American Coastal Insurance Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

ACIC Stock  USD 12.35  0.25  2.07%   
American Coastal's threat of distress is less than 3% at the present time. It is unlikely to undergo any financial straits in the next 24 months. Probability of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the American balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out American Coastal Piotroski F Score and American Coastal Altman Z Score analysis.
  
The current year's Enterprise Value is expected to grow to about 396 M, whereas Market Cap is forecasted to decline to about 212.4 M.

American Coastal Insurance Company probability of distress Analysis

American Coastal's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current American Coastal Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 3%  
Most of American Coastal's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, American Coastal Insurance is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of American Coastal probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting American Coastal odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of American Coastal Insurance financial health.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Coastal. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Coastal listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
1.74
Revenue Per Share
6.188
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.23)
Return On Assets
0.0641
Return On Equity
0.4462
The market value of American Coastal Ins is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Coastal's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Coastal's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Coastal's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Coastal's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Coastal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Coastal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Coastal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

American Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for American Coastal is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of American Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since American Coastal's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of American Coastal's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of American Coastal's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, American Coastal Insurance has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 3.0%. This is 93.99% lower than that of the Insurance sector and significantly higher than that of the Financials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 92.47% higher than that of the company.

American Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses American Coastal's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of American Coastal could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Coastal by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
American Coastal is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

American Coastal Main Bankruptcy Drivers

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Return On Assets(4.6E-5)(0.0215)(0.16)0.290.340.35
Net Debt(79.1M)(53.5M)(75.7M)(4.3M)(3.9M)(4.1M)
Total Current Liabilities11.0K324.9M134.4M75.6M86.9M104.5M
Non Current Liabilities Total160.4M158.5M154.2M373.9M430.0M451.5M
Total Assets2.8B2.7B2.8B1.1B1.2B1.3B
Total Current Assets1.4M2.0B2.3B153.8M176.8M168.0M
Total Cash From Operating Activities(10.5M)(295.4M)(173.1M)(136.0M)(122.4M)(116.3M)

American Coastal ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, American Coastal's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to American Coastal's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

American Fundamentals

About American Coastal Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze American Coastal Insurance's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of American Coastal using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of American Coastal Insurance based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether American Coastal Ins offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of American Coastal's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of American Coastal Insurance Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on American Coastal Insurance Stock:
Check out American Coastal Piotroski F Score and American Coastal Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Coastal. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Coastal listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
1.74
Revenue Per Share
6.188
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.23)
Return On Assets
0.0641
Return On Equity
0.4462
The market value of American Coastal Ins is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Coastal's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Coastal's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Coastal's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Coastal's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Coastal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Coastal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Coastal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.