Caterpillar (Germany) Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 337.50 429.45 431.34 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 367.15 369.05 370.94 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Lower Middle Band Upper 344.89 369.46 394.03 Details

Caterpillar After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Caterpillar Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Caterpillar Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.34	1.90	0.00	0.00	0 Events / Month	0 Events / Month	In 5 to 10 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
375.00	375.00	0.00	0.00   Notes

Caterpillar Hype Timeline

Caterpillar is currently traded for 375.00on XETRA Stock Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Caterpillar is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.34%. %. The volatility of related hype on Caterpillar is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 375.00. About 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.56. Caterpillar recorded earning per share (EPS) of 11.92. The entity last dividend was issued on the 19th of January 2023. The firm had 2:1 split on the 14th of July 2005. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Caterpillar Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Caterpillar Stock refer to our How to Trade Caterpillar Stock guide.

Caterpillar Related Hype Analysis

Caterpillar Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Caterpillar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Caterpillar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Caterpillar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Caterpillar stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Caterpillar, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Caterpillar based on analysis of Caterpillar hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Caterpillar depends on current market conditions and Caterpillar's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Caterpillar is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Caterpillar's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Caterpillar's future price predictability will typically decrease when Caterpillar's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Caterpillar often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Caterpillar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Caterpillar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running Caterpillar's price analysis, check to measure Caterpillar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Caterpillar is operating at the current time. Most of Caterpillar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Caterpillar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Caterpillar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Caterpillar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.