Silicon Motion Technology Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 50.54 62.06 64.57 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 54.09 56.60 59.11 Details

9 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 69.16 76.00 84.36 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 0.83 0.88 0.85 Details

Silicon Motion After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Silicon Motion Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Silicon Motion Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.05	2.51	0.06	0.04	9 Events / Month	7 Events / Month	In about 9 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
56.15	56.16	0.02	197.64   Notes

Silicon Motion Hype Timeline

Silicon Motion Technology is at this time traded for 56.15. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Silicon is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 56.16 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 197.64%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Silicon Motion is about 342.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 56.19. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 639.14 M. Net Income was 52.87 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 473.88 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Silicon Motion Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Silicon Motion Related Hype Analysis

Silicon Motion Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Silicon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Silicon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Silicon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Silicon Motion stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Silicon Motion Technology, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Silicon Motion based on analysis of Silicon Motion hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Silicon Motion depends on current market conditions and Silicon Motion's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Silicon Motion is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Silicon Motion's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Silicon Motion's future price predictability will typically decrease when Silicon Motion's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Silicon Motion Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Silicon Motion's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Silicon Motion's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Check out Silicon Motion Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Silicon Motion. If investors know Silicon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Silicon Motion listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

The market value of Silicon Motion Technology is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Silicon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Silicon Motion's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Silicon Motion's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Silicon Motion's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Silicon Motion's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Silicon Motion's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Silicon Motion is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Silicon Motion's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.