Tesla Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TSLA Stock  USD 345.16  12.27  3.69%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your below-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Tesla Inc is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Tesla buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Tesla positions.
  
Check out Tesla Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Tesla and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Tesla Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

Execute Tesla Buy or Sell Advice

The Tesla recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Tesla Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Tesla Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Tesla's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell TeslaBuy Tesla
Strong Hold

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Tesla Inc has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.154, Jensen Alpha of 0.5993, Total Risk Alpha of 0.1002, Sortino Ratio of 0.2295 and Treynor Ratio of 0.4014
Macroaxis provides recommendation on Tesla Inc to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Tesla Inc. Our trade recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Tesla Inc is not overpriced, please validate all Tesla fundamentals, including its book value per share, market capitalization, and the relationship between the cash per share and price to earnings to growth . Given that Tesla Inc has a price to earning of 56.02 X, we advise you to double-check Tesla Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Tesla Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Tesla Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Tesla Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Electric Commercial Vehicle Market to grow by USD 364.4 Billion from 2024-2028, driven by emission reduction focus and AI-driven market transformation - Technavio

Tesla Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Tesla's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Tesla's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Tesla daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Tesla Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Tesla returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Tesla.
Mean Return
0.89
Value At Risk
-5.77
Potential Upside
8.19
Standard Deviation
4.66
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Tesla historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Tesla Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
23.5 M
Legal & General Group Plc2024-06-30
22.2 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
20.5 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
20.1 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
17.7 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
16.5 M
Loomis, Sayles & Company Lp2024-06-30
16.3 M
Bamco Inc2024-09-30
14.9 M
Baillie Gifford & Co Limited.2024-09-30
12.7 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
239.6 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
190.1 M
Note, although Tesla's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Tesla Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(429M)(422M)(1.7B)(6.5B)(1.2B)(1.3B)
Change In Cash2.5B13.1B(1.8B)(1.2B)265M251.8M
Free Cash Flow968M2.7B3.5B7.6B4.4B4.6B
Depreciation2.2B2.3B2.9B3.5B4.7B4.9B
Other Non Cash Items477M1.2B1.1B1.2B400M364.2M
Capital Expenditures1.4B3.2B8.0B7.2B8.9B9.3B
Net Income(775M)690M5.5B12.6B15.0B15.7B
End Period Cash Flow6.8B19.9B18.1B16.9B17.2B18.0B
Investments(1.4B)(3.1B)(132M)(12.0B)(15.6B)(14.8B)
Change Receivables(24.6M)(496.7M)(652M)130M117M122.9M
Net Borrowings798M9.5B8.9B(3.9B)(4.4B)(4.2B)
Change To Netincome1.3B2.2B2.3B2.3B2.7B2.8B

Tesla Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Tesla or Automobiles sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Tesla's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Tesla stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.60
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.19
σ
Overall volatility
4.75
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Tesla Volatility Alert

Tesla Inc shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Tesla's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Tesla's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Tesla Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Tesla's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Tesla's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Tesla and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Tesla or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Tesla's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tesla by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Tesla to competition
FundamentalsTeslaPeer Average
Return On Equity0.2-0.31
Return On Asset0.0476-0.14
Profit Margin0.13 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.11 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.09 T16.62 B
Shares Outstanding3.21 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders12.91 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions47.90 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted76.44 M4.71 M
Price To Earning56.02 X28.72 X
Price To Book15.84 X9.51 X
Price To Sales11.40 X11.42 X
Revenue96.77 B9.43 B
Gross Profit20.85 B27.38 B
EBITDA14.8 B3.9 B
Net Income14.97 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents16.25 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share6.68 X5.01 X
Total Debt9.57 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.14 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.46 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share21.81 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations13.26 B971.22 M
Short Ratio0.74 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share3.66 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth9.57 X4.89 X
Target Price233.16
Number Of Employees140.47 K18.84 K
Beta2.3-0.15
Market Capitalization1.11 T19.03 B
Total Asset106.62 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings27.88 B9.33 B
Working Capital20.87 B1.48 B
Note: Sale by Kathleen WilsonThompson of 500 shares of Tesla [view details]

Tesla Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Tesla . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Tesla Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Tesla Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Tesla Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Tesla in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Dividend Beast
Dividend Beast Theme
An experimental equal-weighted theme of equities with high dividend yield and solid fundamentals based on Macroaxis rating system. The Dividend Beast theme has 69 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Dividend Beast Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Tesla Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Tesla's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Tesla Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Tesla Inc Stock:
Check out Tesla Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Is Automobile Manufacturers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tesla. If investors know Tesla will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tesla listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.17
Earnings Share
3.66
Revenue Per Share
30.457
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.078
Return On Assets
0.0476
The market value of Tesla Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tesla that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tesla's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tesla's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tesla's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tesla's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tesla's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tesla is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tesla's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.