Tesla Inc Stock Price Prediction
| TSLA Stock | USD 249.98 9.30 3.86% |
Momentum 27
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.71) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.706 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.7368 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.6413 | Wall Street Target Price 343.1064 |
Using Tesla hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tesla Inc from the perspective of Tesla response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Tesla using Tesla's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Tesla using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Tesla's stock price.
Tesla Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Tesla's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Tesla. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Tesla stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 282.6793 | Short Percent 0.0239 | Short Ratio 0.82 | Shares Short Prior Month 59.6 M | 50 Day MA 351.6212 |
Tesla Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Tesla's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Tesla. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Tesla can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Tesla Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Tesla's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Tesla.
Tesla Implied Volatility | 0.9 |
Tesla's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Tesla Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Tesla's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Tesla stock will not fluctuate a lot when Tesla's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Tesla to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Tesla because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Tesla after-hype prediction price | USD 262.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Tesla contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Tesla Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0563% per day over the life of the 2025-06-20 option contract. With Tesla trading at USD 249.98, that is roughly USD 0.14 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Tesla's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Tesla Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.9%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Tesla |
Tesla After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tesla at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tesla or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tesla, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tesla Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tesla's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tesla's historical news coverage. Tesla's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 224.98 and 266.50, respectively. We have considered Tesla's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tesla is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tesla Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tesla Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tesla is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tesla backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tesla, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.91 | 4.25 | 12.27 | 0.15 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
249.98 | 262.25 | 4.91 |
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Tesla Hype Timeline
Tesla Inc is at this time traded for 249.98. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 12.27, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.15. Tesla is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 262.25 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 31.53%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 4.91%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.91%. The volatility of related hype on Tesla is about 2584.46%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 249.83. Tesla Inc currently holds about 16.25 B in cash with 14.92 B of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.68. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Tesla Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Tesla Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tesla's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tesla's future price movements. Getting to know how Tesla's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tesla may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| XPEV | Xpeng Inc | 0.21 | 10 per month | 3.33 | 0.24 | 9.45 | (6.11) | 21.06 | |
| LI | Li Auto | (1.05) | 9 per month | 3.62 | 0.12 | 7.00 | (4.93) | 24.14 | |
| RIVN | Rivian Automotive | 0.06 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 6.57 | (4.95) | 32.24 | |
| LCID | Lucid Group | 0.02 | 11 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 8.58 | (7.55) | 28.24 | |
| GM | General Motors | (0.34) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 3.39 | (3.56) | 14.61 | |
| NIO | Nio Class A | 0.03 | 10 per month | 3.61 | 0.06 | 5.42 | (6.70) | 24.30 | |
| F | Ford Motor | 0.36 | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 2.71 | (2.89) | 10.14 | |
| FSR | Fisker Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MULN | Mullen Automotive | (0.77) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.42) | 14.58 | (27.78) | 97.92 |
Tesla Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tesla price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tesla using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tesla charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Tesla Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Tesla stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Tesla Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Tesla based on analysis of Tesla hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Tesla's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Tesla's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 3.97 | 5.48 | 6.43 | 6.75 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 77.32 | 62.87 | 54.66 | 51.93 |
Story Coverage note for Tesla
The number of cover stories for Tesla depends on current market conditions and Tesla's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tesla is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tesla's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Tesla Short Properties
Tesla's future price predictability will typically decrease when Tesla's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tesla Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tesla's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tesla's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 36.6 B |
Complementary Tools for Tesla Stock analysis
When running Tesla's price analysis, check to measure Tesla's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tesla is operating at the current time. Most of Tesla's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tesla's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tesla's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tesla to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Instant Ratings Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Headlines Timeline Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity |