Microlise Group (UK) Price Prediction
| SAAS Stock | 102.50 2.50 2.50% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
44
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (1.00) | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.97 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.76 | Wall Street Target Price 245 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.154 |
Using Microlise Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Microlise Group PLC from the perspective of Microlise Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Microlise Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Microlise because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Microlise Group after-hype prediction price | GBX 101.56 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Microlise |
Microlise Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Microlise Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Microlise Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Microlise Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Microlise Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Microlise Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Microlise Group's historical news coverage. Microlise Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 98.05 and 105.07, respectively. We have considered Microlise Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Microlise Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Microlise Group PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Microlise Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Microlise Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Microlise Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Microlise Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 3.51 | 0.94 | 0.43 | 5 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
102.50 | 101.56 | 0.92 |
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Microlise Group Hype Timeline
Microlise Group PLC is at this time traded for 102.50on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.94, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.43. Microlise is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 101.56. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 100.29%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.92%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.27%. The volatility of related hype on Microlise Group is about 221.98%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 102.07. About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.6. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Microlise Group PLC last dividend was issued on the 10th of October 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Microlise Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Microlise Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Microlise Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Microlise Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Microlise Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Microlise Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALFA | Alfa Financial Software | (7.50) | 1 per month | 1.40 | (0) | 3.70 | (2.86) | 10.43 | |
| 0A1O | Zoom Video Communications | 2.14 | 4 per month | 1.99 | 0.12 | 3.63 | (2.93) | 13.63 | |
| 0K19 | Microchip Technology | (1.03) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.03 | (4.99) | 12.52 | |
| PCT | Polar Capital Technology | (2.50) | 2 per month | 0.88 | 0.14 | 2.68 | (2.16) | 6.70 | |
| 0GE4 | United Internet AG | (2.15) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.19 | (1.95) | 18.34 | |
| 0LCX | Take Two Interactive Software | (0.09) | 3 per month | 1.16 | 0.11 | 2.13 | (1.91) | 8.93 | |
| BVC | Batm Advanced Communications | (0.42) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 6.42 | (7.30) | 17.59 | |
| SPT | Spirent Communications plc | (1.10) | 2 per month | 0.58 | (0.07) | 1.45 | (1.10) | 4.29 |
Microlise Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Microlise price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Microlise using various technical indicators. When you analyze Microlise charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Microlise Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Microlise Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Microlise Group PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Microlise Group based on analysis of Microlise Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Microlise Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Microlise Group's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Microlise Group
The number of cover stories for Microlise Group depends on current market conditions and Microlise Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Microlise Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Microlise Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Microlise Group Short Properties
Microlise Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Microlise Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Microlise Group PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Microlise Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Microlise Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 115.9 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.02 | |
| Shares Float | 41.3 M |
Additional Tools for Microlise Stock Analysis
When running Microlise Group's price analysis, check to measure Microlise Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Microlise Group is operating at the current time. Most of Microlise Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Microlise Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Microlise Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Microlise Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.