Vanguard Total (Australia) Price Prediction

VTS Etf   459.53  0.67  0.15%   
The relative strength momentum indicator of Vanguard Total's etf price is slightly above 66. This entails that the etf is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Vanguard, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

66

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Vanguard Total's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Vanguard Total Market, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Vanguard Total hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vanguard Total Market from the perspective of Vanguard Total response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Vanguard Total to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Vanguard because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Vanguard Total after-hype prediction price

    
  AUD 459.53  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Vanguard Total Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
449.41450.17505.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
462.54463.30464.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
428.01448.69469.36
Details

Vanguard Total After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Vanguard Total at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vanguard Total or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Vanguard Total, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Vanguard Total Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Vanguard Total's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vanguard Total's historical news coverage. Vanguard Total's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 458.77 and 460.29, respectively. We have considered Vanguard Total's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
459.53
458.77
Downside
459.53
After-hype Price
460.29
Upside
Vanguard Total is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vanguard Total Market is based on 3 months time horizon.

Vanguard Total Etf Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Vanguard Total is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vanguard Total backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vanguard Total, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.17 
0.76
  0.53 
 0.00  
1 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
459.53
459.53
0.00 
24.36  
Notes

Vanguard Total Hype Timeline

Vanguard Total Market is at this time traded for 459.53on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.53, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Vanguard is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 24.36%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on Vanguard Total is about 22800.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 459.53. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be very soon.
Check out Vanguard Total Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Vanguard Total Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Vanguard Total's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vanguard Total's future price movements. Getting to know how Vanguard Total's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vanguard Total may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VMINVanguard Global Minimum 0.00 0 per month 0.39 (0.23) 0.68 (0.82) 2.36 
VBNDVanguard Global Aggregate 0.00 0 per month 0.26 (0.55) 0.41 (0.40) 1.37 
VAFVanguard Australian Fixed 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.61) 0.33 (0.41) 1.11 
VBLDVanguard Global Infrastructure 0.00 0 per month 0.39  0.00  1.46 (0.89) 3.21 
VVLUVanguard Global Value 0.00 0 per month 0.46 (0.01) 1.33 (1.03) 3.94 
VGADVanguard MSCI International 0.00 0 per month 0.63 (0.07) 1.01 (0.95) 3.05 
VEQVanguard FTSE Europe 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.28) 0.99 (1.22) 3.00 
VEFIVanguard Ethically Conscious 0.00 0 per month 0.27 (0.52) 0.38 (0.47) 1.46 
VDHGVanguard Diversified High 0.03 1 per month 0.31 (0.09) 0.77 (0.69) 2.18 

Vanguard Total Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Vanguard price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vanguard using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vanguard charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Vanguard Total Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Vanguard Total stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vanguard Total Market, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vanguard Total based on analysis of Vanguard Total hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Vanguard Total's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vanguard Total's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Vanguard Total

The number of cover stories for Vanguard Total depends on current market conditions and Vanguard Total's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vanguard Total is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vanguard Total's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Etf

Vanguard Total financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Total security.