Volkswagen (Germany) Price Prediction
| VOW Stock | 89.45 2.15 2.35% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
56
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Volkswagen hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Volkswagen AG from the perspective of Volkswagen response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Volkswagen to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Volkswagen because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Volkswagen after-hype prediction price | EUR 89.45 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Volkswagen |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Volkswagen's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Volkswagen After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Volkswagen at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Volkswagen or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Volkswagen, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Volkswagen Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Volkswagen's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Volkswagen's historical news coverage. Volkswagen's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 87.89 and 91.01, respectively. We have considered Volkswagen's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Volkswagen is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Volkswagen AG is based on 3 months time horizon.
Volkswagen Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Volkswagen is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Volkswagen backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Volkswagen, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 1.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
89.45 | 89.45 | 0.00 |
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Volkswagen Hype Timeline
Volkswagen AG is at this time traded for 89.45on XETRA Stock Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Volkswagen is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.24%. %. The volatility of related hype on Volkswagen is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 89.45. About 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.54. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Volkswagen AG recorded earning per share (EPS) of 32.84. The entity last dividend was issued on the 19th of December 2022. The firm had 10:1 split on the 6th of July 1998. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be any time. Check out Volkswagen Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Volkswagen Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Volkswagen's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Volkswagen's future price movements. Getting to know how Volkswagen's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Volkswagen may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BY6A | BYD Company Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.36 | 0.1 | 7.03 | (3.65) | 17.38 | |
| DAII | MERCEDES BENZ GRP ADR14 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.60 | (4.44) | 11.57 | |
| VOWA | VOLKSWAGEN ADR 110ON | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.75 | (3.80) | 9.46 | |
| VOWB | VOLKSWAGEN AG VZ | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 1.92 | (2.45) | 7.03 | |
| VOW | Volkswagen AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.49 | (2.76) | 7.24 |
Volkswagen Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Volkswagen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Volkswagen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Volkswagen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Volkswagen Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Volkswagen stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Volkswagen AG, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Volkswagen based on analysis of Volkswagen hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Volkswagen's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Volkswagen's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Volkswagen
The number of cover stories for Volkswagen depends on current market conditions and Volkswagen's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Volkswagen is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Volkswagen's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Volkswagen Short Properties
Volkswagen's future price predictability will typically decrease when Volkswagen's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Volkswagen AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Volkswagen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Volkswagen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 501.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 66.9 B |
Additional Tools for Volkswagen Stock Analysis
When running Volkswagen's price analysis, check to measure Volkswagen's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Volkswagen is operating at the current time. Most of Volkswagen's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Volkswagen's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Volkswagen's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Volkswagen to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.