63	0.17	0.23	-0.32	-0.3	0.49	-0.4	-0.18	0.27	-0.4	-0.3	0.14	0.14	0.45	0.41
Net Debt	0.71	-0.64		0.26	0.43	0.28	0.93	0.1	0.92	-0.55	0.97	0.03	-0.79	-0.4	0.82	0.22	-0.91	0.85	0.75	0.24	0.82	0.76	-0.43	0.04	-0.96	-0.93
Retained Earnings	0.82	0.51	0.26		0.51	0.59	0.55	0.71	0.27	0.54	0.38	0.74	-0.59	-0.19	0.52	0.02	-0.32	0.51	0.57	0.6	0.41	0.59	-0.39	0.33	-0.47	-0.53
Accounts Payable	0.7	0.14	0.43	0.51		0.86	0.63	0.82	0.57	0.25	0.47	0.69	-0.78	-0.59	0.59	-0.05	-0.69	0.52	0.79	0.56	0.7	0.34	-0.29	-0.03	-0.56	-0.5
Net Receivables	0.69	0.41	0.28	0.59	0.86		0.51	0.91	0.43	0.46	0.3	0.76	-0.63	-0.22	0.42	-0.26	-0.44	0.33	0.58	0.51	0.44	0.23	-0.3	0.05	-0.44	-0.38
Total Liab	0.91	-0.35	0.93	0.55	0.63	0.51		0.4	0.91	-0.24	0.95	0.32	-0.9	-0.42	0.91	0.14	-0.9	0.91	0.85	0.4	0.87	0.82	-0.43	0.05	-0.97	-0.95
Total Current Assets	0.65	0.6	0.1	0.71	0.82	0.91	0.4		0.3	0.62	0.18	0.85	-0.58	-0.28	0.38	-0.18	-0.32	0.28	0.54	0.59	0.3	0.2	-0.11	0.07	-0.28	-0.29
Short Term Debt	0.75	-0.49	0.92	0.27	0.57	0.43	0.91	0.3		-0.35	0.89	0.18	-0.86	-0.42	0.8	0.16	-0.9	0.77	0.77	0.32	0.76	0.59	-0.17	-0.21	-0.88	-0.82
Common Stock	0.16	0.94	-0.55	0.54	0.25	0.46	-0.24	0.62	-0.35		-0.49	0.71	0.03	0.1	-0.25	-0.25	0.34	-0.35	-0.02	0.37	-0.22	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	0.34	0.38
Long Term Debt	0.78	-0.56	0.97	0.38	0.47	0.3	0.95	0.18	0.89	-0.49		0.08	-0.8	-0.39	0.92	0.19	-0.87	0.95	0.75	0.25	0.81	0.87	-0.42	0.11	-0.95	-0.98
Good Will	0.6	0.63	0.03	0.74	0.69	0.76	0.32	0.85	0.18	0.71	0.08		-0.55	-0.16	0.27	0.18	-0.29	0.18	0.55	0.84	0.34	0.14	-0.18	0.0	-0.22	-0.18
Treasury Stock	-0.87	0.17	-0.79	-0.59	-0.78	-0.63	-0.9	-0.58	-0.86	0.03	-0.8	-0.55		0.57	-0.77	-0.29	0.91	-0.76	-0.92	-0.66	-0.85	-0.62	0.39	0.02	0.86	0.81
Intangible Assets	-0.32	0.23	-0.4	-0.19	-0.59	-0.22	-0.42	-0.28	-0.42	0.1	-0.39	-0.16	0.57		-0.29	-0.13	0.64	-0.35	-0.69	-0.25	-0.64	-0.21	0.31	0.0	0.44	0.37
Property Plant Equipment	0.83	-0.32	0.82	0.52	0.59	0.42	0.91	0.38	0.8	-0.25	0.92	0.27	-0.77	-0.29		0.11	-0.78	0.98	0.7	0.32	0.73	0.88	-0.26	0.02	-0.84	-0.91
Current Deferred Revenue	0.02	-0.3	0.22	0.02	-0.05	-0.26	0.14	-0.18	0.16	-0.25	0.19	0.18	-0.29	-0.13	0.11		-0.32	0.17	0.32	0.65	0.24	0.14	-0.12	0.01	-0.18	-0.17
Net Tangible Assets	-0.73	0.49	-0.91	-0.32	-0.69	-0.44	-0.9	-0.32	-0.9	0.34	-0.87	-0.29	0.91	0.64	-0.78	-0.32		-0.79	-0.92	-0.47	-0.92	-0.64	0.42	0.09	0.91	0.84
Long Term Debt Total	0.8	-0.4	0.85	0.51	0.52	0.33	0.91	0.28	0.77	-0.35	0.95	0.18	-0.76	-0.35	0.98	0.17	-0.79		0.71	0.3	0.76	0.92	-0.38	0.14	-0.87	-0.95
Capital Surpluse	0.82	-0.18	0.75	0.57	0.79	0.58	0.85	0.54	0.77	-0.02	0.75	0.55	-0.92	-0.69	0.7	0.32	-0.92	0.71		0.66	0.9	0.61	-0.49	0.07	-0.85	-0.76
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.53	0.27	0.24	0.6	0.56	0.51	0.4	0.59	0.32	0.37	0.25	0.84	-0.66	-0.25	0.32	0.65	-0.47	0.3	0.66		0.44	0.24	-0.25	0.04	-0.36	-0.32
Long Term Investments	0.75	-0.4	0.82	0.41	0.7	0.44	0.87	0.3	0.76	-0.22	0.81	0.34	-0.85	-0.64	0.73	0.24	-0.92	0.76	0.9	0.44		0.66	-0.6	0.01	-0.88	-0.79
Short Long Term Debt	0.77	-0.3	0.76	0.59	0.34	0.23	0.82	0.2	0.59	-0.31	0.87	0.14	-0.62	-0.21	0.88	0.14	-0.64	0.92	0.61	0.24	0.66		-0.46	0.35	-0.81	-0.92
Cash And Equivalents	-0.41	0.14	-0.43	-0.39	-0.29	-0.3	-0.43	-0.11	-0.17	0.12	-0.42	-0.18	0.39	0.31	-0.26	-0.12	0.42	-0.38	-0.49	-0.25	-0.6	-0.46		-0.51	0.58	0.5
Net Invested Capital	0.12	0.14	0.04	0.33	-0.03	0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.21	-0.07	0.11	0.0	0.02	0.0	0.02	0.01	0.09	0.14	0.07	0.04	0.01	0.35	-0.51		-0.11	-0.24
Net Working Capital	-0.84	0.45	-0.96	-0.47	-0.56	-0.44	-0.97	-0.28	-0.88	0.34	-0.95	-0.22	0.86	0.44	-0.84	-0.18	0.91	-0.87	-0.85	-0.36	-0.88	-0.81	0.58	-0.11		0.95
Capital Stock	-0.84	0.41	-0.93	-0.53	-0.5	-0.38	-0.95	-0.29	-0.82	0.38	-0.98	-0.18	0.81	0.37	-0.91	-0.17	0.84	-0.95	-0.76	-0.32	-0.79	-0.92	0.5	-0.24	0.95

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Guess

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Guess Inc has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 6.0%. This is 85.5% lower than that of the Specialty Retail sector and significantly higher than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 84.94% higher than that of the company.

Guess Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Guess' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Guess could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Guess by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Guess is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Guess ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Guess' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Guess' managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Guess Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.2
	Return On Asset	0.052
	Profit Margin	0.03 %
	Operating Margin	0.06 %
	Current Valuation	1.93 B
	Shares Outstanding	51.46 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	38.30 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	69.70 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	9.36 M
	Price To Earning	10.46 X
	Price To Book	1.33 X
	Price To Sales	0.20 X
	Revenue	2.78 B
	Gross Profit	1.29 B
	EBITDA	318.65 M
	Net Income	195.83 M
	Cash And Equivalents	275.76 M
	Cash Per Share	3.23 X
	Total Debt	1.16 B
	Debt To Equity	2.54 %
	Current Ratio	1.57 X
	Book Value Per Share	8.76 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	330.38 M
	Short Ratio	8.36 X
	Earnings Per Share	1.37 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	6.14 X
	Target Price	17.67
	Number Of Employees	12 K
	Beta	1.92
	Market Capitalization	604.62 M
	Total Asset	2.59 B
	Retained Earnings	1.41 B
	Working Capital	433.92 M
	Current Asset	1.04 B
	Current Liabilities	327.06 M
	Annual Yield	0.10 %
	Five Year Return	3.53 %
	Net Asset	2.59 B
	Last Dividend Paid	1.2

About Guess Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Guess Inc's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Guess using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Guess Inc based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Guess Stock Analysis

When running Guess' price analysis, check to measure Guess' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guess is operating at the current time. Most of Guess' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guess' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guess' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guess to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Guess Inc Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Guess Inc Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Guess Probability Of Bankruptcy

Guess Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Guess Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Guess ESG Sustainability

Guess Fundamentals

About Guess Fundamental Analysis

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Additional Tools for Guess Stock Analysis

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