Bank Ozk Stock Price Prediction

OZK Stock  USD 49.97  0.03  0.06%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Bank Ozk's the stock price is about 62. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bank, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

62

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Bank Ozk's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bank Ozk, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Bank Ozk's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.04
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.44
EPS Estimate Current Year
6.025
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.9988
Wall Street Target Price
49.75
Using Bank Ozk hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bank Ozk from the perspective of Bank Ozk response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Bank Ozk Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Bank Ozk's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Bank. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Bank can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Bank Ozk. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Bank Ozk's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Bank Ozk.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bank Ozk to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bank because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Bank Ozk after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 49.62  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Bank Ozk Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Bank Stock please use our How to buy in Bank Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
43.9246.3054.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
48.1450.5152.89
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
41.1845.2550.23
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.491.451.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bank Ozk. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bank Ozk's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bank Ozk's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bank Ozk.

Bank Ozk After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Bank Ozk at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bank Ozk or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bank Ozk, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Bank Ozk Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Bank Ozk's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bank Ozk's historical news coverage. Bank Ozk's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 47.24 and 52.00, respectively. We have considered Bank Ozk's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
49.97
49.62
After-hype Price
52.00
Upside
Bank Ozk is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bank Ozk is based on 3 months time horizon.

Bank Ozk Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bank Ozk is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bank Ozk backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bank Ozk, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.29 
2.38
  0.35 
  0.15 
11 Events / Month
12 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
49.97
49.62
0.70 
198.33  
Notes

Bank Ozk Hype Timeline

On the 1st of December Bank Ozk is traded for 49.97. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.35, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.15. Bank is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 49.62. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 198.33%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.7%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.29%. The volatility of related hype on Bank Ozk is about 474.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 50.12. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.08. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Bank Ozk has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.76. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.08. The firm last dividend was issued on the 11th of October 2024. Bank Ozk had 2:1 split on the 24th of June 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Bank Ozk Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Bank Stock please use our How to buy in Bank Stock guide.

Bank Ozk Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Bank Ozk's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bank Ozk's future price movements. Getting to know how Bank Ozk's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bank Ozk may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
IBOCInternational Bancshares 0.87 6 per month 1.53  0.05  2.78 (2.98) 18.82 
HTHHilltop Holdings(0.06)8 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.62 (2.06) 15.70 
FBKFB Financial Corp 0.65 9 per month 1.42  0.06  3.97 (2.57) 19.12 
RRBIRed River Bancshares 1.04 7 per month 1.50  0.04  3.77 (3.23) 7.75 
NBHCNational Bank Holdings 0.86 9 per month 1.61  0.02  2.63 (2.65) 17.62 
RFRegions Financial 0.22 11 per month 0.92  0.08  2.38 (1.66) 14.81 
PNFPPinnacle Financial Partners 0.46 10 per month 1.50  0.11  3.50 (2.89) 18.16 
CADECadence Bancorp(0.58)10 per month 1.25  0.06  3.75 (2.40) 17.05 
HWCHancock Whitney Corp 0.78 10 per month 1.47  0.03  2.89 (2.41) 19.74 
SFBSServisFirst Bancshares 0.58 12 per month 1.56  0.06  3.76 (2.73) 14.07 
BOKFBOK Financial(3.01)10 per month 1.41  0.04  2.66 (2.18) 15.50 
PBProsperity Bancshares 3.11 10 per month 1.01  0.05  2.50 (2.25) 11.99 
CBSHCommerce Bancshares 1.71 10 per month 1.03  0.06  2.63 (1.79) 13.35 
FFINFirst Financial Bankshares 0.89 10 per month 1.22  0.05  2.82 (2.03) 17.03 
CFR-PBCullenFrost Bankers 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.26) 1.25 (1.96) 3.94 

Bank Ozk Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bank price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bank using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bank charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Bank Ozk Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Bank Ozk stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bank Ozk, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bank Ozk based on analysis of Bank Ozk hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bank Ozk's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bank Ozk's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02440.0350.0314
Price To Sales Ratio5.473.864.18

Story Coverage note for Bank Ozk

The number of cover stories for Bank Ozk depends on current market conditions and Bank Ozk's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bank Ozk is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bank Ozk's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Bank Ozk Short Properties

Bank Ozk's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bank Ozk's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bank Ozk often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bank Ozk's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank Ozk's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding114.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.1 B
When determining whether Bank Ozk is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Bank Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Bank Ozk Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Bank Ozk Stock:
Check out Bank Ozk Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Bank Stock please use our How to buy in Bank Stock guide.
You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bank Ozk. If investors know Bank will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bank Ozk listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.04
Dividend Share
1.54
Earnings Share
6.08
Revenue Per Share
12.85
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.101
The market value of Bank Ozk is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bank that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bank Ozk's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bank Ozk's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bank Ozk's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bank Ozk's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bank Ozk's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bank Ozk is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bank Ozk's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.