Copa Holdings Sa Stock Beneish M Score

CPA Stock  USD 93.35  0.45  0.48%   
This module uses fundamental data of Copa Holdings to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Copa Holdings M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Copa Holdings Piotroski F Score and Copa Holdings Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At present, Copa Holdings' Short and Long Term Debt is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Net Debt To EBITDA is expected to grow to 1.50, whereas Short and Long Term Debt Total is forecasted to decline to about 1.1 B. At present, Copa Holdings' Price To Sales Ratio is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Days Sales Outstanding is expected to grow to 24.63, whereas Dividend Yield is forecasted to decline to 0.02.
At this time, it appears that Copa Holdings SA is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Copa Holdings' top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Copa Holdings executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Copa Holdings' earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-3.14
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.12

Focus
Asset Quality

1.53

Focus
Expense Coverage

2.65

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.28

Focus
Accruals Factor

2.65

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.57

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.53

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.02

Focus

Copa Holdings Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Copa Holdings' auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables104.6 M177.3 M
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Total Revenue1.8 B3.5 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets3.1 B5.2 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets824.2 M1.3 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total2.4 B3.9 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant EquipmentB3.6 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization321.4 M306.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative182.5 M130.7 M
Significantly Up
Very volatile
Total Current Liabilities820.1 M1.3 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total1.1 B1.8 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Net Debt904.9 M1.5 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt197.2 M290.7 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt956.5 M1.2 B
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments455.2 M708.8 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments271.9 M258.9 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Copa Holdings SA Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Copa Holdings' different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Copa Holdings in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Copa Holdings' degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Copa Holdings Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Operating Income

846.43 Million

At present, Copa Holdings' Operating Income is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

Copa Holdings Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Copa Holdings. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables129.8M47.0M97.2M148.1M177.3M104.6M
Total Revenue2.7B801.0M1.5B3.0B3.5B1.8B
Total Assets4.3B3.9B4.2B4.7B5.2B3.1B
Total Current Assets1.2B1.2B1.2B1.2B1.3B824.2M
Net Debt1.2B1.3B1.4B1.6B1.5B904.9M
Short Term Debt215.0M211.6M270.5M318.5M290.7M197.2M
Long Term Debt938.2M1.0B1.2B1.3B1.2B956.5M
Operating Income173.5M(460.9M)(86.7M)200.8M806.1M846.4M
Investments(192.9M)(93.8M)(373.0M)(552.2M)(439.0M)(417.0M)

Copa Holdings ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Copa Holdings' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Copa Holdings' managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Copa Holdings Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Copa Holdings SA's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Copa Holdings using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Copa Holdings SA based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Copa Holdings SA offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Copa Holdings' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Copa Holdings Sa Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Copa Holdings Sa Stock:
Check out Copa Holdings Piotroski F Score and Copa Holdings Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Passenger Airlines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Copa Holdings. If investors know Copa will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Copa Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
5.494
Earnings Share
15.11
Revenue Per Share
84.346
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.013
Return On Assets
0.0947
The market value of Copa Holdings SA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Copa that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Copa Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Copa Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Copa Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Copa Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Copa Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Copa Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Copa Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.