Caterpillar Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| CAT1 Stock | 378.50 6.50 1.69% |
Caterpillar |
Caterpillar Company probability of distress Analysis
Caterpillar's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Caterpillar Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 10% |
Most of Caterpillar's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Caterpillar is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Caterpillar probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Caterpillar odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Caterpillar financial health.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Caterpillar has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 10.0%. This is 76.51% lower than that of the Industrials sector and significantly higher than that of the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all Germany stocks is 74.89% higher than that of the company.
Caterpillar Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Caterpillar's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Caterpillar could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Caterpillar by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Caterpillar is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.
Caterpillar Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.41 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.074 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.11 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.16 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 144.41 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 516.35 M | |||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.14 % | |||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 72.03 % | |||
| Price To Book | 7.85 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 1.97 X | |||
| Revenue | 59.43 B | |||
| Gross Profit | 15.56 B | |||
| EBITDA | 11.43 B | |||
| Net Income | 6.7 B | |||
| Total Debt | 9.5 B | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 30.73 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 7.77 B | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 11.92 X | |||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.56 X | |||
| Number Of Employees | 109.1 K | |||
| Beta | 1.1 | |||
| Market Capitalization | 119.79 B | |||
| Total Asset | 81.94 B | |||
| Z Score | 7.2 | |||
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % | |||
| Net Asset | 81.94 B | |||
| Last Dividend Paid | 4.71 |
About Caterpillar Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Caterpillar's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Caterpillar using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Caterpillar based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
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When determining whether Caterpillar is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Caterpillar Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Caterpillar Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Caterpillar Stock:Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Caterpillar. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. For information on how to trade Caterpillar Stock refer to our How to Trade Caterpillar Stock guide.You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.