Stifel Financial Stock Price Prediction
| SF Stock | USD 95.35 2.31 2.48% |
Momentum 39
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.516 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.7911 | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.2502 | EPS Estimate Next Year 9.5197 | Wall Street Target Price 125.75 |
Using Stifel Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Stifel Financial from the perspective of Stifel Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Stifel Financial using Stifel Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Stifel using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Stifel Financial's stock price.
Stifel Financial Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Stifel Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Stifel. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Stifel Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 97.169 | Short Percent 0.0129 | Short Ratio 1.75 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.2 M | 50 Day MA 107.4814 |
Stifel Financial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Stifel Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Stifel. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Stifel can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Stifel Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Stifel Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Stifel Financial.
Stifel Financial Implied Volatility | 0.71 |
Stifel Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Stifel Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Stifel Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Stifel Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Stifel Financial's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Stifel Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Stifel because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Stifel Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 95.21 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Stifel contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Stifel Financial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0444% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Stifel Financial trading at USD 95.35, that is roughly USD 0.0423 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Stifel Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Stifel Financial options at the current volatility level of 0.71%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Stifel |
Stifel Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Stifel Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Stifel Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Stifel Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Stifel Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Stifel Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Stifel Financial's historical news coverage. Stifel Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 93.27 and 97.15, respectively. We have considered Stifel Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Stifel Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Stifel Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Stifel Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Stifel Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Stifel Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Stifel Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 1.94 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 9 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
95.35 | 95.21 | 0.15 |
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Stifel Financial Hype Timeline
As of March 15, 2025 Stifel Financial is listed for 95.35. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.3, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.2. Stifel is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 95.21. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 131.08%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Stifel Financial is about 194.39%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 95.15. About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.98. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Stifel Financial has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.85. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.25. The firm last dividend was issued on the 3rd of March 2025. Stifel Financial had 3:2 split on the 17th of December 2020. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Stifel Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Stifel Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Stifel Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Stifel Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Stifel Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Stifel Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RJF | Raymond James Financial | (4.10) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.94 | (3.24) | 7.12 | |
| EVR | Evercore Partners | (3.11) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.33 | (5.48) | 11.75 | |
| SIGI | Selective Insurance Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 2.62 | (2.27) | 15.02 | |
| RGA | Reinsurance Group of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 2.55 | (3.43) | 12.10 | |
| HLI | Houlihan Lokey | 2.22 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.98 | (3.01) | 8.89 |
Stifel Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Stifel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Stifel using various technical indicators. When you analyze Stifel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Stifel Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Stifel Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Stifel Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Stifel Financial based on analysis of Stifel Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Stifel Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Stifel Financial's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0269 | 0.0272 | 0.0206 | 0.011 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.47 | 1.72 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
Story Coverage note for Stifel Financial
The number of cover stories for Stifel Financial depends on current market conditions and Stifel Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Stifel Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Stifel Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Stifel Financial Short Properties
Stifel Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Stifel Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Stifel Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Stifel Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stifel Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 111 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.2 B |
Complementary Tools for Stifel Stock analysis
When running Stifel Financial's price analysis, check to measure Stifel Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Stifel Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Stifel Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Stifel Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Stifel Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Stifel Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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