Discover Financial (UK) Price Prediction
| 0IBC Stock | 181.82 0.02 0.01% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
65
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.426 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.605 |
Using Discover Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Discover Financial Services from the perspective of Discover Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Discover Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Discover because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Discover Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 181.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Discover |
Discover Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Discover Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Discover Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Discover Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Discover Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Discover Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Discover Financial's historical news coverage. Discover Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 178.45 and 184.33, respectively. We have considered Discover Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Discover Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Discover Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Discover Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Discover Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Discover Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Discover Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.48 | 2.94 | 0.43 | 0.30 | 2 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
181.82 | 181.39 | 0.24 |
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Discover Financial Hype Timeline
Discover Financial is presently traded for 181.82on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.43, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.3. Discover is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 181.39. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.24%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.48%. The volatility of related hype on Discover Financial is about 468.9%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 181.52. About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 16.99. Discover Financial had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Discover Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Discover Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Discover Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Discover Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Discover Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Discover Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NMT | Neometals | 0.17 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.88 | (5.56) | 36.62 | |
| 0R8Q | Coor Service Management | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.95 | (2.15) | 20.00 | |
| AEO | Aeorema Communications Plc | 0.40 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.94 | (1.80) | 6.74 | |
| JLEN | JLEN Environmental Assets | (1.90) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.33) | 1.74 | (2.37) | 8.28 | |
| POW | Power Metal Resources | (0.90) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 5.26 | (6.03) | 17.14 | |
| 0UYN | GoldMining | 0.00 | 4 per month | 2.92 | (0.03) | 5.36 | (4.65) | 16.99 | |
| ATN | Eastinco Mining Exploration | (4.50) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.02 | (1.74) | 10.35 | |
| MTEC | Made Tech Group | 2.00 | 1 per month | 1.80 | 0.06 | 6.45 | (3.08) | 25.17 | |
| 0QUS | G5 Entertainment AB | (0.40) | 1 per month | 1.48 | 0 | 3.38 | (2.78) | 11.94 | |
| 0RH1 | Kinnevik Investment AB | (1.14) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.49 | (3.33) | 14.66 |
Discover Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Discover price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Discover using various technical indicators. When you analyze Discover charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Discover Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Discover Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Discover Financial Services, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Discover Financial based on analysis of Discover Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Discover Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Discover Financial's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Discover Financial
The number of cover stories for Discover Financial depends on current market conditions and Discover Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Discover Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Discover Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Discover Financial Short Properties
Discover Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Discover Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Discover Financial Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Discover Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Discover Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 254 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11.7 B |
Additional Tools for Discover Stock Analysis
When running Discover Financial's price analysis, check to measure Discover Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Discover Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Discover Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Discover Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Discover Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Discover Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.