Suro Capital Corp Stock Price Prediction

SSSS Stock  USD 6.38  0.04  0.63%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of SuRo Capital's stock price is slightly above 62. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling SuRo, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

62

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of SuRo Capital's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of SuRo Capital and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from SuRo Capital's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SuRo Capital Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting SuRo Capital's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.76)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.59)
Wall Street Target Price
7.05
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.15)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.39)
Using SuRo Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SuRo Capital Corp from the perspective of SuRo Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SuRo Capital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SuRo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

SuRo Capital after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 6.22  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out SuRo Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SuRo Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.106.4110.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.366.6710.98
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.816.387.08
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

SuRo Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of SuRo Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SuRo Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SuRo Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

SuRo Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting SuRo Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SuRo Capital's historical news coverage. SuRo Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.91 and 10.53, respectively. We have considered SuRo Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
6.38
6.22
After-hype Price
10.53
Upside
SuRo Capital is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SuRo Capital Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

SuRo Capital Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SuRo Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SuRo Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SuRo Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.85 
4.27
  0.16 
  0.01 
9 Events / Month
11 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.38
6.22
2.51 
2,247  
Notes

SuRo Capital Hype Timeline

SuRo Capital Corp is at this time traded for 6.38. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.16, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. SuRo is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 6.22. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -2.51%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.85%. The volatility of related hype on SuRo Capital is about 31629.63%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.39. About 21.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.92. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. SuRo Capital Corp recorded a loss per share of 1.98. The entity last dividend was issued on the 24th of March 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out SuRo Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

SuRo Capital Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to SuRo Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SuRo Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how SuRo Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SuRo Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BSIGBrightsphere Investment Group 0.12 9 per month 1.11  0.16  3.12 (2.14) 9.55 
MUCBlackrock Muniholdings Ca(0.04)2 per month 0.00 (0.22) 0.80 (0.99) 2.23 
PMMPutnam Managed Municipal(0.05)6 per month 0.61 (0.15) 1.10 (1.09) 3.50 
ICMBInvestcorp Credit Management 0.09 6 per month 1.14  0.02  3.93 (1.88) 8.23 
PXP10 Inc 0.02 12 per month 1.05  0.18  3.51 (2.32) 10.20 
TCPCBlackRock TCP Capital 0.11 9 per month 1.13  0.02  2.08 (2.04) 11.22 
TPVGTriplepoint Venture Growth 0.20 6 per month 1.33  0.04  3.33 (2.20) 12.51 
TSLXSixth Street Specialty 0.03 7 per month 0.64 (0.07) 1.20 (1.04) 3.64 
GBDCGolub Capital BDC(0.09)8 per month 0.64 (0.04) 1.45 (1.24) 4.60 
NMFCNew Mountain Finance(0.02)11 per month 0.00 (0.13) 1.93 (1.11) 4.41 
OFSOFS Capital Corp 0.08 6 per month 1.24  0.02  2.22 (2.12) 9.30 
GECCGreat Elm Capital(0.31)5 per month 1.33 (0.06) 2.03 (2.14) 8.05 
OXSQOxford Square Capital 0.02 6 per month 0.00 (0.20) 1.44 (1.50) 4.39 
OPPRiverNorthDoubleLine Strategic Opportunity 0.03 8 per month 0.00 (0.27) 0.70 (0.90) 3.56 
MRCCMonroe Capital Corp 0.04 9 per month 1.26  0.04  2.29 (1.97) 6.38 
CXHMFS Investment Grade 0.02 4 per month 0.42 (0.18) 0.62 (0.74) 2.10 
IHTAInvesco High Income 0.02 1 per month 0.25 (0.16) 0.68 (0.27) 2.03 
IHITIHIT 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.24) 1.07 (1.18) 2.70 
MHNBlackrock Muniholdings Ny 0.01 4 per month 0.63 (0.19) 0.92 (1.03) 2.43 
CBHCBH(0.01)1 per month 0.00 (0.40) 0.22 (0.22) 0.78 

SuRo Capital Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine SuRo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SuRo using various technical indicators. When you analyze SuRo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About SuRo Capital Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of SuRo Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SuRo Capital Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SuRo Capital based on analysis of SuRo Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SuRo Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SuRo Capital's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.30.230.001390.001321
Price To Sales Ratio234.7933.0115.6614.88

Story Coverage note for SuRo Capital

The number of cover stories for SuRo Capital depends on current market conditions and SuRo Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SuRo Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SuRo Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

SuRo Capital Short Properties

SuRo Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when SuRo Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SuRo Capital Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SuRo Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SuRo Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding26.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments28.2 M

Additional Tools for SuRo Stock Analysis

When running SuRo Capital's price analysis, check to measure SuRo Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SuRo Capital is operating at the current time. Most of SuRo Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SuRo Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SuRo Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SuRo Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.