Vermilion Energy Stock Price Prediction

VET Stock  USD 7.76  0.30  4.02%   
The value of relative strength index of Vermilion Energy's share price is below 30 at this time. This entails that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Vermilion Energy, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 24

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Vermilion Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Vermilion Energy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Vermilion Energy's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.03)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.45
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.22
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.94
Wall Street Target Price
13.3
Using Vermilion Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vermilion Energy from the perspective of Vermilion Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Vermilion Energy using Vermilion Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Vermilion using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Vermilion Energy's stock price.

Vermilion Energy Short Interest

An investor who is long Vermilion Energy may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Vermilion Energy and may potentially protect profits, hedge Vermilion Energy with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
10.8525
Short Percent
0.0392
Short Ratio
3.64
Shares Short Prior Month
1.6 M
50 Day MA
9.6926

Vermilion Energy Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Vermilion Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Vermilion. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Vermilion can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Vermilion Energy. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Vermilion Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Vermilion Energy.

Vermilion Energy Implied Volatility

    
  0.89  
Vermilion Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Vermilion Energy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Vermilion Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Vermilion Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Vermilion Energy's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Vermilion Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Vermilion because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Vermilion Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 7.73  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Vermilion contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Vermilion Energy will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0556% per day over the life of the 2025-06-20 option contract. With Vermilion Energy trading at USD 7.76, that is roughly USD 0.004317 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Vermilion Energy's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Vermilion Energy options at the current volatility level of 0.89%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Vermilion Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Vermilion Stock please use our How to Invest in Vermilion Energy guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vermilion Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.549.2712.00
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
12.1013.3014.76
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.080.230.41
Details

Vermilion Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Vermilion Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vermilion Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vermilion Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Vermilion Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Vermilion Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vermilion Energy's historical news coverage. Vermilion Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.00 and 10.46, respectively. We have considered Vermilion Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
7.76
7.73
After-hype Price
10.46
Upside
Vermilion Energy is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vermilion Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.

Vermilion Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vermilion Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vermilion Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vermilion Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.21 
2.71
  0.02 
 0.00  
11 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7.76
7.73
0.39 
2,464  
Notes

Vermilion Energy Hype Timeline

On the 15th of March 2025 Vermilion Energy is traded for 7.76. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Vermilion is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 7.73. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.39%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Vermilion Energy is about 298100.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.76. About 46.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.6. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Vermilion Energy recorded a loss per share of 3.65. The entity last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2024. The firm had 0:1 split on the December 4, 2009. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Vermilion Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Vermilion Stock please use our How to Invest in Vermilion Energy guide.

Vermilion Energy Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Vermilion Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vermilion Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Vermilion Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vermilion Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BTEBaytex Energy Corp(0.05)7 per month 0.00 (0.04) 4.88 (5.20) 13.07 
OBEObsidian Energy(0.16)6 per month 3.01  0.06  5.08 (3.50) 23.14 
CNQCanadian Natural Resources 0.53 8 per month 0.00 (0.01) 2.15 (2.88) 8.71 
OVVOvintiv 0.87 9 per month 2.68  0.05  3.03 (3.77) 13.37 
CPGCPG Old 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ROCCRanger Oil Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ERFEnerplus 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
VTLEVital Energy(1.78)8 per month 0.00 (0.09) 5.35 (6.93) 18.53 
ARAntero Resources Corp(0.87)11 per month 2.56  0.15  4.46 (3.44) 16.13 
SBOWSilverBow Resources 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
COPConocoPhillips 1.45 7 per month 0.00  0.04  2.45 (2.59) 9.02 

Vermilion Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Vermilion price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vermilion using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vermilion charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Vermilion Energy Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Vermilion Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vermilion Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vermilion Energy based on analysis of Vermilion Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Vermilion Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vermilion Energy's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02370.03410.0646
Price To Sales Ratio1.361.030.98

Story Coverage note for Vermilion Energy

The number of cover stories for Vermilion Energy depends on current market conditions and Vermilion Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vermilion Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vermilion Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Vermilion Energy Short Properties

Vermilion Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Vermilion Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vermilion Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vermilion Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vermilion Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding161.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments131.7 M

Additional Tools for Vermilion Stock Analysis

When running Vermilion Energy's price analysis, check to measure Vermilion Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vermilion Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Vermilion Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vermilion Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vermilion Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vermilion Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.