Pebblebrook Hotel Trust Stock Price Prediction
| PEB Stock | USD 10.70 0.23 2.20% |
Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.36) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.52) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.27) | Wall Street Target Price 14.3462 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.41) |
Using Pebblebrook Hotel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pebblebrook Hotel Trust from the perspective of Pebblebrook Hotel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Pebblebrook Hotel using Pebblebrook Hotel's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Pebblebrook using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Pebblebrook Hotel's stock price.
Pebblebrook Hotel Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Pebblebrook Hotel's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Pebblebrook. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Pebblebrook Hotel stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 13.125 | Short Percent 0.2384 | Short Ratio 8.47 | Shares Short Prior Month 21.4 M | 50 Day MA 12.655 |
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Pebblebrook Hotel's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Pebblebrook. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Pebblebrook can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Pebblebrook Hotel Trust. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Pebblebrook Hotel's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Pebblebrook Hotel.
Pebblebrook Hotel Implied Volatility | 1.27 |
Pebblebrook Hotel's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Pebblebrook Hotel Trust stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Pebblebrook Hotel's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Pebblebrook Hotel stock will not fluctuate a lot when Pebblebrook Hotel's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Pebblebrook Hotel to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Pebblebrook because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Pebblebrook Hotel after-hype prediction price | USD 10.56 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Pebblebrook contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Pebblebrook Hotel Trust will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0794% per day over the life of the 2025-06-20 option contract. With Pebblebrook Hotel trading at USD 10.7, that is roughly USD 0.008493 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Pebblebrook Hotel's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Pebblebrook Hotel Trust options at the current volatility level of 1.27%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Pebblebrook |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pebblebrook Hotel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Pebblebrook Hotel After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Pebblebrook Hotel at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pebblebrook Hotel or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Pebblebrook Hotel, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Pebblebrook Hotel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Pebblebrook Hotel's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pebblebrook Hotel's historical news coverage. Pebblebrook Hotel's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.32 and 12.80, respectively. We have considered Pebblebrook Hotel's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Pebblebrook Hotel is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pebblebrook Hotel Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.
Pebblebrook Hotel Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pebblebrook Hotel is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pebblebrook Hotel backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pebblebrook Hotel, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.49 | 2.24 | 0.14 | 0.08 | 8 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.70 | 10.56 | 1.31 |
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Pebblebrook Hotel Hype Timeline
On the 15th of March 2025 Pebblebrook Hotel Trust is traded for 10.70. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Pebblebrook is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 10.56. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -1.31%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.49%. The volatility of related hype on Pebblebrook Hotel is about 1333.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.62. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.47. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Pebblebrook Hotel Trust has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.48. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.39. The firm last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Pebblebrook Hotel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Pebblebrook Hotel Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Pebblebrook Hotel's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pebblebrook Hotel's future price movements. Getting to know how Pebblebrook Hotel's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pebblebrook Hotel may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RLJ | RLJ Lodging Trust | (0.09) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.82 | (3.25) | 7.62 | |
| SHO | Sunstone Hotel Investors | (0.72) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.14 | (2.69) | 8.41 | |
| DRH | Diamondrock Hospitality | (0.04) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.20 | (2.89) | 9.19 | |
| INN | Summit Hotel Properties | 0.01 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.72 | (3.52) | 8.37 | |
| CLDT | Chatham Lodging Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.90 | (3.15) | 7.81 |
Pebblebrook Hotel Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Pebblebrook price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pebblebrook using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pebblebrook charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Pebblebrook Hotel Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Pebblebrook Hotel stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Pebblebrook Hotel Trust, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Pebblebrook Hotel based on analysis of Pebblebrook Hotel hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Pebblebrook Hotel's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Pebblebrook Hotel's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0301 | 0.0275 | 0.0321 | 0.043 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.25 | 1.37 | 1.12 | 1.06 |
Story Coverage note for Pebblebrook Hotel
The number of cover stories for Pebblebrook Hotel depends on current market conditions and Pebblebrook Hotel's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pebblebrook Hotel is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pebblebrook Hotel's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Pebblebrook Hotel Short Properties
Pebblebrook Hotel's future price predictability will typically decrease when Pebblebrook Hotel's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Pebblebrook Hotel Trust often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Pebblebrook Hotel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pebblebrook Hotel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 119.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 206.7 M |
Complementary Tools for Pebblebrook Stock analysis
When running Pebblebrook Hotel's price analysis, check to measure Pebblebrook Hotel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pebblebrook Hotel is operating at the current time. Most of Pebblebrook Hotel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pebblebrook Hotel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pebblebrook Hotel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pebblebrook Hotel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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