Rigetti Computing Stock Price Prediction
| RGTI Stock | USD 11.22 2.47 28.23% |
Momentum 37
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.05) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.15) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.13) | Wall Street Target Price 15 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.07) |
Using Rigetti Computing hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rigetti Computing from the perspective of Rigetti Computing response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Rigetti Computing using Rigetti Computing's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Rigetti using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Rigetti Computing's stock price.
Rigetti Computing Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Rigetti Computing's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Rigetti. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Rigetti Computing stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 4.3644 | Short Percent 0.235 | Short Ratio 0.69 | Shares Short Prior Month 56.8 M | 50 Day MA 11.6734 |
Rigetti Computing Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Rigetti Computing's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Rigetti. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Rigetti can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Rigetti Computing. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Rigetti Computing's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Rigetti Computing.
Rigetti Computing Implied Volatility | 1.73 |
Rigetti Computing's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Rigetti Computing stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Rigetti Computing's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Rigetti Computing stock will not fluctuate a lot when Rigetti Computing's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Rigetti Computing to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Rigetti because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Rigetti Computing after-hype prediction price | USD 11.83 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Rigetti contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Rigetti Computing will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.11% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Rigetti Computing trading at USD 11.22, that is roughly USD 0.0121 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Rigetti Computing's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Rigetti Computing options at the current volatility level of 1.73%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Rigetti |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rigetti Computing's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Rigetti Computing After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Rigetti Computing at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Rigetti Computing or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Rigetti Computing, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Rigetti Computing Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Rigetti Computing's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Rigetti Computing's historical news coverage. Rigetti Computing's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.59 and 27.93, respectively. We have considered Rigetti Computing's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Rigetti Computing is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Rigetti Computing is based on 3 months time horizon.
Rigetti Computing Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Rigetti Computing is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rigetti Computing backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Rigetti Computing, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.74 | 16.10 | 0.61 | 0.55 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
11.22 | 11.83 | 5.44 |
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Rigetti Computing Hype Timeline
Rigetti Computing is at this time traded for 11.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.61, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.55. Rigetti is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 11.83 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 5.44%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.74%. The volatility of related hype on Rigetti Computing is about 5070.87%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.67. Rigetti Computing currently holds about 161.02 M in cash with (50.63 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.31. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Rigetti Computing Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Rigetti Computing Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Rigetti Computing's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Rigetti Computing's future price movements. Getting to know how Rigetti Computing's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Rigetti Computing may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| QUBT | Quantum Computing | (0.15) | 10 per month | 11.96 | 0.08 | 51.53 | (16.01) | 108.47 | |
| IONQ | IONQ Inc | (1.51) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0) | 16.99 | (13.83) | 62.59 | |
| DM | Desktop Metal | (0.05) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 12.64 | (9.88) | 27.05 | |
| QMCO | Quantum | 0.36 | 7 per month | 11.76 | 0.1 | 31.62 | (16.08) | 193.01 | |
| QBTS | D Wave Quantum | (0.68) | 11 per month | 10.79 | 0.15 | 26.55 | (11.97) | 80.73 | |
| SMCI | Super Micro Computer | (0.90) | 7 per month | 6.16 | 0.04 | 12.23 | (11.76) | 33.52 | |
| CRCT | Cricut Inc | 0.03 | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 4.41 | (3.77) | 12.14 | |
| STRC | STRC Old | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RCAT | Red Cat Holdings | (0.73) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 15.04 | (10.58) | 42.69 | |
| SSYS | Stratasys | 0.02 | 9 per month | 2.52 | 0.05 | 6.46 | (3.48) | 27.38 | |
| NNDM | Nano Dimension | (0.20) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0) | 6.35 | (4.20) | 23.92 | |
| VLD | Velo3D Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Rigetti Computing Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Rigetti price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rigetti using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rigetti charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Rigetti Computing Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Rigetti Computing stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Rigetti Computing, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Rigetti Computing based on analysis of Rigetti Computing hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Rigetti Computing's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Rigetti Computing's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Interest Debt Per Share | 0.28 | 0.0653 | 0.062 | Revenue Per Share | 0.091 | 0.0584 | 0.0555 |
Story Coverage note for Rigetti Computing
The number of cover stories for Rigetti Computing depends on current market conditions and Rigetti Computing's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Rigetti Computing is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Rigetti Computing's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Rigetti Computing Short Properties
Rigetti Computing's future price predictability will typically decrease when Rigetti Computing's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Rigetti Computing often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Rigetti Computing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rigetti Computing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 184.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 67.7 M |
Complementary Tools for Rigetti Stock analysis
When running Rigetti Computing's price analysis, check to measure Rigetti Computing's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rigetti Computing is operating at the current time. Most of Rigetti Computing's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rigetti Computing's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rigetti Computing's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rigetti Computing to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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