Vasta Platform Stock Price Prediction
| VSTA Stock | USD 2.18 0.03 1.36% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
45
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.21) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.28 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.6 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.305 | Wall Street Target Price 2.6011 |
Using Vasta Platform hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vasta Platform from the perspective of Vasta Platform response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Vasta Platform to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Vasta because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Vasta Platform after-hype prediction price | USD 2.23 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Vasta |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vasta Platform's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vasta Platform After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Vasta Platform at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vasta Platform or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vasta Platform, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Vasta Platform Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Vasta Platform's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vasta Platform's historical news coverage. Vasta Platform's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.20 and 4.26, respectively. We have considered Vasta Platform's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Vasta Platform is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vasta Platform is based on 3 months time horizon.
Vasta Platform Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vasta Platform is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vasta Platform backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vasta Platform, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 2.04 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 3 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.18 | 2.23 | 0.90 |
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Vasta Platform Hype Timeline
Vasta Platform is at this time traded for 2.18. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Vasta is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.23 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.9%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Vasta Platform is about 576.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.11. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.49 B. Net Loss for the year was (119.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 791.14 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Vasta Platform Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Vasta Platform Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Vasta Platform's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vasta Platform's future price movements. Getting to know how Vasta Platform's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vasta Platform may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VSTA | Vasta Platform | 0.08 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.17 | (4.38) | 9.40 | |
| STG | Sunlands Technology Group | 0.01 | 10 per month | 6.40 | 0.05 | 9.18 | (8.28) | 39.94 | |
| COGNY | Cogna Educacao SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 12.00 | (10.71) | 27.33 | |
| APEI | American Public Education | (1.40) | 7 per month | 1.57 | 0.19 | 5.63 | (2.99) | 21.66 | |
| ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | 0.73 | 9 per month | 1.44 | 0.11 | 2.81 | (2.48) | 15.11 | |
| LOPE | Grand Canyon Education | (2.81) | 8 per month | 0.86 | 0.1 | 2.36 | (1.94) | 17.79 | |
| AFYA | Afya | 0.16 | 8 per month | 1.97 | (0.06) | 2.62 | (2.55) | 9.86 | |
| BEDU | Bright Scholar Education | 0.10 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 5.38 | (5.71) | 13.53 | |
| LXEH | Lixiang Education Holding | (0.41) | 3 per month | 7.01 | 0.02 | 11.63 | (11.15) | 74.75 | |
| AACG | ATA Creativity Global | 0.00 | 5 per month | 3.68 | 0.13 | 8.60 | (5.66) | 31.69 |
Vasta Platform Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vasta price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vasta using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vasta charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Vasta Platform Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Vasta Platform stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vasta Platform, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vasta Platform based on analysis of Vasta Platform hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Vasta Platform's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vasta Platform's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 194.75 | 187.41 | 171.3 | 132.72 | PTB Ratio | 0.42 | 0.38 | 0.39 | 0.37 |
Story Coverage note for Vasta Platform
The number of cover stories for Vasta Platform depends on current market conditions and Vasta Platform's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vasta Platform is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vasta Platform's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Vasta Platform Short Properties
Vasta Platform's future price predictability will typically decrease when Vasta Platform's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vasta Platform often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vasta Platform's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vasta Platform's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 82.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 341.8 M |
Complementary Tools for Vasta Stock analysis
When running Vasta Platform's price analysis, check to measure Vasta Platform's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vasta Platform is operating at the current time. Most of Vasta Platform's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vasta Platform's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vasta Platform's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vasta Platform to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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