Choice Hotels International Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| CHH Stock | USD 130.28 2.39 1.87% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Choice Hotels International is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Choice Hotels' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Choice Hotels Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Choice and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Choice Hotels International. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
Choice |
Execute Choice Hotels Buy or Sell Advice
The Choice recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Choice Hotels International. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Choice Hotels International or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Choice Hotels' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Choice Hotels Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Choice Hotels Intern generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 66.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Acquisition by Donna Vieira of tradable shares of Choice Hotels at 142.84 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Choice Hotels Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Choice Hotels' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Choice Hotels' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Choice Hotels daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Choice Hotels International price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Choice Hotels returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Choice Hotels.
| Mean Return | -0.18 | Value At Risk | -3.25 | Potential Upside | 2.03 | Standard Deviation | 1.66 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Choice Hotels historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Choice Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2024-12-31 | 484.5 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 414.5 K | Raymond James & Associates | 2024-09-30 | 365 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-12-31 | 359.6 K | Fort Washington Investment Advisors Inc | 2024-12-31 | 355.9 K | Envestnet Asset Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 316.6 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-12-31 | 313.5 K | Balyasny Asset Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 292.8 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 279.1 K | Bamco Inc | 2024-12-31 | 4.7 M | Kayne Anderson Rudnick Investment Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 4 M |
Choice Hotels Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 201.0M | 276.8M | (470.0M) | (14.8M) | 13.4M | 14.1M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 75.1M | 305.8M | 273.5M | 178.3M | 319.4M | 335.4M | |
| Depreciation | 48.5M | 50.5M | 63.9M | 75.7M | 43.3M | 22.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 14.9M | (13.7M) | (47.3M) | (89.3M) | (47.8M) | (45.4M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 40.0M | 77.9M | 93.6M | 118.3M | 145.9M | 153.1M | |
| Net Income | 75.4M | 289.0M | 332.2M | 258.5M | 299.7M | 314.6M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 234.8M | 511.6M | 41.6M | 26.8M | 40.2M | 38.2M | |
| Change To Netincome | 50.7M | 1.9M | 7.8M | (35.4M) | (31.9M) | (30.3M) | |
| Investments | 2.0M | (78.9M) | (442.4M) | (62.0M) | (84.6M) | (80.3M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 89.2M | 185.9M | (365K) | 87.4M | 78.7M | 52.9M |
Choice Hotels Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Choice Hotels or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Choice Hotels' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Choice stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Choice Hotels Volatility Alert
Choice Hotels International exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.6 and kurtosis of 6.27. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Choice Hotels' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Choice Hotels' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Choice Hotels Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Choice Hotels' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Choice Hotels' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Choice Hotels and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Choice Hotels or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Choice Hotels' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Choice Hotels by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Choice Hotels to competition |
| Fundamentals | Choice Hotels | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.88 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.12 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.38 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.61 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 7.82 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 46.73 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 41.64 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 66.40 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 5.6 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 89.21 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 898.95 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 7.69 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.58 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 708.04 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 553.64 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 299.67 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 41.57 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 10.96 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.89 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 2.62 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.69 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (0.97) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 319.4 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 13.04 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 6.20 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.63 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 141.64 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.7 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.25 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 6.09 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.53 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 2 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (123.64 M) | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Dominic Dragisich of 426 shares of Choice Hotels subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Choice Hotels Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Choice . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Choice Hotels Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Choice Hotels International? Buying financial instruments such as Choice Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Choice Hotels Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Choice Hotels. If investors know Choice will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Choice Hotels listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.734 | Dividend Share 1.15 | Earnings Share 6.2 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.069 |
The market value of Choice Hotels Intern is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Choice that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Choice Hotels' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Choice Hotels' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Choice Hotels' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Choice Hotels' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Choice Hotels' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Choice Hotels is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Choice Hotels' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.