Sunstone Hotel Investors Stock Price Prediction
| SHO Stock | USD 9.77 0.25 2.63% |
Momentum 31
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.42) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.01 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.19 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.23 | Wall Street Target Price 11.375 |
Using Sunstone Hotel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sunstone Hotel Investors from the perspective of Sunstone Hotel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sunstone Hotel using Sunstone Hotel's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sunstone using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sunstone Hotel's stock price.
Sunstone Hotel Implied Volatility | 1.17 |
Sunstone Hotel's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sunstone Hotel Investors stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sunstone Hotel's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sunstone Hotel stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sunstone Hotel's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sunstone Hotel to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sunstone because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Sunstone Hotel after-hype prediction price | USD 9.51 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Sunstone contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Sunstone Hotel Investors will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0731% per day over the life of the 2025-06-20 option contract. With Sunstone Hotel trading at USD 9.77, that is roughly USD 0.007144 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Sunstone Hotel's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Sunstone Hotel Investors options at the current volatility level of 1.17%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sunstone |
Sunstone Hotel After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sunstone Hotel at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sunstone Hotel or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sunstone Hotel, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sunstone Hotel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sunstone Hotel's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sunstone Hotel's historical news coverage. Sunstone Hotel's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.94 and 11.08, respectively. We have considered Sunstone Hotel's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sunstone Hotel is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sunstone Hotel Investors is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sunstone Hotel Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sunstone Hotel is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sunstone Hotel backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sunstone Hotel, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 1.57 | 0.26 | 0.05 | 6 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
9.77 | 9.51 | 2.66 |
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Sunstone Hotel Hype Timeline
On the 15th of March 2025 Sunstone Hotel Investors is traded for 9.77. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.26, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Sunstone is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 9.51. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -2.66%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.36%. The volatility of related hype on Sunstone Hotel is about 1248.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.72. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.08. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Sunstone Hotel Investors has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.21. The entity last dividend was issued on the 31st of March 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Sunstone Hotel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Sunstone Hotel Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sunstone Hotel's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sunstone Hotel's future price movements. Getting to know how Sunstone Hotel's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sunstone Hotel may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RLJ | RLJ Lodging Trust | (0.09) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.82 | (3.25) | 7.62 | |
| PEB | Pebblebrook Hotel Trust | (0.29) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.40 | (4.87) | 10.19 | |
| INN | Summit Hotel Properties | 0.01 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.72 | (3.52) | 8.37 | |
| RHP | Ryman Hospitality Properties | (0.78) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.22 | (2.76) | 7.57 | |
| DRH | Diamondrock Hospitality | (0.04) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.20 | (2.89) | 9.19 | |
| RLJ-PA | RLJ Lodging Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.28 | 0.30 | 0.68 | (0.48) | 2.27 | |
| CLDT | Chatham Lodging Trust | 0.31 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.90 | (3.15) | 7.81 |
Sunstone Hotel Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sunstone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sunstone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sunstone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Sunstone Hotel Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Sunstone Hotel stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sunstone Hotel Investors, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sunstone Hotel based on analysis of Sunstone Hotel hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sunstone Hotel's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sunstone Hotel's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0121 | 0.0271 | 0.0381 | 0.0596 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.25 | 2.24 | 2.64 | 1.91 |
Story Coverage note for Sunstone Hotel
The number of cover stories for Sunstone Hotel depends on current market conditions and Sunstone Hotel's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sunstone Hotel is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sunstone Hotel's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sunstone Hotel Short Properties
Sunstone Hotel's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sunstone Hotel's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sunstone Hotel Investors often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sunstone Hotel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sunstone Hotel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 202.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 107.2 M |
Check out Sunstone Hotel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Is Hotel & Resort REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sunstone Hotel. If investors know Sunstone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sunstone Hotel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.42) | Dividend Share 0.34 | Earnings Share 0.14 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of Sunstone Hotel Investors is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sunstone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sunstone Hotel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sunstone Hotel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sunstone Hotel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sunstone Hotel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sunstone Hotel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sunstone Hotel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sunstone Hotel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.