Choice Hotels International Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

CHH Stock

USD 141.60 0.89 0.63%

Choice Hotels' odds of distress is under 11% at the present time. It has tiny probability of undergoing some form of financial hardship in the near future. Probability of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Choice balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Choice Hotels Piotroski F Score and Choice Hotels Altman Z Score analysis.

The current Market Cap is estimated to decrease to about 2 B. Enterprise Value is estimated to decrease to about 2.4 B

Choice Hotels International Company probability of distress Analysis

Choice Hotels' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Choice Hotels Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 11%

Most of Choice Hotels' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Choice Hotels International is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Choice Hotels probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Choice Hotels odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Choice Hotels International financial health.

Is Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Choice Hotels. If investors know Choice will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Choice Hotels listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.227

Dividend Share

1.15

Earnings Share

5.21

Revenue Per Share

16.114

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.034

The market value of Choice Hotels Intern is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Choice that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Choice Hotels' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Choice Hotels' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Choice Hotels' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Choice Hotels' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Good Will	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Common Stock	Long Term Debt	Treasury Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Current Deferred Revenue	Net Tangible Assets	Short Term Investments	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.66	0.86	0.95	0.64	0.94	0.77	0.95	0.34	0.77	0.94	0.61	0.52	-0.57	0.98	0.21	-0.53	0.9	0.68	0.86	0.74	0.42	0.8	-0.25	0.92	-0.73	-0.67
Total Stockholder Equity	0.66		0.28	0.62	0.03	0.54	0.7	0.39	0.23	0.42	0.63	0.38	-0.03	-0.08	0.7	-0.08	0.12	0.59	0.06	0.57	0.77	0.15	0.44	0.04	0.64	-0.3	-0.26
Net Debt	0.86	0.28		0.81	0.81	0.81	0.58	0.94	-0.01	0.79	0.9	0.42	0.54	-0.46	0.82	0.18	-0.8	0.78	0.75	0.68	0.52	0.39	0.79	-0.55	0.8	-0.89	-0.8
Retained Earnings	0.95	0.62	0.81		0.6	0.93	0.68	0.9	0.32	0.75	0.91	0.57	0.46	-0.67	0.92	0.29	-0.5	0.88	0.63	0.82	0.58	0.41	0.76	-0.3	0.88	-0.74	-0.67
Accounts Payable	0.64	0.03	0.81	0.6		0.61	0.36	0.78	0.12	0.62	0.69	0.07	0.56	-0.42	0.62	0.03	-0.83	0.6	0.7	0.48	0.4	0.1	0.62	-0.34	0.63	-0.65	-0.61
Net Receivables	0.94	0.54	0.81	0.93	0.61		0.75	0.93	0.38	0.59	0.87	0.71	0.64	-0.72	0.89	0.37	-0.6	0.8	0.74	0.89	0.57	0.53	0.62	-0.35	0.83	-0.65	-0.53
Good Will	0.77	0.7	0.58	0.68	0.36	0.75		0.64	0.21	0.37	0.77	0.67	0.54	-0.37	0.77	0.03	-0.45	0.65	0.61	0.9	0.8	0.36	0.41	-0.33	0.83	-0.47	-0.18
Total Liab	0.95	0.39	0.94	0.9	0.78	0.93	0.64		0.32	0.77	0.89	0.59	0.65	-0.67	0.9	0.29	-0.7	0.85	0.81	0.82	0.58	0.45	0.79	-0.33	0.86	-0.77	-0.71
Total Current Assets	0.34	0.23	-0.01	0.32	0.12	0.38	0.21	0.32		0.1	0.05	0.45	0.49	-0.59	0.33	0.34	0.11	0.32	0.39	0.46	0.29	0.08	0.15	0.67	0.31	0.26	0.17
Short Term Debt	0.77	0.42	0.79	0.75	0.62	0.59	0.37	0.77	0.1		0.77	0.25	0.11	-0.23	0.73	0.14	-0.35	0.78	0.4	0.49	0.55	0.3	0.96	-0.17	0.72	-0.86	-0.9
Intangible Assets	0.94	0.63	0.9	0.91	0.69	0.87	0.77	0.89	0.05	0.77		0.45	0.41	-0.41	0.92	0.08	-0.63	0.87	0.61	0.78	0.71	0.33	0.77	-0.47	0.9	-0.83	-0.72
Common Stock	0.61	0.38	0.42	0.57	0.07	0.71	0.67	0.59	0.45	0.25	0.45		0.62	-0.61	0.55	0.53	-0.24	0.5	0.64	0.82	0.43	0.69	0.29	-0.14	0.57	-0.3	-0.09
Long Term Debt	0.52	-0.03	0.54	0.46	0.56	0.64	0.54	0.65	0.49	0.11	0.41	0.62		-0.71	0.5	0.35	-0.68	0.4	0.95	0.72	0.34	0.27	0.2	-0.15	0.57	-0.18	0.01
Treasury Stock	-0.57	-0.08	-0.46	-0.67	-0.42	-0.72	-0.37	-0.67	-0.59	-0.23	-0.41	-0.61	-0.71		-0.55	-0.42	0.48	-0.48	-0.69	-0.66	-0.07	-0.41	-0.3	0.11	-0.48	0.25	0.19
Property Plant Equipment	0.98	0.7	0.82	0.92	0.62	0.89	0.77	0.9	0.33	0.73	0.92	0.55	0.5	-0.55		0.09	-0.48	0.87	0.65	0.84	0.77	0.33	0.77	-0.23	0.93	-0.68	-0.62
Current Deferred Revenue	0.21	-0.08	0.18	0.29	0.03	0.37	0.03	0.29	0.34	0.14	0.08	0.53	0.35	-0.42	0.09		-0.08	0.12	0.38	0.35	-0.08	0.54	0.06	-0.01	0.14	-0.17	-0.08
Net Tangible Assets	-0.53	0.12	-0.8	-0.5	-0.83	-0.6	-0.45	-0.7	0.11	-0.35	-0.63	-0.24	-0.68	0.48	-0.48	-0.08		-0.46	-0.76	-0.51	-0.21	-0.22	-0.36	0.66	-0.51	0.61	0.43
Short Term Investments	0.9	0.59	0.78	0.88	0.6	0.8	0.65	0.85	0.32	0.78	0.87	0.5	0.4	-0.48	0.87	0.12	-0.46		0.58	0.74	0.66	0.18	0.75	-0.16	0.84	-0.69	-0.65
Long Term Debt Total	0.68	0.06	0.75	0.63	0.7	0.74	0.61	0.81	0.39	0.4	0.61	0.64	0.95	-0.69	0.65	0.38	-0.76	0.58		0.81	0.47	0.37	0.47	-0.27	0.74	-0.47	-0.28
Capital Surpluse	0.86	0.57	0.68	0.82	0.48	0.89	0.9	0.82	0.46	0.49	0.78	0.82	0.72	-0.66	0.84	0.35	-0.51	0.74	0.81		0.72	0.52	0.53	-0.24	0.89	-0.53	-0.28
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.74	0.77	0.52	0.58	0.4	0.57	0.8	0.58	0.29	0.55	0.71	0.43	0.34	-0.07	0.77	-0.08	-0.21	0.66	0.47	0.72		0.17	0.58	0.02	0.83	-0.42	-0.3
Long Term Investments	0.42	0.15	0.39	0.41	0.1	0.53	0.36	0.45	0.08	0.3	0.33	0.69	0.27	-0.41	0.33	0.54	-0.22	0.18	0.37	0.52	0.17		0.35	-0.36	0.33	-0.45	-0.31
Short Long Term Debt	0.8	0.44	0.79	0.76	0.62	0.62	0.41	0.79	0.15	0.96	0.77	0.29	0.2	-0.3	0.77	0.06	-0.36	0.75	0.47	0.53	0.58	0.35		-0.13	0.78	-0.79	-0.87
Cash And Equivalents	-0.25	0.04	-0.55	-0.3	-0.34	-0.35	-0.33	-0.33	0.67	-0.17	-0.47	-0.14	-0.15	0.11	-0.23	-0.01	0.66	-0.16	-0.27	-0.24	0.02	-0.36	-0.13		-0.22	0.65	0.39
Net Invested Capital	0.92	0.64	0.8	0.88	0.63	0.83	0.83	0.86	0.31	0.72	0.9	0.57	0.57	-0.48	0.93	0.14	-0.51	0.84	0.74	0.89	0.83	0.33	0.78	-0.22		-0.68	-0.53
Net Working Capital	-0.73	-0.3	-0.89	-0.74	-0.65	-0.65	-0.47	-0.77	0.26	-0.86	-0.83	-0.3	-0.18	0.25	-0.68	-0.17	0.61	-0.69	-0.47	-0.53	-0.42	-0.45	-0.79	0.65	-0.68		0.88
Capital Stock	-0.67	-0.26	-0.8	-0.67	-0.61	-0.53	-0.18	-0.71	0.17	-0.9	-0.72	-0.09	0.01	0.19	-0.62	-0.08	0.43	-0.65	-0.28	-0.28	-0.3	-0.31	-0.87	0.39	-0.53	0.88

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Asset Turnover	0.8	0.49	0.55	0.67	0.64	1.21
Gross Profit Margin	0.49	0.47	0.4	0.56	0.5	0.54
Net Debt	839.1M	836.7M	584.4M	1.2B	1.7B	1.7B
Total Current Liabilities	325.9M	255.8M	570.3M	435.9M	942.7M	989.8M
Non Current Liabilities Total	1.1B	1.3B	1.1B	1.5B	1.4B	1.5B
Total Assets	1.4B	1.6B	1.9B	2.1B	2.4B	2.5B
Total Current Assets	236.6M	432.9M	761.7M	347.9M	296.5M	218.1M
Total Cash From Operating Activities	270.6M	115.1M	383.7M	367.1M	296.6M	173.2M

	Return On Equity	0.88
	Return On Asset	0.11
	Profit Margin	0.32 %
	Operating Margin	0.71 %
	Current Valuation	8.46 B
	Shares Outstanding	46.91 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	41.45 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	68.96 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	4.65 M
	Price To Earning	89.21 X
	Price To Book	898.95 X
	Price To Sales	8.47 X
	Revenue	1.54 B
	Gross Profit	700.05 M
	EBITDA	440.39 M
	Net Income	258.51 M
	Cash And Equivalents	41.57 M
	Cash Per Share	10.96 X
	Total Debt	1.68 B
	Debt To Equity	2.62 %
	Current Ratio	1.69 X
	Book Value Per Share	(2.06) X
	Cash Flow From Operations	296.55 M
	Short Ratio	12.60 X
	Earnings Per Share	5.21 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	1.53 X
	Target Price	134.32
	Number Of Employees	1.84 K
	Beta	1.24
	Market Capitalization	6.6 B
	Total Asset	2.39 B
	Retained Earnings	1.76 B
	Working Capital	(646.16 M)
	Current Asset	310.95 M
	Current Liabilities	208.02 M
	Annual Yield	0.01 %
	Five Year Return	1.10 %
	Net Asset	2.39 B
	Last Dividend Paid	1.15

C	Citigroup
GM	General Motors
F	Ford Motor
GM	General Motors
V	Visa Class A

Choice Hotels International Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Choice Hotels International Company probability of distress Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Choice Hotels Probability Of Bankruptcy

Choice Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Choice Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Choice Hotels Main Bankruptcy Drivers

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