Triad Group (UK) Price Prediction
| TRD Stock | 290.00 10.00 3.33% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
66
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.154 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.597 |
Using Triad Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Triad Group PLC from the perspective of Triad Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Triad Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Triad because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Triad Group after-hype prediction price | GBX 290.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Triad |
Triad Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Triad Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Triad Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Triad Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Triad Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Triad Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Triad Group's historical news coverage. Triad Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 287.81 and 292.19, respectively. We have considered Triad Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Triad Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Triad Group PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Triad Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Triad Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Triad Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Triad Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 2.19 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 3 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
290.00 | 290.00 | 0.00 |
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Triad Group Hype Timeline
Triad Group PLC is at this time traded for 290.00on London Exchange of UK. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Triad is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Triad Group is about 1183.78%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 289.98. About 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 21st of November 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Triad Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Triad Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Triad Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Triad Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Triad Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Triad Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 0IW3 | Global Net Lease | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.78 | (2.83) | 7.02 | |
| 0IBC | Discover Financial Services | (0.90) | 2 per month | 1.36 | 0.13 | 3.67 | (2.76) | 19.66 | |
| MHC | MyHealthChecked Plc | 0.25 | 2 per month | 3.00 | 0.01 | 7.27 | (3.85) | 32.22 | |
| IHC | Inspiration Healthcare Group | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.39) | 0.00 | (4.55) | 11.63 | |
| 0MGE | Sydbank | 1.00 | 2 per month | 1.21 | (0.07) | 1.85 | (1.64) | 6.29 | |
| THRL | Target Healthcare REIT | (3.60) | 2 per month | 1.18 | (0.08) | 2.21 | (1.74) | 6.00 | |
| BGLP | Blackstone Loan Financing | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.06 | 2.61 | 0.00 | 9.12 | |
| 0LCX | Take Two Interactive Software | 1.78 | 1 per month | 1.21 | 0.07 | 2.13 | (1.99) | 8.93 |
Triad Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Triad price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Triad using various technical indicators. When you analyze Triad charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Triad Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Triad Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Triad Group PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Triad Group based on analysis of Triad Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Triad Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Triad Group's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Triad Group
The number of cover stories for Triad Group depends on current market conditions and Triad Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Triad Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Triad Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Triad Group Short Properties
Triad Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Triad Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Triad Group PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Triad Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Triad Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.1 M |
Complementary Tools for Triad Stock analysis
When running Triad Group's price analysis, check to measure Triad Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Triad Group is operating at the current time. Most of Triad Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Triad Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Triad Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Triad Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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