R1 RCM Inc Price Prediction

RCMDelisted Stock  USD 14.31  0.01  0.07%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of R1 RCM's stock price is about 67 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling RCM, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

67

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of R1 RCM's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of R1 RCM and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from R1 RCM's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with R1 RCM Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using R1 RCM hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of R1 RCM Inc from the perspective of R1 RCM response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in R1 RCM to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying RCM because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

R1 RCM after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 14.31  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of R1 RCM's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.0312.1115.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.2314.3114.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.2914.3014.31
Details

R1 RCM After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of R1 RCM at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in R1 RCM or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of R1 RCM, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

R1 RCM Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting R1 RCM's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on R1 RCM's historical news coverage. R1 RCM's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.23 and 14.39, respectively. We have considered R1 RCM's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
14.31
14.31
After-hype Price
14.39
Upside
R1 RCM is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of R1 RCM Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

R1 RCM Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as R1 RCM is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading R1 RCM backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with R1 RCM, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
0.08
 0.00  
 0.00  
10 Events / Month
10 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
14.31
14.31
0.00 
800.00  
Notes

R1 RCM Hype Timeline

On the 27th of December R1 RCM Inc is traded for 14.31. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. RCM is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on R1 RCM is about 49.59%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.31. About 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of R1 RCM was at this time reported as 6.66. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.06. R1 RCM Inc recorded a loss per share of 0.14. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:1 split on the 22nd of June 2022. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.

R1 RCM Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to R1 RCM's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict R1 RCM's future price movements. Getting to know how R1 RCM's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how R1 RCM may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MDRXVeradigm(0.11)26 per month 2.08  0.04  2.58 (3.07) 8.73 
NRCNational Research Corp(1.41)9 per month 0.00 (0.12) 3.90 (4.72) 13.17 
CPSICPSI Old 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.1) 2.85 (3.01) 14.25 
DHDefinitive Healthcare Corp(0.15)9 per month 0.00 (0.04) 3.77 (3.99) 9.78 
HSTMHealthStream 0.53 10 per month 1.33  0.08  2.36 (2.00) 10.49 
EVHEvolent Health(1.78)8 per month 0.00 (0.18) 5.49 (6.29) 51.11 
AGTIAgiliti 0.00 0 per month 2.87 (0.01) 4.03 (4.45) 10.75 
CMAXCareMax(0.02)4 per month 0.00 (0.25) 16.67 (26.32) 113.13 
CERTCertara(0.22)9 per month 2.49  0  6.04 (3.98) 15.96 
PRVAPrivia Health Group(1.38)8 per month 2.29  0.05  4.34 (3.57) 15.04 
NXGNNextgen Healthcare 0.02 1 per month 0.00 (0.1) 2.81 (2.35) 7.28 
FORAForian Inc(0.06)6 per month 0.00 (0.04) 3.35 (2.86) 9.93 
HQYHealthEquity 1.81 3 per month 1.54  0.13  3.46 (2.42) 15.33 
HCATHealth Catalyst 0.23 9 per month 0.00 (0.07) 6.14 (6.37) 19.37 
SLPSimulations Plus 0.12 13 per month 0.00 (0.05) 4.53 (4.93) 14.42 

R1 RCM Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine RCM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for RCM using various technical indicators. When you analyze RCM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About R1 RCM Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of R1 RCM stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as R1 RCM Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of R1 RCM based on analysis of R1 RCM hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to R1 RCM's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to R1 RCM's related companies.

Story Coverage note for R1 RCM

The number of cover stories for R1 RCM depends on current market conditions and R1 RCM's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that R1 RCM is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about R1 RCM's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

R1 RCM Short Properties

R1 RCM's future price predictability will typically decrease when R1 RCM's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of R1 RCM Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential R1 RCM's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. R1 RCM's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding454.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments173.6 M
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.

Other Consideration for investing in RCM Stock

If you are still planning to invest in R1 RCM Inc check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the R1 RCM's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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